weatherMA Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Schools cancelled back home in Worcester/Shrewsbury...the one time I wish I was back in high school lol. I bet classes will be on here in Plymouth. Up to 105 closings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 credit: Tim Marshall. compare the satellite imagery of Sandy to the radar reflectivity of the Goshen, WY tornado... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Yeah I was just thinking that, it looks like a gigantic hook echo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Lookin' pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Sandy is trucking right along. Moving a little faster than some of the models like the NAM/GFS..maybe even the Euro. She's trucking pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Sandy is trucking right along. Moving a little faster than some of the models like the NAM/GFS..maybe even the Euro. She's trucking pretty good. Yeah, would expect to come in a little quicker than guidance. I know it's overstated by now, but the winds are already ramped up somewhat, yet the storm isn't past the Carolinas yet....that's ridiculous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Yeah, would expect to come in a little quicker than guidance. I know it's overstated by now, but the winds are already ramped up somewhat, yet the storm isn't past the Carolinas yet....that's ridiculous Sustained winds across CT are between about 15-20 mph. I won't be shocked if she moves a bit quicker than model guidance...one of the reasons why as well I would think for a more northern landfall...if models are moving her too slow they will also phase quicker and tug her in quicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Sustained winds across CT are between about 15-20 mph. I won't be shocked if she moves a bit quicker than model guidance...one of the reasons why as well I would think for a more northern landfall...if models are moving her too slow they will also phase quicker and tug her in quicker. i don't think she can get north of 40N with that E canada/greenland block no matter what, maybe i'm mistaken and i know your not calling for anything outside of NNJ anyway right wiz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 i don't think she can get north of 40N with that E canada/greenland block no matter what, maybe i'm mistaken and i know your not calling for anything outside of NNJ anyway right wiz Yeah I'm still thinking northern NJ for landfall. While the blocking will certainly limit her northward progress her size and strength will make it difficult to phase early...while I think she will move north faster than models show, eventually b/c of the blocking and resisting to phase early on she will slow down quite a bit but I don't think the landfall will be as far south as some models show. I know the debate is out there though...there were a quite of few people at the SNE wx conference who also don't believe she will make landfall as far south as some of the models show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Sandy is trucking right along. Moving a little faster than some of the models like the NAM/GFS..maybe even the Euro. She's trucking pretty good. Was there any difference in the models that were showing higher speed with respect to track? Would be good not to have any wrenches in the works (though at this point it's probably more academic than anything). Winds whistling away here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 NAM definitely looks faster...looks poised for landfall at hour 27-28 or so but same spot. Central NJ, Toms river area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikolai Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Sandy looks much more impressive than Irene did. I think she will look even better tonight into tomorrow AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 NAM definitely looks faster...looks poised for landfall at hour 27-28 or so but same spot. Central NJ, Toms river area. Agree. Good luck up there guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 NAM definitely looks faster...looks poised for landfall at hour 27-28 or so but same spot. Central NJ, Toms river area. Pressure? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2012 Author Share Posted October 28, 2012 Already experienced? As in past storms? It will be a major storm with major impacts, but terms like destruction I think are more reserved for LI sound, at least given current timing and track. Faster or slower makes a difference here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 What time are we expecting LF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Pressure? 950...seems a little high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 5 pm, advisory is out, Sandy moving NE @15 mph, Pressure up 1 mb to 952mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Guaranteed...there will be people inland in mass who get 45 kts gusts and very little rain who will call this storm a major bust...regardless of the fact that that is what is what is forecasted. It happens every storm pretty much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 NAM is super fast. If that were to verify I think we might avoid a worst case scenario surge. Tide in New Haven and Fairfield Counties is high around midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 NAM is super fast. If that were to verify I think we might avoid a worst case scenario surge. Tide in New Haven and Fairfield Counties is high around midnight. LL ftw (or a minimized loss)? That'll be great news. What would cause it to speed up this much (at the 11th hour here) yet still land in the same place? Does that seem odd? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Some real impressive rain already in the mid-Atlantic... nice fronto banding in eastern Maryland. Must just be absolutely pouring in that north-south band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 That doesn't look like a post tropical landfall to me... Sneaky buggers. They changed it to a PT landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 NAM is super fast. If that were to verify I think we might avoid a worst case scenario surge. Tide in New Haven and Fairfield Counties is high around midnight. help me out here 6 hour ago it had LF at 33 now 27 how is it faster? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Guaranteed...there will be people inland in mass who get 45 kts gusts and very little rain who will call this storm a major bust...regardless of the fact that that is what is what is forecasted. It happens every storm pretty much. Speaking of very little rain... check out the orographics on BTV's 4km WRF model, lol. From 12z Monday to 12z Tuesday it has under 0.1" of rainfall for the CT Valley in MA/CT as well as the Hudson Valley in epic downslope conditions. This could make for higher winds in the valley though with downslope mixing higher gusts aloft. While it has almost no rain in the CT Valley and Hudson Valley, it likewise has massive upslope with 1.5-4.0" in the Worcester Hills, the Berkshire crest, and the eastern Catskills. The rainfall distribution will be really cool from this storm...just like a long duration easterly fetch snow storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 help me out here 6 hour ago it had LF at 33 now 27 how is it faster? It's a little faster.12z 36hr 18z 30hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Nice little 1.5-2.0 max over Mt Tolland lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 help me out here 6 hour ago it had LF at 33 now 27 how is it faster? Not saying it's faster than the previous run just that it's faster than the other guidance. It has a 23z/00z landfall.... not 6z like NHC has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Not saying it's faster than the previous run just that it's faster than the other guidance. It has a 23z/00z landfall.... not 6z like NHC has. 6z seems a little slow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 This map surprises me a bit. Hope it plays out that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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