ChrisM Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I wouldnt be surprised if the actual damage around here isn't too horrible, nothing like Snotober I'd wager. Coastal CT is gonna get raked. I think the leaves being down is gonna be our saving grace. There's a ton of pine trees around 800-900' here, I don't know how resistant they are though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I think Boston has like a 40/60 shot to gust to 75 if that LLJ gets there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Turned on the heat, house was chilly. That GFS run if comes to fruition will be brutal for the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Already getting breezy. This storm is immense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I think Boston has like a 40/60 shot to gust to 75 if that LLJ gets there. what's the time frame for those possible gusts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 50 to 55 knots at KORH I'm guessing with guidance. Long duration of 40 plus knot gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Pressure back down to 951 mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 50 to 55 knots at KORH I'm guessing with guidance. Long duration of 40 plus knot gusts. That's pretty sick, seeing as the center will be so far south. Sandy is a whopper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Alright well when up the street at 1200' rips to 80mph ill let you know lol that's not what I meant...I was more referencing the number of people who may lose everything along the coast. With the infrastructure and population on the coastline, that will be a bigger deal than a few folks without power in the NW hills. The media attention will definitely be on the coast...where 90mph gusts are possible coupled with the surge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 lol that's not what I meant...I was more referencing the number of people who may lose everything along the coast. With the infrastructure and population on the coastline, that will be a bigger deal than a few folks without power in the NW hills. The media attention will definitely be on the coast...where 90mph gusts are possible coupled with the surge. Agreed....Litchfield county is basically irrelevant in this storm compared to the south coast in terms of potential impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 That's pretty sick, seeing as the center will be so far south. Sandy is a whopper Hope your ready for her Dave. I'm up on a hill facing NE to SE..lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonkis Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 from SPC. A small window for a little convection post-landfall: DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1227 AM CDT SUN OCT 28 2012 VALID 291200Z - 301200Z ...SRN NEW ENGLAND... HURRICANE SANDY REMAINS ON TRACK TO MOVE ONSHORE ALONG THE NJ COAST. POOR LAPSE RATES ARE EXPECTED TO LIMIT TSTM ACTIVITY WITH THE WARM CORE AS IT MOVES INLAND...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE UNFAVORABLE LOW LEVEL TRAJECTORIES ACROSS NY INTO THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC. HOWEVER...LATE IN THE PERIOD THERE IS SOME CONCERN THAT HIGHER BUOYANCY PLUME WILL TRANSLATE NWWD INTO PORTIONS OF SRN NEW ENGLAND IN THE WAKE OF SANDY. COOLING PROFILES AND STEEPENING LAPSE RATES SHOULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEEP CONVECTION CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LIGHTNING. GIVEN THAT STRONG SHEAR WILL LINGER ACROSS THIS REGION HAVE INTRODUCED FIVE PERCENT SEVERE PROBS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS NEAR LIGHTNING PRODUCING ECHOES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 lol that's not what I meant...I was more referencing the number of people who may lose everything along the coast. With the infrastructure and population on the coastline, that will be a bigger deal than a few folks without power in the NW hills. The media attention will definitely be on the coast...where 90mph gusts are possible coupled with the surge. Dude, I hope bong day at Stowe is going well today. Anyway, the storm looks pretty good right now. I bet the next update will be a few mb lower. Even a littel more convection firing around the center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Will, what time for that LLJ in boston with potentially highest winds, mon nite? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 000 URNT12 KNHC 281739 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL182012 A. 28/17:21:30Z B. 32 deg 42 min N 071 deg 59 min W C. 700 mb 2670 m D. 47 kt E. 173 deg 26 nm F. 237 deg 69 kt G. 138 deg 127 nm H. 953 mb I. 10 C / 3047 m J. 12 C / 3050 m K. 12 C / NA L. SPIRAL BAND M. NA N. 12345 / 7 O. 0.02 / 1 nm P. AF302 2018A SANDY OB 16 MAX FL WIND 78 KT S QUAD 16:17:30Z MAX FL TEMP 13 C 199 / 8 NM FROM FL CNTR ; Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Will, what time for that LLJ in boston with potentially highest winds, mon nite? Afternoon into evening I think is probably the highest potential for wind gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Hope your ready for her Dave. I'm up on a hill facing NE to SE..lol! We should be fine here. Windy, some trees might come down, possibly looking at power issues. No biggie CT, RI, NY, NJ, SE MA have much bigger issues ahead. Hope all goes well with you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 We should be fine here. Windy, some trees might come down, possibly looking at power issues. No biggie CT, RI, NY, NJ, SE MA have much bigger issues ahead. Hope all goes well with you I think all of E. Mass will have issues due to wind... Anyone have links to track power outages? I remember used this for a storm a while back... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 000 URNT12 KNHC 281739 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL182012 A. 28/17:21:30Z B. 32 deg 42 min N 071 deg 59 min W C. 700 mb 2670 m D. 47 kt E. 173 deg 26 nm F. 237 deg 69 kt G. 138 deg 127 nm H. 953 mb I. 10 C / 3047 m J. 12 C / 3050 m K. 12 C / NA L. SPIRAL BAND M. NA N. 12345 / 7 O. 0.02 / 1 nm P. AF302 2018A SANDY OB 16 MAX FL WIND 78 KT S QUAD 16:17:30Z MAX FL TEMP 13 C 199 / 8 NM FROM FL CNTR ; Max sfc winds are only 47 knots right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 ACK already gusting to 30 knots. lol Gusts over 30 here in Staten Island, NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I think Boston has like a 40/60 shot to gust to 75 if that LLJ gets there. Will you know I don't usually push for specifics...but what is your feeling down here at say PYM and Otis for max gusts? Phil around? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Will you know I don't usually push for specifics...but what is your feeling down here at say PYM and Otis for max gusts? Phil around? BID already at 11 feet, I saw Wave Watch models calling for 48 just East of you, incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 The p/c's must be off. Mine (and zfp) are showing gusts up to 65mph. Meanwhile, Westport CT is showing 70. There's going to be a heck of a lot more differential between there and here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 NWS only predicting gusts to about 40kts up here. Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 messenger, euro updates? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radius Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 https://s3.amazonaws.com/stormcenter.nationalgridus.com/external/sc_ma.html I think all of E. Mass will have issues due to wind... Anyone have links to track power outages? I remember used this for a storm a while back... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 2pm NHC 951mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Euro is into C NJ between 36-42hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Euro is near Belmar, NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I'm still quite concerned about widespread tree/damage and power outages all across CT...the shore is pretty much screwed but winds of 30-40 mph with gusts higher than that for a solid 24-HR and then mixing gusts in there potentially as high as 60 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.