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Sandy VI disco


CoastalWx

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Yep, its been an uphill battle to convince people of the myth that if this tracks 25 miles south, its going to end up being much less impact...really, there will be no difference. This isn't a hurricane when it hits, its a Nor' Easter of hurricane strength. The strongest winds might be recorded well away from the center and certainly the windfield being the size that it is creates a monster fetch over the water....just pouring it into LI sound.

Can't tell you how many times over the past few days I've heard people in the Boston area and up here make reference to the projected landfall and downplay the impacts to New England. If I had a dollar for every time I've heard "just a typical nor'easter," I'd be retiring early. The average non-weather-geek, if they pay any attention at all to forecasts, sees the little hurricane symbol way down off Jersey and writes it off. Even the "cone of uncertainty" contributes, since many people interpret the cone as representing the widest possible range of impacts. I'd really like to see the NHC/NWS do a better job of explaining to the public what the cone really represents, and maybe put more emphasis on the hurricane/TS wind field probability graphics.

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How long has KBID not been reporting? I looks like its been out for a long time...like days or weeks. That's a bummer not to have their obs in this system.

Out since 10/20 at 0315Z. Not an ASOS, it's an AWOS. Oh well...may get it back sometime.

Yes, Will, it would have been GREAT to see what winds are there.

--Turtle

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Do the models initializing the pressures too high really have any affect at all on how models handle the progress of the storm or winds associated with the storm or does it not really make any difference?

I don't think it makes a huge difference...especially in this storm where the mechanism for winds is not a tight core around the eye...the large scale LLJ is what is going to produce most of the high winds in this.

Perhaps a small area of enhanced winds might occur near the landfall spot with what is left of the core, but its hard to say for sure.

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I don't think it makes a huge difference...especially in this storm where the mechanism for winds is not a tight core around the eye...the large scale LLJ is what is going to produce most of the high winds in this.

Perhaps a small area of enhanced winds might occur near the landfall spot with what is left of the core, but its hard to say for sure.

Alright thanks...I didn't really think it made that much of a difference but I wasn't positive and since I've had people ask me I didn't want to give out incorrect info.

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I don't think it makes a huge difference...especially in this storm where the mechanism for winds is not a tight core around the eye...the large scale LLJ is what is going to produce most of the high winds in this.

Perhaps a small area of enhanced winds might occur near the landfall spot with what is left of the core, but its hard to say for sure.

DTK talked about this.

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