ChrisM Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Overcast and breezy, will be interesting tomorrow I think there will be plenty of breaks of sun in between bands, really do not see that much rain around here at all. Could be very cool ripping close to 70 with an occasional peak of sun! I messaged you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I think you will rock 7pm-12am. Nude. Manager just called me and said please stay home tomorrow FTW Can the Cowboys find a worse way to lose? Ugh no TD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 In Floyd I remember the winds at the beach in Westport being sustained 35mph with gust to 55mph. I went back to my house 2 miles inland and there was hardly anything. Maybe it's because of drag on land or maybe the sound has a funneling effect when winds are out of the ENE. I heard A similar descrition from Irene. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Nude. Manager just called me and said please stay home tomorrow FTW Can the Cowboys find a worse way to lose? Ugh no TD No such thing as a bad cowboys loss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I don't think the terrain is steep enough to have a big effect. On the west slope of the Berkshires you can get some downslope enhancement, but its not like what is seen up in the Greens. Sweet, cool. I've always wondered about that and if the CT Valley would see stronger winds along with the downsloping of precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 950mb now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I'll be doing a live chat at 8pm until ??. Click on CHAT on the menu bar to access the chat room. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 23. G 37. starting to crank out here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 What part of Fairfield are you located? Im less than a mile from LI sound and have a large bay in my backyard that fills up quite a bit at high tide. Just curious if I should be concerned about flooding. Im pretty much between jennings and st marys, but on the the northern side of US 1. South of US 1 across from Dairy Queen at the end of the street I have tidal marsh between myself and the sound as well. In the mandatory evac zone heading out bright and early, good luck@! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2012 Author Share Posted October 29, 2012 LI sound looks scarier and scarier. Good luck Joe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 South of US 1 across from Dairy Queen at the end of the street I have tidal marsh between myself and the sound as well. In the mandatory evac zone heading out bright and early, good luck@! Good luck hope you weather the storm! Just saw possible surge @ Bridgeport now 13-14 feet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Man to think those models that had 935 mb are going to be close to being correct is scary. Roger Smith FTW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 I'm little surprised some of the school districts up here have already called off tomorrow. Umass, Smith, Amherst College all closed. I guess they are erroring on the side of caution. Getting a little breezier here up in the tree tops. From the E, maybe 10mph or so. Yeah, all 3 districts in my household called it off. Wise choice, plus my building is a shelter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Man to think those models that had 935 mb are going to be close to being correct is scary. Roger Smith FTW? Truly nuts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 glad your getting out goodluck!!! this storm may still have some surprises we never seen anything like it South of US 1 across from Dairy Queen at the end of the street I have tidal marsh between myself and the sound as well. In the mandatory evac zone heading out bright and early, good luck@! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Our preschool just called school Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Good luck hope you weather the storm! Just saw possible surge @ Bridgeport now 13-14 feet? Thanks, I would not doubt it, in reality there was no low tide today........I really fear it maybe worse down in lower westchester where the sound narrows if thats even possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 No, winds will be strong everywhere, I said that I'm not sure some interior spots will reach KFS predictions. However, higher elevations could gust to 70 like Kevin's area if the GFS verified. And then areas like the east slopes of the ORH may very well too during the erly LLJ, because there isn't much land friction when you are another 500' or so higher than areas to the east..like where Will is. There may be two things going on for strong winds. #1) Tomorrow aftn easterly LLJ will be rocking. While soundings do not support deep mixing, turbulent eddies alone and any showers will be able to transport 75mph winds only several hundred feet up. This will impact coastal areas and any areas that are higher up...like ORH...and especially the eastern ORH hills since they are the first land object encountered by the jet. The reason being several hundred feet higher than areas east of them like Shrewsbury. All interior areas will probably gust 50-60 at least during this. Convective showers may also cause localized higher gusts, but we cannot pinpoint those areas from mesoscale stuff like that. #2) the south coast of SNE as Sandy moves into NJ. It's here where another enhanced LLJ from the SE moves in and nails CT. This imo is probably Kevin's best shot. The reason is due to warm surface area that will be ripped in on E-SE winds, yet temps aloft will actually cool thanks to CAA aloft from the SE! This will cause low level lapse rates to steepen and therefore higher momentum transfer possible. #2 I think is more GFS and perhaps Euro dependent since it has a core of strong winds. Tropical models would bring this a little more south. Also, there is the chance that Sandy may have an oval shape to the center of low pressure. What I mean is that as it moves NW then WNW, the center of low pressure will perhaps stretch out to the ENE giving it less of a circular shape and more oval in nature. I think what this would do, it perhaps cause a wicked LLJ moving into SNE and really allowing winds to blow across all areas. The NAM sort of does this and the fast whiplash west of that trough of low pressure would enhance winds I think. Just some things to watch. Thanks Scott! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 South of US 1 across from Dairy Queen at the end of the street I have tidal marsh between myself and the sound as well. In the mandatory evac zone heading out bright and early, good luck@! Good luck. Hope you pull through ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Good luck hope you weather the storm! Just saw possible surge @ Bridgeport now 13-14 feet? That's unbelievable--good thoughts to all of the CT/LI coasters. What's the current thinking regarding NYC surge? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Thanks, I would not doubt it, in reality there was no low tide today........I really fear it maybe worse down in lower westchester where the sound narrows if thats even possible. It probably will be. I lived in Pelham Bay and worked on and frequented City Island a lot when I was in HS and college. In 1972 Agnes put the north end of City Island under 4-4.5 feet. The 1992 Dec coastal was just as bad..even worse west by Whitestone Bridge LGA and all the bays from the Bronx up to Westchester counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 South of US 1 across from Dairy Queen at the end of the street I have tidal marsh between myself and the sound as well. In the mandatory evac zone heading out bright and early, good luck@! Just drove through that area a few minutes ago. Seems like there are still a decent amount of people around, and nobody has really boarded up or anything. Tried to make it down to Fairfield Beach Road too, but cops were blocking it off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Just out of curiosity - with the different categories there are in the saffir simpson scale, what are the different storm surge probablities associated per category? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Watching the AKQ radar, nice intense little rainband moving ashore VA beach picked up 0.8" in a little over an hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 That's unbelievable--good thoughts to all of the CT/LI coasters. What's the current thinking regarding NYC surge? I think 11-12 foot Battery west to Raritan Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hammerz_nailz Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Good luck hope you weather the storm! Just saw possible surge @ Bridgeport now 13-14 feet? Do you have a link for that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 December 1992 had like a 10 foot surge in LI sound...12 feet would be catastrophic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Just out of curiosity - with the different categories there are in the saffir simpson scale, what are the different storm surge probablities associated per category? There is no cut and dry category to surge level comparison. I was just commenting with a friend how I don't like the inundation maps the various states have out there because they associate areas flooded to category rather than water level. After all water level is the only thing that matters. We can all but guarantee that Sandy will be for all intents and purposes a category 1 at landfall but carry a surge much greater than that due to the nearly perfect angle of approach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Do you have a link for that? http://slosh.nws.noaa.gov/etsurge/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.