bboughton Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 already got 20 mph, 30 mph gusts up here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 On 10/29/2012 at 6:38 AM, bboughton said: I'm really surprised to see the board so dead... if i were you id get some sleep. haha the wind will be howling so bad tomorrow night it will make it impossible to sleep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Not so tired... I guess hurricanes still don't muster up the kind of viewership that winter storms do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 On 10/29/2012 at 6:41 AM, bboughton said: Not so tired... I guess hurricanes still don't muster up the kind of viewership that winter storms do. I'm trying to get work done before we lose power (hopefully not). Gotten much windier in the last 20 or so minutes with gusts pushing 40. Chatham tide gauge is way up. Going to be an interesting morning. I like the faster timing of the newer models Sandy appears is on her way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 winds roaring...30 g 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 On 10/29/2012 at 6:41 AM, bboughton said: Not so tired... I guess hurricanes still don't muster up the kind of viewership that winter storms do. ?? Record viewership this weekend. Now's a perfect time for sleep man... tomorrow is gonna be a long day and night. There are, however, plenty of lurkers... > 20 downloads of that euro map I posted in past hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Really? Maybe traffic is up. Seems like posts have been down compared to storms from two winters ago. People used to always post about the Euro. Or maybe I'm just wrong, that's possible. Already gusting between 30 and 40 which is cool. New ECMWF wind maps on Wundermaps shows much less significant winds than earlier maps. Curious to see what actually happens. Every University in Boston is closed tomorrow... wonder if this was an overreaction? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 On the bright side I think I figured out why my daughters been waking up in the middle of the night. The clock on my weather station was all messed up and an alarm was going off at 252am. Whoops. http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44009 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 On 10/29/2012 at 6:54 AM, messenger said: On the bright side I think I figured out why my daughters been waking up in the middle of the night. The clock on my weather station was all messed up and an alarm was going off at 252am. Whoops. http://www.ndbc.noaa...p?station=44009 lol buoy 44014 a little further south off Virginia Beach showing 25.9ft waves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 BOX update 234am: Near term /through tonight/... * high wind warnings for damaging winds across much of the region through Monday night with widespread power outages possible * flood watches for heavy rainfall of 2-4 inches with locally up to 5 inches possible across the higher terrain * coastal flood warnings issued for the south and east facing coasts with moderate coastal flooding likely...major coastal flooding possible along the South Coast and in Narragansett Bay Northeast winds continue to increase in advance of Sandy...with sustained winds around 20 knots with gusts up to 34 knots along the South Shore...cape and islands. Very light rain/drizzle also present with the onshore flow. Expecting winds to increase dramatically between now and 8 am across southern New England. Winds expected to peak this afternoon and evening...before gradually diminishing overnight. After review of the 29/00z guidance...am liking the NAM solution the best. Remains to be seen how many of the details the NAM has resolved with the track of Sandy. Not planning on significant changes to the previous wind forecast across southern New England as it looks to be in very good shape. The strong winds bring significant moisture flux convergence at the lower levels and will cause terrain-/upslope-enhanced precipitation. This is best reflected by the NAM...especially higher resolution versions of the model. This threat is addressed more in the hydrology section of the discussion. Probability of precipitation increase to categorical early today. A Flood Watch is in effect today into Tuesday. Categorical probability of precipitation continue tonight as showers associated with Sandy Cross through our area. Continued risk for locally heavy rains. H850 wind field gradually diminishes over time as Sandy tracks overland...with the low-level jet continuing at 70 to 90 knots over our area to start...then diminishing to 40 to 60 knots late. High Wind Warning continues for our County Warning Area during this timeframe... still anticipating gusts to 60 to 70 kts over our County Warning Area during the night...but winds should begin to diminish towards daybreak. Coastal flood and marine headlines are addressed later in this discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Not only will the CAA enhance the mixing leading to potential for stronger winds to be mixed down but we'll also have to keep an eye on the development of any convection as well as an isolated tornado threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 NE 24 G34 at kbos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Pulses here not too bad now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Here is Will's wind signal for eastern Mass. Easterly component of the wind at 925 mb is well into the -6 SD territory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 On 10/29/2012 at 7:42 AM, OceanStWx said: Here is Will's wind signal for eastern Mass. Easterly component of the wind at 925 mb is well into the -6 SD territory. Yeah Will scared me into an all-nighter. I hate the idea of being without power but it seems like a very good bet. We're probably only about 10 mph from getting gusts around 50 and at that point I figure we'll start to see some outages. Only thing in our favor is not much rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 0z NAM bufkit has winds gusting to 45-55 mph through much of Tuesday afternoon across CT...going to be very, very ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Looks like 06z NAM wants to come into S NJ landfall around 6 or 7 pm tomorrow evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 On 10/29/2012 at 7:50 AM, messenger said: Yeah Will scared me into an all-nighter. I hate the idea of being without power but it seems like a very good bet. We're probably only about 10 mph from getting gusts around 50 and at that point I figure we'll start to see some outages. Only thing in our favor is not much rain Outside the easterly upslope zones, rain does look like a quick hitter for most. The op NAM and GFS 925 mb wind forecasts are even more impressive than that GEFS image too. The signal weakens with time, but even manages to hold together to keep -6 SD winds up into coastal Maine. Couple that with PWATs around +3 SD and I think the Whites will do very well on QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 On 10/29/2012 at 7:56 AM, yoda said: Looks like 06z NAM wants to come into S NJ landfall around 6 or 7 pm tomorrow evening Yeah, kind of surprised by the continued move south. NHC really had this nailed....their track has been outstanding. we'll have to see what we get for winds up here - still hoping we escape. Feel badly for all of those to our SW, devastating situation setting up. Good luck all, couple of quick hours of sleep with fingers crossed that this won't be too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 On 10/29/2012 at 7:58 AM, OceanStWx said: Outside the easterly upslope zones, rain does look like a quick hitter for most. The op NAM and GFS 925 mb wind forecasts are even more impressive than that GEFS image too. The signal weakens with time, but even manages to hold together to keep -6 SD winds up into coastal Maine. Couple that with PWATs around +3 SD and I think the Whites will do very well on QPF. Cool....6z NAM seems to have shifted south by a dozen or so miles. Not sure that will matter much for all the reasons you guys have discussed. We'll see, will get some good videos of the tides in the morning. Whether I still have power to post who knows. Hoping the severe storms of the last few years have taken out most of the weaker trees. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 On 10/29/2012 at 8:01 AM, messenger said: Cool....6z NAM seems to have shifted south by a dozen or so miles. Not sure that will matter much for all the reasons you guys have discussed. We'll see, will get some good videos of the tides in the morning. Whether I still have power to post who knows. Hoping the severe storms of the last few years have taken out most of the weaker trees. Good luck. Looks like it did shift south a few miles... good luck to you all up there... May the power Force be with you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 On 10/29/2012 at 8:02 AM, yoda said: Looks like it did shift south a few miles... good luck to you all up there... May the power Force be with you Lol same down your way Yoda. It's too bad with this big community we've got....maybe there will be a way we can all help those hit the worst. Just looked quickly and Will/Scott etc have all been saying the few mile shifts don't matter and indeed the 6z still has that nasty signal up here. We are usually pretty resilient to power losses. I didn't really even lose power during the 05 blizzard, not at all during Irene etc. But....I guess I'm due! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 All systems go..D day is here. Looks like it's strengthening again..Hopefully we can get a LF pressure under 940mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 On 10/29/2012 at 8:14 AM, CT Blizz said: All systems go..D day is here. Looks like it's strengthening again..Hopefully we can get a LF pressure under 940mb Hey Blizz... even though we argue and stuff... hope you dont lose power for too long and dont have too much heavy heavy damage.... good luck up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 On 10/29/2012 at 8:15 AM, yoda said: Hey Blizz... even though we argue and stuff... hope you dont lose power for too long and dont have too much heavy heavy damage.... good luck up there LOL..thanks dude. Same to you all down there. Even though several of your posters were nasty twds me..it's all good. Wishing you guys all the best and stay safe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hammerz_nailz Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Sandy looks to be getting elongated and pushed towards the northwest now. The block may make it to the cape? http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/flash-wv.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JYarsh Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Buoy 41001 has finally sprang to life now that the center of Sandy has moved about 150 n mi to the NE. Winds up to 52.4 kts with gusts up to 66.0 in the last hour. http://www.ndbc.noaa...p?station=41001 945.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2012 Author Share Posted October 29, 2012 May have to watch band of heavy rain and convection with LLJ and dryslot moves north this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 On 10/29/2012 at 8:40 AM, CoastalWx said: May have to watch band of heavy rain and convection with LLJ and dryslot moves north this afternoon. Yes, this is something that hasn't been discussed but certainly needs to be watched. Any convection occurring with that LLJ and some spots are in deep trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxnut Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 On 10/29/2012 at 8:35 AM, JYarsh said: Buoy 41001 has finally sprang to life now that the center of Sandy has moved about 150 n mi to the NE. Winds up to 52.4 kts with gusts up to 66.0 in the last hour. http://www.ndbc.noaa...p?station=41001 945.7 B44025 will be fun to watch as that 90-100 kt LLJ moves over them by 18Z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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