LocoAko Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Christie just claimed that last night "they" told him that the Raritan River Basin "wouldn't be affected". Uh, I'm sure the NWS would like to contest that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I keep seeing pressures at LF around 947. Being that it's at 951 now and with the phasing yet to take place is it even a remote possibility that the pressure is underdone? I mean, are we to believe that the strength will basically remain the same with the phase yet to occur? I do think it is underdone. Models earlier in the week had 940 or even lower in some examples. To rule out it potentially getting that low is premature in my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I do think it is underdone. Models earlier in the week had 940 or even lower in some examples. To rule out it potentially getting that low is premature in my opinion. I believe that the phasing will change the type of the storm that it is, not automatically turn it into something "stronger"....basically, the storm is already strong and will be pulled towards a populated area, large scale Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 12z hwrf. 934 landfall. It initialized the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XtremeWx Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 12z hwrf. 934 landfall. It initialized the best. WOW! where does it make LF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CharlestonNYC Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 12z hwrf. 934 landfall. It initialized the best. Where? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossthread Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Moderators Please, Please forgive Me, posting here... I need Help badly... ******* Folks! I need some help FAST! Even though I reside on Coastal NC, I've got a dear friend Whim resides in Riverhead, NY Around Ellen street in Riverhead.... She's reporting mainstreet is flooding already... Her husband is gone on business out of town... She's by herself and getting scared... I *think* She's at least 35' above the bay... I need to reasure Her about flooding potental... As I Opined She resides at/around 40 block of Ellen Street, Riverhead Ny.... Tide(s) Surge & Flooding, has She anything to worry about?????.. Or PLEASE post a link for estimated surges & tide info expected? in THAT area? There are Evac orders, (she said, in a PM) out for "Low-Lying" area(s) around there... HELP! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 WOW! where does it make LF? central jersey...throws 90-100kt 900mb winds onto LI/CT/NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikolai Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Given the current progs, is flooding possible in Zone B of the NYC evac maps in addition to Zone A? I would think just Zone A, but idk. Also, I visited a friend at Fair Harbor on Fire Island this summer. I can't imagine that place is left standing after this storm. When I was there it was apparent they haven't seen anything major in ages as the entire island is within a few feet of sea level. During the peak surge I would presume the entire island will be covered by several feet of water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Given the current progs, is flooding possible in Zone B of the NYC evac maps in addition to Zone A? I would think just Zone A, but idk. Also, I visited a friend at Fair Harbor on Fire Island this summer. I can't imagine that place is left standing after this storm. When I was there it was apparent they haven't seen anything major in ages as the entire island is within a few feet of sea level. During the peak surge I would presume the entire island will be covered by several feet of water. Fire Island will be completely under water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 12z hwrf. 934 landfall. It initialized the best. 1938 Hurricane came ashore at Patchogue, Long Island with a pressure of 946 mb / 27.94". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bklnwx1 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Yes. Sheepshead bay. Are you in Zone A? I'm in Sheepshead Bay-Zone B @ Ave.Y & Batchelder St., north of the Belt Pkwy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Moderators Please, Please forgive Me, posting here... I need Help badly... ******* Folks! I need some help FAST! Even though I reside on Coastal NC, I've got a dear friend Whim resides in Riverhead, NY Around Ellen street in Riverhead.... She's reporting mainstreet is flooding already... Her husband is gone on business out of town... She's by herself and getting scared... I *think* She's at least 35' above the bay... I need to reasure Her about flooding potental... As I Opined She resides at/around 40 block of Ellen Street, Riverhead Ny.... Tide(s) Surge & Flooding, has She anything to worry about?????.. Or PLEASE post a link for estimated surges & tide info expected? in THAT area? There are Evac orders, (she said, in a PM) out for "Low-Lying" area(s) around there... HELP! My mom is calling for help, even though I live in Mount Vernon, NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Fire Island will be completely under water. with 15 foot waves on top of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 WOW! where does it make LF? Looks like south Jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Are you in Zone A? I'm in Sheepshead Bay-Zone B @ Ave.Y & Batchelder St., north of the Belt Pkwy. I live right near you. We should be in zone A since we are near the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SquatchinNY Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 central jersey...throws 90-100kt 900mb winds onto LI/CT/NYC What about further north in the KPOU area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Moderators Please, Please forgive Me, posting here... I need Help badly... ******* Folks! I need some help FAST! Even though I reside on Coastal NC, I've got a dear friend Whim resides in Riverhead, NY Around Ellen street in Riverhead.... She's reporting mainstreet is flooding already... Her husband is gone on business out of town... She's by herself and getting scared... I *think* She's at least 35' above the bay... I need to reasure Her about flooding potental... As I Opined She resides at/around 40 block of Ellen Street, Riverhead Ny.... Tide(s) Surge & Flooding, has She anything to worry about?????.. Or PLEASE post a link for estimated surges & tide info expected? in THAT area? There are Evac orders, (she said, in a PM) out for "Low-Lying" area(s) around there... HELP! Provide more information. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 my biggest concern with these high winds up in the 900-950mb range is how much of it is actually going to mix down? hows the conditions as far as getting the winds to mix down efficiently when the heart of the storm gets here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 My friend just told me that the euro shows over 100 knots for tomorrow at 850 mb. Is that true? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 My friend just told me that the euro shows over 100 knots for tomorrow at 850 mb. Is that true? like i said even if it is thats still a quite a bit above our level and biggest concern is if we can mix these winds down effiecienty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Ominous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderdude Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I live right near you. We should be in zone A since we are near the water. Does zone B include Bay Ridge? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Voluntary evacuations issued for Jersey City and Hoboken (I think they should be mandatory, but whatever), including Downtown Jersey City and all of Hoboken. They are also urging residents above the 10th floor to seek shelter on lower floors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Ominous Impressive and scary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SquatchinNY Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Can one of the mets here tell me what winds will be around KPOU? -Thx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Does zone B include Bay Ridge? Pretty sure it does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 This is a pretty weird coincidence. http://www.weca.org/SET/report/node6.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bklnwx1 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Pretty sure it does You can enter your address to get a zoomed in map of your evac zone location: http://gis.nyc.gov/oem/he/index.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I wonder if the bridges and tunnels will close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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