Diego Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 I have a friend who lives at the seawall at the end of Dover Street in Manhattan Beach, Brooklyn - three kids under 10 years old and a macho new boyfriend. They aren't evacuating. Should they have evacuated? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Do any of you know of some good live webcams in the affected areas? I'm not having much luck with the ones I'm finding on Google. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Earthcam has some in NY and NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Strongest winds in the SE quadrant. The landfall cone now soth of Toms River to Cape May. I think she comes in just at or north of ACY and I dont think 30 - 50 miles more south means much for the n-nj/nyc/li/s-ne areas. Winds are ripping here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Strongest winds in the SE quadrant. The landfall cone now soth of Toms River to Cape May. I think she comes in just at or north of ACY and I dont think 30 - 50 miles more south means much for the n-nj/nyc/li/s-ne areas. Winds are ripping here now. not gonna mean much as far as wind impact for us though. the winds are still gonna be insane as we head into the afternoon and with this storm still strengthening its possible we make a run at sub 940mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 not gonna mean much as far as wind impact for us though. the winds are still gonna be insane as we head into the afternoon and with this storm still strengthening its possible we make a run at sub 940mb Agree... I do think the heaviest rainfall will fall over DC,Balt, DE, SNJ, PHL (south of c-nj) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGod Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Do any of you know of some good live webcams in the affected areas? I'm not having much luck with the ones I'm finding on Google. Found some cameras here, haven't checked all the links yet but the Seaside one works http://www.eastcoastcams.com/newjerseysurfcams.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Agree... I do think the heaviest rainfall will fall over DC,Balt, DE, SNJ, PHL (south of c-nj) we were never suppose to get the heaviest rains on LI we'll be taking the cake for the most insanes winds though however. i do believe that during the hieght of this for us we'll be getting some pretty wicked convective bands with maybe even some rotation embedded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Earthcam has some in NY and NJ Thanks. I'm still having issues even with earthcam, but it may be on my end. At first I thought the sites were just overloaded with people viewing because all of the cams were frozen even though they said "live" and it was like working on dial up because it takes so long for the page to load. It's probably my stupid pc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 What would actually be crazy is if Sandy deepened a little bit more, but then got TOO strong, miss the phase, and escape east xD did you see that ridge to the North. Not happening bro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 From NWS forecast discussion: ALL NWP IN PRETTY CLOSE AGREEMENT ON DEVELOPMENT AND PLACEMENT OF A BAND OF VERY STRONG 925 MB WINDS OF 70-90 KT TO THE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE BY LATE AFTERNOON OVER OUR CWA...ESPECIALLY ACROSS COASTAL SECTIONS. A SHALLOW MIXED LAYER BELOW THAT...IN COMBINATION WITH POSSIBLE GRAVITY WAVE DUCTING JUST NORTH OF A WARM FRONT DEVELOPING TO THE NORTHEAST OF SANDY...COULD ALLOW A LARGE PORTION OF THESE STRONG WINDS TO MIX DOWN...ESPECIALLY IN HEAVIER RAIN...SO AT LEAST OCCASIONAL GUSTS 60-75 MPH EXPECTED IN NE-E FLOW DURING MID TO LATE AFTERNOON BEFORE THE STORM MAKES LANDFALL. OF EVEN GREATER CONCERN IS A SECOND BAND OF FCST 925 MB WINDS OF SIMILAR STRENGTH ON THE SE FLANK OF THE CYCLONE THAT SHOULD ROTATE UP INTO THE CWA DURING AND JUST AFTER LANDFALL THIS EVENING...INITIALLY IMPACTING SOUTHERN CT AND LONG ISLAND...THEN TRANSLATING WESTWARD INTO NYC METRO AND THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY. STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN THIS QUADRANT OF THE STORM AS CAA BEGINS JUST OFF THE DECK...BUT AS LOW LEVEL WAA CONTINUES...SHOULD LEAD TO EVEN MORE EFFICIENT MOMENTUM TRANSFER...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTH SHORES OF LONG ISLAND AND CT WHERE WINDS COULD GUST 80 TO PERHAPS 90 MPH. THERE MAY BE A LOW END TORNADO THREAT ACROSS EASTERN CT/LONG ISLAND DURING THIS TIME VIA STRONG LOW LEVEL HELICITY AND DEVELOPMENT OF MARGINAL LOW LEVEL CAPE...NOT ENOUGH FOR THUNDER INITIALLY BUT ENOUGH FOR LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION THAT COULD STRETCH ROTATING UPDRAFTS AND/OR TAP INTO HIGHER MOMENTUM ALOFT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Found some cameras here, haven't checked all the links yet but the Seaside one works http://www.eastcoast...seysurfcams.htm Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 What would actually be crazy is if Sandy deepened a little bit more, but then got TOO strong, miss the phase, and escape east xD The best thing that can happen for us now is to keep the rain totals to a minimum to prevent that ground from softening up...also the less rain the less chance for crazy gusts to mix down, thats my hope for the next 12 hours, to keep those rain totals here on the N side of the storm down as much as possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Folks, we now have a westward component to the motion: 000 WTNT33 KNHC 291149 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE SANDY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 28A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012 800 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...SANDY NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AND ACCELERATING... ...EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND COASTAL HURRICANE WINDS PLUS HEAVY APPALACHIAN SNOWS... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.8N 71.1W ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SE OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY ABOUT 310 MI...505 KM SSE OF NEW YORK CITY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...946 MB...27.94 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 The best thing that can happen for us now is to keep the rain totals to a minimum to prevent that ground from softening up...also the less rain the less chance for crazy gusts to mix down, thats my hope for the next 12 hours, to keep those rain totals here on the N side of the storm down as much as possible. Winds are getting intense here, with light rain. Later is going to be insane when Sandy gets closer. Can't wait to see the 8AM update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Winds are getting intense here, with light rain. Later is going to be insane when Sandy gets closer. Can't wait to see the 8AM update Already there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxnut Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Folks, we now have a westward component to the motion: 000 WTNT33 KNHC 291149 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE SANDY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 28A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012 800 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...SANDY NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AND ACCELERATING... ...EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND COASTAL HURRICANE WINDS PLUS HEAVY APPALACHIAN SNOWS... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.8N 71.1W ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SE OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY ABOUT 310 MI...505 KM SSE OF NEW YORK CITY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...946 MB...27.94 INCHES Still 946 mb on update.. I thought latest pass found 941 mb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Still 946 mb on update.. I thought latest pass found 941 mb? Apparently that 941 was just an extrapolated surface pressure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 10m winds 50+ knots showing up in the north and south: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Three photos from this morning on the Long Island Sound (Larchmont, New York): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Hey Superstorm, where did you find this? 10m winds 50+ knots showing up in the north and south: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Hey Superstorm, where did you find this? Its GREarth Recon is finding a 940mb pressure and still lowering Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rygar Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Latest NAM backed off on precip quite a bit. Thankfully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stockmanjr Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Battery tunnel and holland tunnel to close at 1400 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chazman Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Winds now 90mph - pressure 943mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 "tropical storm conditions possible" back up for most areas in mt holly zone. prob doesnt mean much at this point but i question why the back and forth the past two days or so. at any rate, i think the guidance has done a superb job so far pinpointing the axis of the heaviest rain as well as Sandy's path. as she rotates to the NW and W, the deform bands along the SW side will drop tons of qpf, prob underdone in some regards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 "AT THE MOMENT... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE ONLY OCCURRING IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT...BUT MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THESE COULD SPREAD INTO THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE BEFORE LANDFALL." Any pros care to comment on the likelihood of the windfield, especially near the center (i.e., near those of us in Central/North Jersey and the NYC Metro area), becoming more symmetrical? Would be interesting to miss both the highest winds and the greatest rains to the north of Sandy's track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 145800 3738N 07133W 6966 02612 9386 +160 +104 184046 051 033 002 00 145830 3738N 07135W 6966 02607 9382 +156 +119 189036 043 027 002 03 145900 3738N 07137W 6973 02595 9375 +161 +114 191032 035 019 004 00 145930 3738N 07139W 6967 02599 9381 +150 +116 200025 029 020 003 00 150000 3739N 07142W 6970 02595 9377 +153 +113 194018 023 014 003 00 150030 3739N 07144W 6966 02597 9385 +142 +114 177013 015 013 002 03 150100 3739N 07146W 6970 02593 9392 +136 +115 169011 012 016 004 00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Things are going to start to get ugly in just a few hours time as we start to see the strongest winds down to 900-950mb move towards the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 DT posted on facebook that the turn to the NW began earlier than expect so he expects a landfall now in DE or far south NJ. Any truth to this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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