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Hurricane Sandy thread


usedtobe

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There 100% won't be school or work tomorrow, Tuesday, or probably Weds. Would be pretty surprised if some of these county schools open up at all this week.

Who needs to go into a physical office to work? That's horse and buggy thinking...But I agree all schools and many businesses will be closed for at least a few days.

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Does anyone know what the highest wind gust at Baltimore on record is?

Hazel produced record wind gusts at a number of locations. In Hampton, winds gusted to 130 mph; Norfolk had 78 mph sustained hurricane force winds with gusts to 100 mph. Washington National Airport in Arlington, VA had sustain winds reach 78 mph (over hurricane force) with a gust of 98 mph; Baltimore had a sustained wind of 73 mph with a gust to 84 mph; Salisbury recorded 52 mph with a gust to 101 mph and Philadelphia gusted to 100 mph.
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Here is my latest output

SmartCast Update: 28/18Z to 29/18Z

Dover AFB Region: From 00Z to 15Z Winds North at 25-30MPH Gusts to 44MPH. After 12Z Heavy Rain bands with rainfall rates of .20” per hour. Heaviest rains will start from 16Z through 28/18Z, with rates increasing to .35” per hour. In addition, winds increasing to gusts of 45-55MPH. 24-Hour Rainfall accumulation of 3.17”.

Atlantic City Region: From 23Z-14Z. Winds will be NorthEasterly at 25-30 with Gusts up to 44MPH. After 11Z heavy rain bands with rainfall rates of .25” per hour. Visibilities dropping down to 1-2 miles. After 15Z, rainfall rates increase to .33” per hour and winds increase to gusts of between 50-55MPH through 18Z. 24-Hour Rainfall accumulation of 3.35”.

Oceana City Region: Winds through the day will be 30-35MPH with Gusts up to 50MPH. Moderate rainfall for the next 24 hours, with rainfall rates of .15” per hour. 24-Hour Rainfall total will be around 2.3”. Temporarily reduction of visibilities of down to 1-2 miles. Significant Street and Isolated Flooding possible.

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Thanks, Looks like all the models are in pretty close agreement. Does the Euro that you have give you 85o or 900 mb winds? I guess I'm aksing if it has winds similar to the GFS since the nam winds are a little weaker.

It seems the 12Z GFS and 12Z EURO get the same result by differing paths and differing timing.

The GFS seems quicker and moves the storm from SE to NW and then keeps it nearly

stationary for most of a day. If so, someone inland may get more than a foot of rain.

The EURO takes the low closer to mid-New Jersey coast and then slowly backs it

into the area between Harford County, MD. and York, PA.

The GFS seems to get the low back into Martinsburg. Perhaps historic Harpers Ferry floods?

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CTP's new disco is concerning with the wind aspect.

THIS IS ONE OF THOSE RARE CASES WHEN WE COULD SEE SUSTAINED WINDS

OF 35 MPH OR GREATER AS THE INTENSE CYCLONE MOVES OVER THE

REGION. BEST CHANCE FOR THIS WOULD BE OVER SERN ZONES WITH

CHANCES DIMINISHING THE FURTHER WEST INTO THE FCST AREA WE

GO...DUE TO THE STORM BEGINNING TO WEAKEN AFTER LANDFALL. WIND

GUSTS WILL STILL BE STRONG HOWEVER AS THE STORM TAKES LONGER TO

WIND DOWN ALOFT...AND WE MIX THE VERY STRONG WINDS DOWN DUE TO

MECHANICAL MIXING. 850 WINDS IN THE GFS ARE PROGGED AS HIGH AS

100KTS WITH SPEEDS IN THE OTHER MODELS NOT TOO MUCH LOWER THAN

THAT. THIS SHOULD EQUATE TO A WIDESPREAD WIND STORM WITH THE

LIKELIHOOD OF NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLY AFFECTING MILLIONS

OF PEOPLE.

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