aldie 22 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 still pounding here in virginia beach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Looks like its starting to back build east of Baltimore City. I think the winners are going to DC and just south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
insanegrenade Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 What do you mean by "winning"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Looks like its starting to back build east of Baltimore City. I think the winners are going to DC and just south. looks like a bowling ball moving westward on this radar loop http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 So everyone here has been saying that the worst winds will be when the low makes its closest approach to the area in a few hours, but the models all insist the surface winds will die down as the night goes on and the low weakens. Can a met explain that discrepancy? Are the models just not very good at surface winds? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 It looks like a derecho going east to west on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 30, 2012 Author Share Posted October 30, 2012 So everyone here has been saying that the worst winds will be when the low makes its closest approach to the area in a few hours, but the models all insist the surface winds will die down as the night goes on and the low weakens. Can a met explain that discrepancy? Are the models just not very good at surface winds? The next couple hours will be the strongest winds as the heavier showers move through. The models still have strong winds at 925 through 11 PM then they drop off. When we get near the center we might or might not be close enough to to the eye for the winds to weaken and die down. I think there's a good chance of that. Once the storm goes by we'll still have decent gusts...maybe to gusts to 30 to 40 mph as the system will be weakening slowly as it shifts away from the ocean and because vertical with the upper low/trough but that may depend on whether we stay in some heavier showers to help momentum translate the winds down to the surface. Of course the models may also be too slow with the movement of the showers and stronger winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 pretty impressed with the rainfall...even more so than the winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 4.8" at BWI so far. Imagine the snow potential! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 Almost 7" per radar here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 Is this thing going to pivot? The back edge is rapidly approaching. I need a short break. New leak in garage -- first time ever had a leak in garage in all 23 yrs. here. Oh well, at least rest of house has lights and no leaks, so life is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 Euro wins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 if you look carefully, you can see the eye hitting NJ just south of ACY http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_vis.php?image=enh&inv=0&t=l3®ion=at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 Euro wins. It did well, but it also had it coming up the Ches. Bay, and then it also had what post 105 in the origninal Sandy thread shows. I wish that map had come true. Kinda. That would have been a pain also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iammrben Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 Judging from radar hallucinations, it appears that the bands are pivoting somewhere between Baltimore and DC. At least, the orientation seems to be shifting in that manner. Anyone else see what I'm seeing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 there's been a noticeable relaxation of the winds don't get me wrong, still blowing but constant winds and gust speeds are down here's hoping the worse is behind us (at least from BWI N & E) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 Judging from radar hallucinations, it appears that the bands are pivoting somewhere between Baltimore and DC. At least, the orientation seems to be shifting in that manner. Anyone else see what I'm seeing? I just mentioned this in the Obs/Banter thread. Looks like the rain line stopped near a Kingsville-Westminster line. Looking at Dover's radar, it will probably stay around there and then move back north as the storm moves inland into PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 there's been a noticeable relaxation of the winds don't get me wrong, still blowing but constant winds and gust speeds are down here's hoping the worse is behind us (at least from BWI N & E) You ain't seen nothin yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plowable Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 good listening gives validity to the news somewhat, NYFD scanner feed. http://nycfire.net/fdny/communications/liveaudio/scan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 there's been a noticeable relaxation of the winds don't get me wrong, still blowing but constant winds and gust speeds are down here's hoping the worse is behind us (at least from BWI N & E) It's just lulling you to sleep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Symblized Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 there's been a noticeable relaxation of the winds don't get me wrong, still blowing but constant winds and gust speeds are down here's hoping the worse is behind us (at least from BWI N & E) I'm in Federal Hill and I am surprised after a gust about 30 seconds ago did not take the big tree across the street with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
COBRIEN85 Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 It did well, but it also had it coming up the Ches. Bay, and then it also had what post 105 in the origninal Sandy thread shows. I wish that map had come true. Kinda. That would have been a pain also. It still did better then the GFS for 95% of the time lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
COBRIEN85 Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 Im loving my winds right now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 nam shows 33-34 jyo tomorrow morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 nam shows 33-34 jyo tomorrow morning How much snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 It still did better then the GFS for 95% of the time lol It did, but the GFS hinted strongly at the extremely rare and never before documented sting jet that actually materialized over NYC this afternoon, and which has caused their catastrophic damages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 Snow is so 2009-2010....rain wind and flickers are the future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 I just saw one model giving the DC -balto corridor west some snow today, dont know if its true or not, this was on TWC so I guess take it with a grain of salt. Everyone stay safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iammrben Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 Huh, Sterling shows returns flowing into DC, but it's not precipitating here ATM and winds are fairly calm. Color me confused. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 I have moderate rain right now in columbia md, right off Rt 175 , 1 1/2 miles from I-95. east side of rt 29. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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