Ian Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 We are soon the point where someone funny on here posted that image a few days ago and said "the megalopolis goes dark now".... It is just pouring wind at my place. New experience for me, going through something like this. yup--0z tonight models ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 RECENT OBSERVATIONS ------------------- * 70 MPH WIND GUST AT BISHOPS HEAD MARYLAND AT 340 PM. * 68 MPH WIND GUST AT POINT LOOKOUT MARYLAND AT 520 PM. * 60 MPH WIND GUST AT ORIOLE PARK IN BALTIMORE MARYLAND AT 500 PM. * 56 MPH WIND GUST AT PATUXENT RIVER NAVAL AIR STATION AT 248 PM. * 55 MPH WIND GUST AT THOMAS POINT LIGHT ON THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AT 4:00 PM. * 55 MPH WIND GUST AT REAGAN NATIONAL AIRPORT AT 549 PM. * 47 MPH WIND GUST AT MARSHALL BWI AIRPORT AT 118 PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Symblized Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Center passes to our north. If there is a break in precip it will be brief. Edge of heavy precip S of acy is already starting to rotate N. Thanks. That was my reasoning as well, but I wasn't sure whether there would be a break for a while considering the breakup of the classic cyclonic structure. When I saw Zwyts' post of the modeled precip, though, I deleted my original post because if there's a possible 4 additional inches of rain then any break must be pretty brief. TL;DR: thank you for the confirmation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Gust to 94 mph at Eaton's Neck on Long Island. About 30 miles ENE of NYC not us but highest on land so far Wonder if anyone will record anything over 100 from this? 94 is insane though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Wonder if anyone will record anything over 100 from this? 94 is insane though! Well, if you count Mt Washington, it's already happened. They gusted to 134 and have had sustained over 100. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 DCA gusted to 58 a few min ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJB Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 55mph just registered here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 DCA gusted to 58 a few min ago Obs thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Cantore curse holds strong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catoctin wx Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 55mph just registered here. Is that at the airport or at your house? Highest I have had here (north Frederick) is 42 mph a few mins ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJB Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Is that at the airport or at your house? Highest I have had here (north Frederick) is 42 mph a few mins ago. Oakdale high school. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 New band rotating in seems to have ratcheted it up a notch. Pretty heavy roars. I wish it was still daylight! Edit: wrong thread. On Topic: center of circulation is just starting to hit the brakes. Simply an amazing event. And the models have done an unbelievable job with something so extraordinary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowpocalypse Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Could someone kindly tell me what to expect here in cecil county for the rest of the night considering a projected close proximity to the storm center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Any thoughts as to the huge discrepancy between the 850 OC line on NAM vs GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 dry air seems to be headed toward BWI from the NE....just don't know if a pivot prevents it from making it here http://radar.weather...101111&loop=yes http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=dix&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Is this thing going to pivot? The back edge is rapidly approaching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Is this thing going to pivot? The back edge is rapidly approaching. I sure hope not I've made it this far and kept my power and I have no need to test my luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Just gusted to 68mph, one of the strongest tropical gusts I've ever seen, whole house shaking I could see it while being outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 still pounding here in virginia beach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Looks like its starting to back build east of Baltimore City. I think the winners are going to DC and just south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
insanegrenade Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 What do you mean by "winning"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Looks like its starting to back build east of Baltimore City. I think the winners are going to DC and just south. looks like a bowling ball moving westward on this radar loop http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 So everyone here has been saying that the worst winds will be when the low makes its closest approach to the area in a few hours, but the models all insist the surface winds will die down as the night goes on and the low weakens. Can a met explain that discrepancy? Are the models just not very good at surface winds? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 It looks like a derecho going east to west on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 30, 2012 Author Share Posted October 30, 2012 So everyone here has been saying that the worst winds will be when the low makes its closest approach to the area in a few hours, but the models all insist the surface winds will die down as the night goes on and the low weakens. Can a met explain that discrepancy? Are the models just not very good at surface winds? The next couple hours will be the strongest winds as the heavier showers move through. The models still have strong winds at 925 through 11 PM then they drop off. When we get near the center we might or might not be close enough to to the eye for the winds to weaken and die down. I think there's a good chance of that. Once the storm goes by we'll still have decent gusts...maybe to gusts to 30 to 40 mph as the system will be weakening slowly as it shifts away from the ocean and because vertical with the upper low/trough but that may depend on whether we stay in some heavier showers to help momentum translate the winds down to the surface. Of course the models may also be too slow with the movement of the showers and stronger winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 pretty impressed with the rainfall...even more so than the winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 4.8" at BWI so far. Imagine the snow potential! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 Almost 7" per radar here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 Is this thing going to pivot? The back edge is rapidly approaching. I need a short break. New leak in garage -- first time ever had a leak in garage in all 23 yrs. here. Oh well, at least rest of house has lights and no leaks, so life is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 Euro wins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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