WVclimo Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 6Z GFS now has sustained winds at 40 mph for Martinsburg for the first time on any run, and 6.62" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 29, 2012 Author Share Posted October 29, 2012 I saw mention of Sting jets in the New England thread a day or two ago and maybe being a possibility with this storm of bringing strong winds down to the surface. To my limited knowledge it looks as if the setup isn't conducive of this but I was wondering the take of any Mets who may have some knowledge on the subject. With those high winds just off the surface it could possibly be a major concern for a limited area. I've never heard of a Sting jet. Coastal and I have already discussed the winds a few posts earlier in the thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 29, 2012 Author Share Posted October 29, 2012 I'm legitimately kind of scared. I live in a basement studio apartment...kinda wondering if the drain on my enclosed porch area will handle the water before it gets to my door. Can't believe she strengthened overnight. Amazing... Have you flooded before? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Have you flooded before? No, thank God, but sometimes that drain chokes. Just gotta keep an eye on it. I see the radar has some heavy stuff backing in now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 I've never heard of a Sting jet. Coastal and I have already discussed the winds a few posts earlier in the thread. They were discussing it in the NE thread and I found it pretty interesting. Seems that it is a phenomena found mostly with systems crashing into GB and Europe from the N Atl. Generally I believe it is where the polar jet gets shunted down to the surface on the SE quadrant of an extra-tropical cyclone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 29, 2012 Author Share Posted October 29, 2012 No, thank God, but sometimes that drain chokes. Just gotta keep an eye on it. I see the radar has some heavy stuff backing in now. Good, hopefully it stays clear. Certainly watch it. All the models are forecasting over 5 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowpocalypse Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 I'm not exactly sure where O'malley gets his info but he just said that the winds will be worse than originally thought. Said instead of gusting to 70-80 now there going to gust to 85-100 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 I'm not exactly sure where O'malley gets his info but he just said that the winds will be worse than originally thought. Said instead of gusting to 70-80 now there going to gust to 85-100 mph. Seems a little high - perhaps on the water this is true. Can't see 100mph in the cities. Maybe 85 I guess. Maybe he has been in touch with NWS and we will see a bump with the new warning packages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 29, 2012 Author Share Posted October 29, 2012 I'm not exactly sure where O'malley gets his info but he just said that the winds will be worse than originally thought. Said instead of gusting to 70-80 now there going to gust to 85-100 mph. Maybe he's talking about landfall since the storm has 85 mph winds with gusts to 105. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 It's official now...she's made the turn NW...new NHC advisory out. Now moving NNW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Stay safe everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 So models shifted significantly southward? Or just a bit? It looks like they all have a slight southerly bias once inland. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Sandy has just brought in a divy of 80-85kt sfmr readings, could be a cat 2 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Sandy has just brought in a divy of 80-85kt sfmr readings, could be a cat 2 now. A lot lot of them are rain-flagged, unusable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 From Tony Pann: MONDAY UPDATE: The storm is stronger, but it will pass by the Mouth of the Bay then curl up into NJ by this evening. The heavy rain will continue around Baltimore all day...up to 8" in some areas... but the highest winds will be this Afternoon into early Tonight....gusts will be between 40 & 60 MPH at that time. Blizzard warnings are in effect for Western MD! Seems quite low to me..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 A lot lot of them are rain-flagged, unusable Next batch was not flagged. Could be legit. Probably why they're not flying through the center on this leg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Next batch was not flagged. Could be legit. Probably why they're not flying through the center on this leg. Yep, was wondering because I saw the unflagged and was curious what you were seeing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 I'm legitimately kind of scared. I live in a basement studio apartment...kinda wondering if the drain on my enclosed porch area will handle the water before it gets to my door. Can't believe she strengthened overnight. Amazing... Exactly, especially with so little convection near the center. I find it amazing this storm has a pressure in the 940s. For a cat one, that is just nuts and we haven't gotten to the extra-tropical strengthening phase yet. Makes you wonder how low will it go..and of course it will only worsen the storm surge due to the "bulge" underneath and around the center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 This was cool of Meteostar, added a 925mb column to their text output. GFS 06z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Cherry's Jacket Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 This was cool of Meteostar, added a 925mb column to their text output. GFS 06z Seems like a pretty substantial reduction to surface winds. That looks low based on everything else. Would be a welcome surprise though. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WTHunter Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 MN... can you post a link for Meteostar? I'm stuck at work and didn't bring my personal computer with all my Wx links with me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 MN... can you post a link for Meteostar? I'm stuck at work and didn't bring my personal computer with all my Wx links with me! http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kdca Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WTHunter Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 http://wxweb.meteost...shtml?text=kdca Thanks! Much appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robb Black Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Hi...first time posting here but I always come to these forums to follow the threads before big storms. NOAA has been saying that hurricane force winds extend outward of up to 175 miles from center. Based on the approximate point of landfall I created this map using a tool I found online. Does this look correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Hi...first time posting here but I always come to these forums to follow the threads before big storms. NOAA has been saying that hurricane force winds extend outward of up to 175 miles from center. Based on the approximate point of landfall I created this map using a tool I found online. Does this look correct? You have to remember that the hurricane force winds might extend 175 from the center... but they are only extending to the southwest of the center... According to the last advisory from the NHC... there was no hurricane force winds north or east of the center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeromus-X Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 You have to remember that the hurricane force winds might extend 175 from the center... but they are only extending to the southwest of the center... According to the last advisory from the NHC... there was no hurricane force winds north or east of the center. Almost looks like there's not even hurricane-force winds AT the center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robb Black Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Thanks for the feedback. I wanted to send this to my family back in Midwest so they can get an idea of the size and the impact on where I live (Annapolis area). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Just look at the sat loop and it's easy to see why the winds are sw of center. This will change as the convection rotates around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 You have to remember that the hurricane force winds might extend 175 from the center... but they are only extending to the southwest of the center... According to the last advisory from the NHC... there was no hurricane force winds north or east of the center. Also, there will be a reduction in winds over land compared to at sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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