Parsley Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Trying to keep this simple.... Predict the highest wind GUST (mph) for each state (ASOS only). PA: NJ: DE: Predict highest rainfall total recorded in the PHI NWS area (this could be ASOS, CoCoRaHS, etc.) Rain Total: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted October 27, 2012 Author Share Posted October 27, 2012 Predict the highest wind GUST (mph) for each state (ASOS only). PA: 66 mph NJ: 85 mph DE: 77 mph Predict highest rainfall total recorded in the PHI NWS area (this could be ASOS, CoCoRaHS, etc.) Rain Total: 10.50" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Predict the highest wind GUST (mph) for each state (ASOS only). PA: 73 NJ:94 DE: 87 rays weather station 45mph (blocked by the house and surrounding trees) Predict highest rainfall total recorded in the PHI NWS area (this could be ASOS, CoCoRaHS, etc.) Rain Total: 13.43 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Predict the highest wind GUST (mph) for each state (ASOS only). PA: 71 mph NJ: 91 mph DE: 83 mph Predict highest rainfall total recorded in the PHI NWS area (this could be ASOS, CoCoRaHS, etc.) Rain Total: 13.13" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Engine2211 Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Trying to keep this simple.... Predict the highest wind GUST (mph) for each state (ASOS only). PA:57 NJ:66 DE:73 Predict highest rainfall total recorded in the PHI NWS area (this could be ASOS, CoCoRaHS, etc.) Rain Total: 11.26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Trying to keep this simple.... Predict the highest wind GUST (mph) for each state (ASOS only). PA: NJ: DE: Predict highest rainfall total recorded in the PHI NWS area (this could be ASOS, CoCoRaHS, etc.) Rain Total: Crap, you beat me, I was gonna do something like this: Peak gusts for these groups: Outer coastal plain - GED, WWD, ACY, BLM Inner coastal plain - DOV, MIV, VAY, WRI, NEL Fall line - ILG, PHL, PNE, TTN Piedmont - PTW, RDG, DYL, ABE, SMQ Ridge and Valley - MPO, FWN, 12N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WebBreaker63 Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Trying to keep this simple.... Predict the highest wind GUST (mph) for each state (ASOS only). PA:65 NJ:90 DE:72 Predict highest rainfall total recorded in the PHI NWS area (this could be ASOS, CoCoRaHS, etc.) Rain Total:14" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 I hope ya'all know what he means by ASOS only... that means the typical high gust reporters along the shore don't count. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Here's mine: Trying to keep this simple.... Predict the highest wind GUST (mph) for each state (ASOS only). PA: 63 NJ: 74 DE: 69 Predict highest rainfall total recorded in the PHI NWS area (this could be ASOS, CoCoRaHS, etc.) Rain Total: 8.72" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 PA - 66 mph NJ - 92 mph DE - 88 mph PHL - 7.88" We should have done BP also since it's likely to be near record lows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allman15 Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 PA.....69 NJ......78 DE.....71 PHL....4.22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Trying to keep this simple.... Predict the highest wind GUST (mph) for each state (ASOS only). PA:64 NJ:86 DE:72 Predict highest rainfall total recorded in the PHI NWS area (this could be ASOS, CoCoRaHS, etc.) Rain Total: 10.21" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 PA:68 NJ:87 DE:72 Predict highest rainfall total recorded in the PHI NWS area (this could be ASOS, CoCoRaHS, etc.) Rain Total: 12" bonus round landfall=Cape May Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 In terms of unofficial gusts, I think we'll see some reports 85-90mph gusts along the immediate shore of New Jersey and potentially the south coast of LI as well. Officially, for ASOS, I do believe the coastal stations will achieve hurricane force gusts, but probably not by a lot. However, they will frequently gust to hurricane force for a 24+ hr period of time which is very damaging. NJ - 75mph DE - 68mph PA - 62mph Inland gusts tend to be overestimated a bit with most situations; I think the majority of folks in E PA will peak in the 55-60mph range for gusts. NJ inland generally 60-70mph, and coast like BLM, ACY, etc, probably 70-80mph. Highest rainfall total - 9.25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 In terms of unofficial gusts, I think we'll see some reports 85-90mph gusts along the immediate shore of New Jersey and potentially the south coast of LI as well. Officially, for ASOS, I do believe the coastal stations will achieve hurricane force gusts, but probably not by a lot. However, they will frequently gust to hurricane force for a 24+ hr period of time which is very damaging. NJ - 75mph DE - 68mph PA - 62mph Inland gusts tend to be overestimated a bit with most situations; I think the majority of folks in E PA will peak in the 55-60mph range for gusts. NJ inland generally 60-70mph, and coast like BLM, ACY, etc, probably 70-80mph. I suspect there'll be one or two reports of winds gusting to near 90 mph at the immediate coast. But that's not where the ASOS sites are... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 I suspect there'll be one or two reports of winds gusting to near 90 mph at the immediate coast. But that's not where the ASOS sites are... Yeah as I mentioned in the NYC thread, the actual peak wind gusts are not the biggest problem, it's the fact that will be gusting to this level for a long time. Coupled with saturated ground via 4"+ of rain, trees may come down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted October 27, 2012 Author Share Posted October 27, 2012 I suspect there'll be one or two reports of winds gusting to near 90 mph at the immediate coast. But that's not where the ASOS sites are... I agree with you and Isotherm (on the higher gusts). I just took the ASOS route because you know PHI will do a "highest gust" list when all is said and done, as well as a rain totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 if coastal waters of DE and NJ (i.e. Delaware Bay) count, then... Predict the highest wind GUST (mph) for each state (ASOS only). PA: 67 mph NJ: 86 mph 77 mph DE: 87 mph 73 mph Predict highest rainfall total recorded in the PHI NWS area (this could be ASOS, CoCoRaHS, etc.) Rain Total: 11.06" Edit: d'oh, you said ASOS only. Use revised numbers. (As Ray said, 85-90 mph gusts right along the shore and on the Delaware Bay itself are totally possible, but they won't be picked up by an ASOS.) (Even though it wouldn't be an ASOS, does Bader Field have any weather observing site at all?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 if coastal waters of DE and NJ (i.e. Delaware Bay) count, then... You missed the part where it said ASOS, didn't you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 You missed the part where it said ASOS, didn't you see above Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maximum lawman Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 NJ - 73mph DE - 62mph PA - 66mph Highest rainfall total - 13.25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 see above well, there aren't any ASOS's in the coastal waters, so they don't count Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted October 28, 2012 Author Share Posted October 28, 2012 well, there aren't any ASOS's in the coastal waters, so they don't count That's right Ray! Enforce the rules. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Here's mine: Trying to keep this simple.... Predict the highest wind GUST (mph) for each state (ASOS only). PA: 83 NJ: 104 DE: 94 Predict highest rainfall total recorded in the PHI NWS area (this could be ASOS, CoCoRaHS, etc.) Rain Total: 8.72" damn i thought i went high on the wind side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted October 28, 2012 Author Share Posted October 28, 2012 damn i thought i went high on the wind side. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 That's right Ray! Enforce the rules. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 damn i thought i went high on the wind side. Stop daydreaming Tom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 PA 16 NJ 18 DE 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 So Wildwood Airport doesn't count as an ASOS station - That's where I was thinking on the 90mph gust could happen... Yeah, good point. I think we can grandfather that one in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WebBreaker63 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Yeah, good point. I think we can grandfather that one in. Sorry - deleted original post, just wanted to make sure by calling it Wildwood Airport that it was correct, it is actually called Wildwood Cape May County Airport: Here is the ASOS site I was talking about: http://w1.weather.go...story/KWWD.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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