CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 As Noyes has been saying...SNE is in the windiest spot for the storm Yes it will be, into LI too. DC though on NW side will have comparable LLJ. My point is, high impact storm all around. You get so sensitive when we have a little fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 google it or ask Momma Got results for some "hip hop artist" named B.O.B., "Strollers", Bob stores, Bob the Builder, but mostly the rap dude. Must have missed that abreviation growing up as it obviously means something more than any of the above. Edit. Reached a bit more and found it. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Yes it will be, into LI too. DC though on NW side will have comparable LLJ. My point is, high impact storm all around. You get so sensitive when we have a little fun. I hope they get crushed down there. They deserve it. Good luck to all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 pretty suprised how far west 6z gfs was over 0z gfs. at like hours 30/36 etc, it seem'd about 100 miles LESS of a ARC out to sea and instead just curl'd in to ACY, NJ . you can this would be better overall for sparing SNE the worst. IF the gfs occurred, yes it would be bad, but not as bad as the 0z last nite or even the other runs yesterday that took this east to like 69w then curv'd in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 More weather...less regional bickering...thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 It'll be neat to watch http://hint.fm/wind/ as Sandy comes ashore... huge circulation already visible on that map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 My LI LF will be wrong..We've just never seen a storm move due west twds shore..Maybe this will be it..but my gut tels me there is s ome NW component at LF..That's all Yeah, seems a little absurd that there wouldn't be some type of NW component, even if slight, to the hook back into shore but I'll leave that up to the mets to discuss. I just can't picture a a straight lateral west movement on a storm moving up the coast no matter how strong the blocking is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 NAM was a little NE at hr 33. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevin1927 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Maybe have weenie goggles on, but NAM looks a tiny bit north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 nam looks like she goes into tom's river, NJ (actually juuuuust off shore) perhaps up toward sandy hook for LF < as the angle of approach appears to still have some northerly component at hr 36 scooter can you post hr 39 nam when it's out if possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Looks like Sandy hook or Belmar on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I have 956 into C NJ at 36hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I hope they get crushed down there. They deserve it. Good luck to all. Only kidding around Kev. I'm giddy and have my son's baby shower today, good mood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Looks near or just south of Sandy Hook at 36 in C NJ.. Blizz blown away by heavy heavy winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Central NJ again on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I think timing of turns and low pressure wobbles will cause these NE jogs or SW jogs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Only kidding around Kev. I'm giddy and have my son's baby shower today, good mood. Nice dude. Congrats to you and Allison. Maybe you can have his middle name be Sandy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Nam initialized too weak. 968. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Nice dude. Congrats to you and Allison. Maybe you can have his middle name be Sandy I was going to name him Sultan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2012 Author Share Posted October 28, 2012 Brian,Science! Holy IKE storm surge potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Someone start Sandy disco thread VI before the GFS runs. We also need someone to start an obs only thread. I'll give some New England peeps the honor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 It's interesting in that I'm seeing the models seemingly a little more west and perhaps earlier close off of the central US S/W trough. Too early of a closure won't exactly catch Sandy, however the ridging to the NE keeps trending a hair stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 The 12z tropical models did tick south a bit. May save us a little bit in terms of the strongest winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2012 Author Share Posted October 28, 2012 I was going to name him Sultan. LOL what an honor, just do not name him B. O. B. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 More or less identical to 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Seems like people from the Havens west to ny ct border and into westchester county are taking this seriously now. Very somber feeling on the streets and stores here as its sinking in how bad and historical this surge will be here. Winds are already gusting close to 30 mph. If the 2012 surge maps are correct my basement will be flooded at a 7 foot surge and first floor anything above ten. Windows taped, valuables secured, obviously turning off gas electric and water when we leave this evening. I urge ct coastal residents to not take this lightly we can handle the wind, the water is what kills.......Sandy looks impressive on satelite and the pics coming in from surge flooding in eastern nc the water up along the beaches across the deleware and nj already is sobering. Look at your property, look at your trees and know which way the winds will be coming later monday monday night, I would advise not having children or anyone for the matter sleeping in bedrooms where a tree could crash into that particular part of the house. I really fear surge estimates maybe underestimated right now, I sure hope not. Have a means to keep your home warm for up to 10 days worst case scenario.....water and non parishables. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2012 Author Share Posted October 28, 2012 The 12z tropical models did tick south a bit. May save us a little bit in terms of the strongest winds. Are they relevant? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Sheet drizzle here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2012 Author Share Posted October 28, 2012 It's interesting in that I'm seeing the models seemingly a little more west and perhaps earlier close off of the central US S/W trough. Too early of a closure won't exactly catch Sandy, however the ridging to the NE keeps trending a hair stronger. Which cognitively would yield a more WNW motion, I still think your BLM call from a couple days ago was spot on. Guys looks at the global Sat shot of the Atlantic. Amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Does the NAM initializing too weak have a bearing on its track? I would think so right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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