powderfreak Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I'd say gusts to 60 or 65 for you. That seems to be the best bet in the interior...a high wind warning that actually verifies would be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Windows already rattling here. This is going to be interesting, I might actually lose power in a storm for the first time in like 15 years. Really? wow. Only light winds here for now.... we will see about later. Th eEast Haven fire chief spoke at the conf yesterday. Pretty sobering Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 That seems to be the best bet in the interior...a high wind warning that actually verifies would be nice Will you be enjoying this from the picnic table? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Winds picking up here noticeably as well...20-25mph gusts? Just guessing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2012 Author Share Posted October 28, 2012 Largest surge potential ever in IKE terms according to AAOML, hard to wrap that in my brain, surge now as high as 10— 11ft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2012 Author Share Posted October 28, 2012 B.O.B.? Not down with the lingo. what does that mean? google it or ask Momma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 12z tropical models look like far srn NJ. Would be better for NYC if that happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Will take the over. I see 70 ish When do you not take the over? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Figured I would start a baseline. National Grid reporting 314 outages attm (I assume normal stuff) in their Mass/RI customer base Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Aren't tropical models as useless as ensembles now? It's not tropical anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Yes. News Channel 8 in CT went from downplaying to forecasting 90 mph gusts at the shoreline. No surprise from that station unfortunately. I'm surprised Darren only going with medium power impacts away from the shore.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 When do you not take the over? when I think you will be right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 when I think you will be right Pretty good so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Lynn, MA public schools closed Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Will take the over. I see 70 ish Lol you think or you hope? Had to guess you'd go higher than whatever Scooter or Will forecasts for ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I'd say gusts to 60 or 65 for you. What you thinking for Long Island? Gusts to 80? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Todd Glickman on WCBS 880 was saying they expect landfall between ACY and Sea Girt, NJ. and that the surge would be worse if it came in more toward Sandy Hook. I really don't agree that it matters much with a storm of this size. I think it's pretty irrelevant to the NY Bay storm surge if it comes in 40 miles further south, etc., as long as it is placing NYC to the right of landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 The easterly fetch would kill LI sound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 What you thinking for Long Island? Gusts to 80? Yeah and would not be shocked if someone got 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Will you be enjoying this from the picnic table? I want to see how it ramps up tomorrow afternoon...100mph at the summit is definitely possible in the H85 jet. Though we do hit that once or twice in winter, usually during thaws and strong southery flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I posted this in the live thread but didnt get a response. I assume since NHC is tasked with forecasting TC only once they decare it PT recon will stop? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 For us in coastal SNE, I think a wide turn and then straight back west even to srn NJ is worse. Reason being is that tomorrow night winds are progged to go SE as Sandy moves WNW into NJ. A more west to east track with something into ACY would cause more erly fetch which is worse than SE. Different story on the south side of the Cape, where SE winds would be awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2012 Author Share Posted October 28, 2012 Nam started out 21 mb to high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 DC area is probably going to get stronger winds then Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I dunno. I'm still having trouble believeing it just screams due west. I still think we'll see some type of NW component to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 DC area is probably going to get stronger winds then Kevin. As Noyes has been saying...SNE is in the windiest spot for the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 DC area is probably going to get stronger winds then Kevin. You are going to kill him stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I dunno. I'm still having trouble believeing it just screams due west. I still think we'll see some type of NW component to it Care to elaborate as to why? I'm honestly just interested in following the progression of this system, and seeing where it is heading, and I keep hearing you say it will go east and North, but you never give any reasoning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Aren't tropical models as useless as ensembles now? It's not tropical anymore It's warm core even at landfall, it's a hybrid monsta, symantics thusly so unique making this a once in a lifetime storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Care to elaborate as to why? I'm honestly just interested in following the progression of this system, and seeing where it is heading, and I keep hearing you say it will go east and North, but you never give any reasoning. My LI LF will be wrong..We've just never seen a storm move due west twds shore..Maybe this will be it..but my gut tels me there is s ome NW component at LF..That's all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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