Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 We're in between stuff here so might as well talk about the 18z NAM which is a bit SE through 36. Not much but.... Store shelves are devoid of flashlights here towards the cape. Walmart totally empty, no lights, no batteries, nada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Code Red Alert just came in ........State of Emergency declared here in Fairfield, expecting surge to surpass 1938, First Selectmen says to expect to stay away from your home for several days. UI expects 60-70% of customers to lose power. El suckage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 OMG...people need to stop arguing over the track and where the landfall occurs, we're going to see significant impacts regardless which of those tracks verify...plus stoping paying so much attention o SLP track...pay more attention to the upper air pattern and block...once you can pinpoint those details down you will be able to have a much better idea on track/landfall moreso than the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackjake Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Business as usual on ACK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Code Red Alert just came in ........State of Emergency declared here in Fairfield, expecting surge to surpass 1938, First Selectmen says to expect to stay away from your home for several days. UI expects 60-70% of customers to lose power. El suckage. sucks man, stay safe!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 you should leave riding this out solo is not the way to go get all your valuables and get out.!!! Its not worth risking your life for STUFF! Code Red Alert just came in ........State of Emergency declared here in Fairfield, expecting surge to surpass 1938, First Selectmen says to expect to stay away from your home for several days. UI expects 60-70% of customers to lose power. El suckage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 to me it seems sandy is moving more west of her projected path right now. and people may jump on me for this. but it just appears she's moving more NNE then the forecast NE at the moment. i know lots of people are saying with the euro /ens gfs/ens that S Nj to W long island is almost a lock but i wouldn't rule out something near wallops island yet. no way. just saying it can still shift and alot can still chance IMO. i say this because a slight change in heading can have expontential effects on Lfall point. not saying it's happening by any stretch just that i wouldn't be shocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 sucks man, stay safe!. hey, thats life, and thanks............having an oyster party tonight in Scooters honor. Everyone stay safe, be prepared for worst case scenarios and hope for the best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Question for our awesome Mets.........with these type winds, besides shingles and such, is there now a chance for real structural damage? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikolai Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 State of Emergency for CT, just great. Should I consider evacuating? I'm 33 ft ASL and under 1/4 mile from the sound. Why would you evacuate if there's only going to be a maximum 10 foot surge? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 FWIW 18z NAM looks like CNJ Sub-960mb cyclone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 OMG...people need to stop arguing over the track and where the landfall occurs, we're going to see significant impacts regardless which of those tracks verify...plus stoping paying so much attention o SLP track...pay more attention to the upper air pattern and block...once you can pinpoint those details down you will be able to have a much better idea on track/landfall moreso than the models. People get obsessed with the track when its a tropical cyclone...but when its transitioning to extra tropical, the effects are obscene well away from the center. In hurricane Hazel in 1954, NYC saw like 100mph gusts with the storm landfalling in NC and tracking through central PA. The biggest single factor for SNE winds will be the low level jet to the north and northeast of the storm. The surge will be affected by the angle of attack...whether its worse for Narragansett or the eastern facing shores and LI sound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 FWIW 18z NAM looks like CNJ Sub-960mb cyclone Yeah it wiggles and wobbles and takes a slightly different course/timing than earlier but ends up pretty close to the same spot as the Euro/GFS/ENSs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Bookmark these folks..These are all keepers..Hot off the press from BOX EVEN THOUGH THE STORM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN SOUTH OF THE REGION... SANDY IS A VERY LARGE SYSTEM. THIS MAY BE A VERY CATASTROPHIC AND DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR ALL OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND NEIGHBORING LOCALITIES. WIND GUSTS MAY REACH UP TO HURRICANE FORCE. DOWNED TREES AND WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES /LIKELY FOR DAYS/ WOULD BE ANTICIPATED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 I honestly don't want to be stuck in a situation where everything is flooded and destroyed and I have to leave the house in case of emergency. You'll be OK. You live in West Haven, not Port-au-Prince. And this is a transitioning tropical storm, not Katrina. I think we're letting our imaginations run wild here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 NAM looks about the same, maybe NCNJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Will...how long are the damaging winds projected to last..Are we still looking at 24-36 hours of strong, damaging winds? Will they still be cranking even on Tuesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Northern CT ZFP... CTZ002-280800- HARTFORD CT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...GLASTONBURY...GRANBY... SOUTHINGTON...WINDSOR LOCKS 415 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT. .SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH...INCREASING TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. .MONDAY...SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG. VERY WINDY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH... INCREASING TO 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. .MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG. VERY WINDY. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH...DECREASING TO 50 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. .TUESDAY...SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG. HIGHS AROUND 60. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. CTZ003-280800- TOLLAND CT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANSFIELD...STAFFORD SPRINGS...VERNON 415 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT. .SUNDAY...CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH... INCREASING TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. .MONDAY...SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG. VERY WINDY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH... INCREASING TO 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. .MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG. VERY WINDY. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH...DECREASING TO 50 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. .TUESDAY...SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG. HIGHS AROUND 60. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. CTZ004-280800- WINDHAM CT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHFORD...PLAINFIELD...PUTNAM... WILLIMANTIC 415 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT. .SUNDAY...CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT. .SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. .MONDAY...SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG. VISIBILITY ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. VERY WINDY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH...INCREASING TO 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. .MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG. VERY WINDY. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH...DECREASING TO 50 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. .TUESDAY...SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG. BREEZY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radius Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 No way. You'll practically be ocean front for a few hours on Monday ;-) Joking aside, be safe. State of Emergency for CT, just great. Should I consider evacuating? I'm 33 ft ASL and under 1/4 mile from the sound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 another idea I had was that people should take pictures before the storm just in case something happens to their property for insurance purposes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Nws going for gust 70-80 down here...wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Nws going for gust 70-80 down here...wow Yeah same for most of SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Yeah same for most of SNE Congrats...another great call by the kfalls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Will...how long are the damaging winds projected to last..Are we still looking at 24-36 hours of strong, damaging winds? Will they still be cranking even on Tuesday? Well wind advisory stuff will last for a while...prob over 30 hours. But the real strong period of 50 knots or greater potential is probably a 6 hour period or so...on the south coast, they might get two pulses of very strong winds....the 2nd when the storm goes by and wind go southerly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloudsncontrails Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Why are you posting that? Probably to temper the very unrealistic posts by a couple stating 100 mph winds inland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rivers Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 * HAZARDS...DAMAGING WINDS OF LONG DURATION. * WINDS...NORTHEAST INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH MONDAY MORNING...BECOMING EAST 40 TO 55 MPH WITH GUSTS 70 TO 80 MPH MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. from upton for branford,ct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Well wind advisory stuff will last for a while...prob over 30 hours. But the real strong period of 50 knots or greater potential is probably a 6 hour period or so...on the south coast, they might get two pulses of very strong winds....the 2nd when the storm goes by and wind go southerly. For interior SNE..are we looking at overnite Monday for strongest winds? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Lol at the posters from other regions coming in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Probably to temper the very unrealistic posts by a couple stating 100 mph winds inland? Clearly you aren't understanding the situation. Unfortunate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Lol at the posters from other regions coming in here. I know there's a few posters today that attacked me who don't even live here or have between 15 and 62 posts LOL. I don't get why it's allowed. None of us go to other forums. Did you board or tape up any windows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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