NJHurricane Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Question # 1: If the phase happens close to the currently modeled consensus and the expected widespread impact on the megalopolis materializes...is this a new high point for forecasting in the modern meteorological era (high resolution modeling and remote sensing)? Question 2: If the phase fails to fully materialize or a divergent track makes for a limited impact or geographically restricted area of high impact, will that be a new low point for forecasting in the modern meteorological era? Discuss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 I am amazed at the Models ability to see features and extrapolate a somewhat accurate solution so far in advance. I personally feel weather modeling and forecasting is one of the greatest advancements in the 20th century. Regardless of the outcome the models saw a big phasing storm coming well in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Unfortunately every storm will always be marginal for someone. Wind damage ramps up exponentially after 60mph. Temperature inversions in the boundary layer can significantly reduce wind-speeds. Predicting the weather is like predicting the outcome of a any sports game, we will never be able to do it with 100% certainty and we're lucky to get it even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 Absolutely amazing job by the models in this storm especially how crazy what they were showing was from a historical perspective and how it verified. It gets a Van Der Meme slow clap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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