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Sandy/EC Discussion Part IV


andyhb

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Baraclinicity @ work.

It's interesting that NHC sees a hurricane strengthening prior to being formally designated ET:

INIT 27/0300Z 27.7N 77.1W 65 KT 75 MPH

12H 27/1200Z 28.8N 76.7W 60 KT 70 MPH

24H 28/0000Z 30.4N 75.2W 55 KT 65 MPH

36H 28/1200Z 32.0N 73.3W 55 KT 65 MPH

48H 29/0000Z 33.8N 71.9W 65 KT 75 MPH

72H 30/0000Z 37.5N 72.0W 70 KT 80 MPH

96H 31/0000Z 40.0N 77.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

120H 01/0000Z 42.0N 76.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

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further west and a little weaker?

It is actually several mb stronger than the 18Z run. It looks as if it is more completely phasing with the upper level system and thus becoming an even stronger system. However, because it moves inland quicker it does not have enough time to bottom out over water as the 18Z run.

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