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Sandy/EC Discussion Part IV


andyhb

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I'm on the Sound as well, though those surge maps say it will take a cat 3 or 4 to get to me. During Irene had water on three sides of me. Expect the usual spots to be flooded: South Water St right on the state line which is close to flooding just about every high tide on a normal day, Bruce Park, a good chunk of Old Greenwich, Cos Cob along the Mianus.. I expect all those areas to be under water come Monday/Tuesday as they were during Irene.

Best of luck snowman, my issue is this. I am throwing out any category, what is the real sensible surge going to be, with that long fetch ne then east then se wind flow over many hours if not days, does a hurricane category surge really tell the tale? The water will not be able to escape the western sound and get piled up in each successive high tide cycle. Last press conference the GOV said to be ready for a 7 foot surge and that it would be as bad or worse than 92, I fear 7 feet might be a low guesstimate considering the angle and duration.

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According to recon 25 minutes ago, the pressure is down to 967, baroclinic processes have definately started with Sandy, and I must say this has gone into hybrid storm territory looking at the satellite images

i mean it "looks" that way, makes me question wether she will phase earlier and eventually correct further south still, but she's still forecast to become a "hurricane' again.

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If the models hold serve with a C NJ to LI track come tomorrow then we all spend sunday and beyond in nowcast mode.

The one guarentee is an adrenaline rush for weenies from Baltimore to Boston come sunday.

More far reaching, I just spoke with my daughter at Lyndon State and she told me her weather geek friends are blowing up her Facebook.

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