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Sandy/EC Discussion Part IV


andyhb

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Matt Noyes@MattNoyesNECN

Indications to me are that worst winds of entire East Coast event may occur in Southern NewEng, including Boston area

AKT all along, where is HM 8 the Michigan Cowboy LOL

seriously now land fall means less and less, North of Landfall wherever it is SNJ to LI gets smoked. even south will have the best frontogenisis. Disastah

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That track looks so disjointed.

that is one strange map....

LOL, looks like happy hour started early at NHC.

Well, a testament to how they don't know as much as us. Also screams they don't want to catch heat for the storm hitting somewhere outside the cone.

Can't say it doesn't account for every solution possible...

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How long will cane force gusts last?

For where they have a chance to occur (most likely Cape Cod to S RI on the coast), maybe 6 hours...but there is a chance there could be a 2nd pulse if the storm takes a wide turn north of the benchmark and then moves W...the 2nd pulse would be as the storm passes our longitude and winds come back out of the south.

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That 5pm NHC cone seems so far south. Even Montauk LI is barely in the cone. I am surprised it is not further north at least to Martha's Vinyard and Nantucket. On a separate note Sandy is on the verge of becoming a TS. If it doesthe media will be talking about it weakening. For preparation sake it would be best if Sandy could maintain hurricane status before it restrenghtens.

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BOX with some pretty hefty wording:

STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS /POSSIBLY HURRICANE FORCE/ WILL RESULT HIGH

SEAS OF 30 TO 35 FEET ALONG BOTH COASTLINES. SEAS EXCEEDING 40

FEET IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. STORM SURGES OF AT LEAST 4 FEET

WILL RESULT IN SEVERE BEACH EROSION.

that's serious stuff with 10.5 tides. would rival or exceed some of the all time events.

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/etsurge/index.php?page=text&list=ec

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How long will cane force gusts last?

I really hope you guys get the wind you are hoping...it'll be such a shame if it's 90mph at 2500ft while under a rain-induced inversion it's only 30-40mph at the surface.

I want to see spots like BDL, ORH, BAF, FIT doing 50G75 if all this talk of hurricane force gusts inland is going to come true. To gust over 74mph those sustained winds will need to be high....and seeing sustained 50mph in the interior would be awesome.

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