Kaner587 Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 convection trying to wrap around the center...sandy looks to have cleared out some of the dry air that she was dealing with all day http://www.aviationweather.gov/adds/satellite/displaySat.php?region=CLT&isingle=multiple&itype=ir Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 LI is still not in the cone. SMH Why should Long Island be in the cone? You know the cone means potential landfall right? Btw I'm thinking the bridges will have a difficult time staying open. There's no way it will be even close to a normal day on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billgwx Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 LI is still not in the cone. SMH I would not focus on the storm center--severe impacts are likely to be be felt in all quadrants of this storm, especially to the north of where it makes landfall on the NJ coast. IMO the central NJ coast, NYC metro, Long Island, and southern New England will be hammered the worst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Got a call from the NWS..wondering If I'm prepared for the storm..might not have power for 7-10 days?..never got one of those calls before..MAN! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Upton is doing an excellent job so far IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Got a call from the NWS..wondering If I'm prepared for the storm..might not have power for 7-10 days?..never got one of those calls before..MAN! I got one last year for Irene. Didn't get one this time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Anyone know how much wind the OKX radar dome is built to withstand? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Anyone know how much wind the OKX radar dome is built to withstand? Probably at least 110-120 mph I'd think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Anyone know how much wind the OKX radar dome is built to withstand? I've been to that radar before and I'd say around CAT 2/3 winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 18z GFS takes Sandy into Sandy Hook, NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Building windows in Houston, per code, should have survived Cat 2 Hurricane Ike. Besides wind forces, there is airborne debris. JP Morgan Chase building, 2008 below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 recon finding some strengthening again. 957.8 extrap. Lets see if the do a drop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Received a robo call from my town mayor saying to expect power to be out for one full week. Luckily, I have two generators but I'm not 100% confident power loss will be that bad if we're only dealing with Irene like winds. Half the leaves have already fallen and the ground is not nearly as saturated as it was with Irene. For Irene, we had gusts fifty to sixty mph. Of course if we get 70 to 80 mph gusts, then all bets are off for retaining any power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zynlamar Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 With the time of the year, the very strong winds have another impact that they wouldn't otherwise have - all of the Halloween decorations in people's front yards all over the place that are already set up. I've been told that NE NJ is still full of Halloween decorations prepared weeks ago that haven't been taken down. It's going to be a messy Halloween for many... I just finished removing all my out side decorations. I also packed up my lawn furniture and bunkered down my grill. Better to be safe the sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 We had some 50mph gusts during Irene and people here in general don't think this will be worse than that. the flooding will not be as bad, I think.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 We had some 50mph gusts during Irene and people here in general don't think this will be worse than that. the flooding will not be as bad, I think.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe4alb Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Received a robo call from my town mayor saying to expect power to be out for one full week. Luckily, I have two generators but I'm not 100% confident power loss will be that bad if we're only dealing with Irene like winds. Half the leaves have already fallen and the ground is not nearly as saturated as it was with Irene. For Irene, we had gusts fifty to sixty mph. Of course if we get 70 to 80 mph gusts, then all bets are off for retaining any power. the only problem here is the long duration of 50 - 60mph winds. if this were to be a 6 - 8hr event, then i would agree. but the fact that this is going to see 12 - 24hrs of strong sustained winds i think we may see a different outcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 That is not a tropical watch. Yesyerday's strategy, since changed, NHC issuing all coastal/marine warnings, even if Sandy was post-tropical, was less scientific, maybe, but probably better. Once Sandy was inland a few hours I think HPC would have issued advisories and WFOs would have assumed responsibility for coastal/marine warnings. I think they backed off the correct idea... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark McIntyre Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Hi all! Long-time lurker, first-time poster. I live on Staten Island on the East Shore, less than 1000' from a southeast-facing beach, and only 7' above sea level. My street was thankfully dry during Irene, but I don't think I'll be lucky this go around. I do expect some significant damage. Everyone around here uses the 1992 Nor'easter as a benchmark for an ultimate storm, and I remember seeing FEET of water in local delis/churches/etc. Knowing this will be worse just hurts my brain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CharlestonNYC Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Hey folks...I really need some advice. My mom is visiting family in NY from SC (ironic...) and she basically has 3 optons to ride out this storm. A) A house in Babylon on Long Island, A house in Hewlett on Long Island C) Midtown East in NYC on the 20-something-th floor of a high rise that is right on the E River. Because of my knowledge of the weather, she wants to do what I tell her to do...but frankly, I'm not thrilled about any of these options. What do you guys think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Agree with this. But I do still think even inland areas that are just north of the center will see a burst of strong dangerous wind as the storms center comes near the shore/passes south of them. my biggest gust during irene was 38 mph abnd that was well after the storm passed. i doubt it hit 60 in gusts. im thinking i top out around 50. by the way my wind gauge is in an open area above the roof line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Hey folks...I really need some advice. My mom is visiting family in NY from SC (ironic...) and she basically has 3 optons to ride out this storm. A) A house in Babylon on Long Island, A house in Hewlett on Long Island C) Midtown East in NYC on the 20-something-th floor of a high rise that is right on the E River. Because of my knowledge of the weather, she wants to do what I tell her to do...but frankly, I'm not thrilled about any of these options. What do you guys think? city for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Hey folks...I really need some advice. My mom is visiting family in NY from SC (ironic...) and she basically has 3 optons to ride out this storm. A) A house in Babylon on Long Island, A house in Hewlett on Long Island C) Midtown East in NYC on the 20-something-th floor of a high rise that is right on the E River. Because of my knowledge of the weather, she wants to do what I tell her to do...but frankly, I'm not thrilled about any of these options. What do you guys think? babylon is the worst option, the other 2 are probably just fine assuming she won't be sticking her face out the window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Midtown is gridlocked right now, kind of odd even for a Saturday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 GFS has a 110kt westerly low level jet on Long Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 What I think right now is the most impressive is the continued expansion of the wind field... now 520 miles out!!! That is insane and I never saw a storm that large before. And also it will probably continue to grow as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CharlestonNYC Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 city for sure babylon is the worst option, the other 2 are probably just fine assuming she won't be sticking her face out the window. thanks guys...i'm probably thinking the city as well, not babylon for obvious reasons (low elevation, proximity to water) and not loving hewlett either (lots of trees near this particular house...but it is sturdy...). Chances that water enters the lobby of the City building and/or windows being blown out from wind gusts are what's not making me thrilled about NYC option, tho. However, in the end, that's probably the best I guess. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 thanks guys...i'm probably thinking the city as well, not babylon for obvious reasons (low elevation, proximity to water) and not loving hewlett either (lots of trees near this particular house...but it is sturdy...). Chances that water enters the lobby of the City building and/or windows being blown out from wind gusts are what's not making me thrilled about NYC option, tho. However, in the end, that's probably the best I guess. Thanks! 20 stories up she should be good. By the time you are in midtown east (north of 42nd St) you are a good 40-60 feet asl even right along the river (unless you are on FDR), so flooding should be minimal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 I just finished removing all my out side decorations. I also packed up my lawn furniture and bunkered down my grill. Better to be safe the sorry. All the signs for like voting for mayor, school board, etc are going to be all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 GFS has a 110kt westerly low level jet on Long Island What does that exactly mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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