chapelhillwx Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 LOL at the 2' of snow for Piedmont of NC. You may not have to go chasing if the ever-so-accurate DGEX verifies. I'm at college in Greenville SC at the moment (in the downsloping snow hole on the map). I'd just have to drive home... To give you an idea of how ridiculous that is, it'd set our single-storm record snowfall before the first frost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 NWS Charleston (WV) not biting too hard yet. OH WHAT AN INTERESTING FORECAST FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK...MORE SOFURTHER NORTH THAN HERE. LOTS OF VARIATION IN THE MODELS AS TO WHERE SANDY WILL END UP...ALTHOUGH THE ENSEMBLES ARE STARTING TO CONVERGE ON A SOLUTION. USED THE GEFS MEAN TO KEEP A MIDDLE OF THE ROAD SOLUTION. THIS WOULD KEEP MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION NORTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA...WITH UPSLOPE NOT QUITE COLD ENOUGH TO ASSIST MUCH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 I am never going to do anything you ask me. EVER. Kevin, Can you please keep banter in this thread? I'm asking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Kevin, Can you please keep banter in this thread? I'm asking. For any other mods absolutely. Not for someone who has made it their mission to get rid of me, which I might add will never happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 I am never going to do anything you ask me. EVER. lolz at The meltdown. BTW, why do you think Bob is trying to "get rid of you"? ...and lol at Randy back in business as and Admin again. Oh, and to keep this Sandy related, I am praying for minimal deaths from this. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 "Frankenstorm" lol. Perfect Halloween name. Kevin must have come up with that one. "WASHINGTON (AP) — Government forecasters say a big storm that they're calling "Frankenstorm" is likely to blast most of the U.S. East Coast next week.The storm is an unusual mix of a hurricane and a winter storm. The worst of it could be focused around New York City and New Jersey." http://news.yahoo.com/hybrid-sandy-winter-storm-threatens-east-coast-064040714.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 I am never going to do anything you ask me. EVER. lol and your posts will keep disappearing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 I think alot of us feel this way: we want this to happen from a meteorology point of view, but not a personal view (due to the amount of potential destruction and possible loss of life) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 lolz at The meltdown. BTW, why do you think Bob is trying to "get rid of you"? ...and lol at Randy back in business as and Admin again. Oh, and to keep this Sandy related, I am praying for minimal deaths from this. Thank you. Beats the hell out of me. I don't want him gone, nor do the rest of the Staff. We just want him to dial down the hype and provide more analytical content/information. It's frustrating. That's why his posts have been getting removed constantly and it hasn't been just me alone removing them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 For any other mods absolutely. Not for someone who has made it their mission to get rid of me, which I might add will never happen Thanks. Bob isn't trying to get rid of you btw. I think he honestly wants to keep your subforum clutter free and on topic as possible. It;s really not personal toward you dude. lolz at The meltdown. BTW, why do you think Bob is trying to "get rid of you"? ...and lol at Randy back in business as and Admin again. Oh, and to keep this Sandy related, I am praying for minimal deaths from this. Thank you. I should delete this post just for lolz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Just posted in the analysis thread: 60"+ over the mountains of WV. Yes its the DGEX...yes its far out...but the signal is there for historic snowfall. This is not just the average run of the mill winter storm. If things play out right we could be talking 3'+ of snow with high winds and prolonged blizzard conditions all fed by the remnants of a hurricane. These kind of conditions are not a regular occurrence in the eastern US outside of Mount Washington. Still a ways to go to make it happen...but if it does...it could be epic. Yeah I'm really pulling for a south track to dump feet of snow on NW winds in the central Apps. If it's anything like upslope up here, the model QPF will actually be too low if they get moisture feeding into the mountains on hurricane force H85 winds on a NW upslope flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Randy is an admin again? Anyway, CL&P opened up an Emergency Ops. Center. Look like they're trying to do some "CYA" well in advance this time, so that Ryan doesn't rip them a new one again lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Yeah I'm really pulling for a south track to dump feet of snow on NW winds in the central Apps. If it's anything like upslope up here, the model QPF will actually be too low if they get moisture feeding into the mountains on hurricane force H85 winds on a NW upslope flow. The fact that we can discuss over 80" of snow as being underdone is completely ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Beats the hell out of me. I don't want him gone, nor do the rest of the Staff. We just want him to dial down the hype and provide more analytical content/information. It's frustrating. That's why his posts have been getting removed constantly and it hasn't been just me alone removing them. If a newbie came in and started posting a lot of that stuff he'd be 5ppd or weenie tagged. Good to see there's no double standard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 I should delete this post just for lolz. LOL. Randy is an admin again? Anyway, CL&P opened up an Emergency Ops. Center. Look like they're trying to do some "CYA" well in advance this time, so that Ryan doesn't rip them a new one again lol. and LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Take your snowstorms. I'll see more blizzards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Yeah I'm really pulling for a south track to dump feet of snow on NW winds in the central Apps. If it's anything like upslope up here, the model QPF will actually be too low if they get moisture feeding into the mountains on hurricane force H85 winds on a NW upslope flow. That map is unreal, even for mid-winter standards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 The fact that we can discuss over 80" of snow as being underdone is completely ridiculous. I'm not sure about the snow algorithm for some of these models, but 2,000+ feet in the central Apps may be looking at a two to four footer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Take your snowstorms. I'll see more blizzards. But how many will you see be because of a tropical cyclone? I'm sure we'll see windy rainstorms again too. I'm always extra skeptical of seeing sustained tropical storm winds outside of the coast in the northeast. But heck coastal SNE can gust to 80mph+ during strong winter storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 But how many will you see be because of a tropical cyclone? I'm sure we'll see windy rainstorms again too. I'm always extra skeptical of seeing sustained tropical storm winds outside of the coast in the northeast. But heck coastal SNE can gust to 80mph+ during strong winter storms. not even close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 But how many will you see be because of a tropical cyclone? I'm sure we'll see windy rainstorms again too. I'm always extra skeptical of seeing sustained tropical storm winds outside of the coast in the northeast. But heck coastal SNE can gust to 80mph+ during strong winter storms. We could have gusts well over that with this though...I think. Or no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 My local NWS office in Springfield, Missouri posted this on their facebook: We will be releasing additional weather balloons during the next several days to help track Hurricane Sandy and the evolution of this potentially dangerous storm affecting the East Coast. Starting today, our office will release four weather balloons per day instead of two. The extra balloons will help computer models develop a consensus on the eventual track and fine tune the forecast of the hurricane that may strike the northeastern United States. We are currently releases balloons each day at 6 a.m. and 6 p.m. The additional balloons will be released daily at 12 p.m. and 12 a.m. through at least Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 I hope this banter discussion thread can also be used as a way to get out information if this storm does hit as modeled. If it does many of our friends will be negatively affected whether its surge, fresh water flooding damage to homes by fallen trees etc. Hopefully the community can come together and be one, and help one another with solid forecasting and information. I hope everyone is planning accordingly, and taking steps whether they are evacuated or left without power for many days during a colder time in the wake of Sandy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 I hope this banter discussion thread can also be used as a way to get out information if this storm does hit as modeled. If it does many of our friends will be negatively affected whether its surge, fresh water flooding damage to homes by fallen trees etc. Hopefully the community can come together and be one, and help one another with solid forecasting and information. I hope everyone is planning accordingly, and taking steps whether they are evacuated or left without power for many days during a colder time in the wake of Sandy. I hope there are enough guitars and stacks of firewood to go around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 One saving grace around here is that at higher elevations the tree's are nearly 90% bare so high winds will have a somewhat lessened affect on tree damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 One saving grace around here is that at higher elevations the tree's are nearly 90% bare so high winds will have a somewhat lessened affect on tree damage. true, but the ground could be quite saturated...and trees will come down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Electrician coming to hard wire our generator tomorrow. It's going to be chillier than Irene in August after this monster goes by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 collected a few 850 wind vs. surface from the 12z gfs at http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml for the highest 850 values (mph) kgon 107/43 kisp 103/47 kpym 107/43 kuuu 105/36 kcon 116/29 Does that seem realistic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 One saving grace around here is that at higher elevations the tree's are nearly 90% bare so high winds will have a somewhat lessened affect on tree damage. Trees on the shore are not even 50% free of leaves yet; however, I am hoping that the early winds of the storm take care of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Sort of an IMBY question. My wife is heading to Philly via Amtrack on Sunday. Any worries? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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