snowstormcanuck Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 Unless the strength of the blocking over the Atlantic is underdone by the models, it looks like a D7-10 will feature a notable warm up. Given how amplified the models are with that W US trough, it wouldn't surprise me if they're too fast with the cold front. So said warm up might be protracted by a couple of days. After that, it's anyone's guess. At 240 hours the OP EURO has closed off a -28c contour at 850mb over Nunavut, associated with the PV. This is the lowest temp on that plot I've seen since last winter. Seems the arctic air will be willing and waiting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 Woke up this morning to everything white. a very small band hugged the coast all night looks like. even the trees are snowy. Nice, those are always great surprises Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 Nice, those are always great surprises yep... plus it was the fat flakes and calm wind type... just wafting down. ironically too, it was a ne to sw oriented band. seems to be going more n to s now tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 Unless the strength of the blocking over the Atlantic is underdone by the models, it looks like a D7-10 will feature a notable warm up. Given how amplified the models are with that W US trough, it wouldn't surprise me if they're too fast with the cold front. So said warm up might be protracted by a couple of days. After that, it's anyone's guess. At 240 hours the OP EURO has closed off a -28c contour at 850mb over Nunavut, associated with the PV. This is the lowest temp on that plot I've seen since last winter. Seems the arctic air will be willing and waiting. Near Record highs possibly? Classic setup for record high temps. I bet it pushes close to 65-70 next Sun/Mon timeframe before Artic air dominates in the longe range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 37/35 with thunderstorms in Bloomington IL (BMI) this morning. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 I also love cloudy days, especially in winter. What snow lover wouldn't? You are right about winter sun. Especially when the pole decides to take a dump on us, the sun bouncing off of the powder is so bright as to be overwhelming in contrast to those steel gray days.That being said, by the end of February, I'm ready for it to be over. Give me heat and sun and let the snow and cold be done. Woke up to frosty rooptops...and a clear, blue sky. Been a while since weve seen blue sky here. Its nice for sure, and itd be nice to stick around all day..but then we can go back into a canopy of gray for the next 10 days and it wouldnt bother me a bit. It is November! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fickle Heights Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 Rain mixing with sleet here in downtown Lafayette. The first frozen precip of the season for me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 Yep, sleeting here as well. We're on the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 Woke up to frosty rooptops...and a clear, blue sky. Been a while since weve seen blue sky here. Its nice for sure, and itd be nice to stick around all day..but then we can go back into a canopy of gray for the next 10 days and it wouldnt bother me a bit. It is November! Puddles are frozen solid this morning. Clouds are back in. Making this the 9th overcast day in a row Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 More sleet. Guess I better get used to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 Clouds around here have so much effect on temps in winter (with no lake/big city influence). Sure its nice to have a sunny Jan day warm up the house, but by 5pm, the sun is gone and the temps are plummeting. Easily can drop to -20F under clear skies and thick snow cover. With clouds, i'd be lucky to drop even into the low single digits. Not sure how exactly cold one can get with thick cloud cover, but it can't be much lower then about 5F or so....unless clouds move in after midnite when the temps have already dropped far below 0F. Even on blue sky days, I get homemade contrail clouds ...i must live under a main corridor for air traffic... Mild air moves in next weekend...Maybe one last shot at some 60Fs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 More sleet. Guess I better get used to it. Some large snowflakes mixing in there. Mostly sleet though. Makes breakfast club a lot of fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 Some large snowflakes mixing in there. Mostly sleet though. Makes breakfast club a lot of fun. Yeah a few flakes mixed in here on the eastside too. You at breakfast club? Giddee up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 Gorgeous day with clear blue skies. Hopefully that stratus can mix out before attempting to advect in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 Gorgeous day with clear blue skies. Hopefully that stratus can mix out before attempting to advect in here. What a difference 30-35 miles makes. Solid cloud cover here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 taken a few minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 Ping Ping Ping.. Damn sleet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 Yeah a few flakes mixed in here on the eastside too. You at breakfast club? Giddee up. Sure thing, gotta prepare myself for our No Hope football team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 More sleet. Guess I better get used to it. Every time I see sleet, it brings back bad memories. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted November 3, 2012 Author Share Posted November 3, 2012 Near Record highs possibly? Classic setup for record high temps. I bet it pushes close to 65-70 next Sun/Mon timeframe before Artic air dominates in the longe range. Man U ain't kidding. Peeked at the GFS and it looks like a Nov 2009 type set-up. Someone for sure is gonna get some 60s and maybe sneak a 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 taken a few minutes ago. Gorgeous. Sure thing, gotta prepare myself for our No Hope football team. Drink up. Ping Ping Ping.. Damn sleet! Every time I see sleet, it brings back bad memories. Ugh. I give it a pass in early November. Having some snow mixed in helped too. A month or so from now though...dread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 Long range GFS looks nice after the warmup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 Steel gray skies here at 40°. Milwaukee has mentioned someone in southern WI could see some sleet or snowflakes from the passing light radar returns overhead. Might put up the xmas lights on the along the roof-line if it's going to be in the 60s again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 I'm all for one final warm up before thanksgiving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 Every time I see sleet, it brings back bad memories. Ugh. I put on my boots with ice cleats, curl up in the fetal position and cry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 I put on my boots with ice cleats, curl up in the fetal position and cry. Lower levels definitely cold here, as even the lesser returns producing some PL here right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 Man U ain't kidding. Peeked at the GFS and it looks like a Nov 2009 type set-up. Someone for sure is gonna get some 60s and maybe sneak a 70. I need that time to get some projects done. Looks like "Winter" settles in after the 15th. I would not be surprised to see a white Thanksgiving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 More sleet. Guess I better get used to it. Can't help but have flashbacks to GHD when it sleets. Kinda cool forecast for us today THIS AFTERNOON MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS WITH POSSIBLE SLEET AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 We have sunshine now, but still clouds around. Another bike ride this afternoon. You can't beat weather like this..especially without snow cover. Perfect (50F) for outdoor activities. I love that 50F to 70F range of temps.,..by far the most comfortable. Even 40F to 50F isn't bad if you have a hat on...my head gets cold way too easy. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 Can't help but have flashbacks to GHD when it sleets. Of course. But as a group, the sleet group, we must move past the horrors that were present during GHD. Brighter days ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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