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November 2012 General Discussion


SpartyOn

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Going on 44 consecutive hours below 32 degrees unless there was an intra-hr 32 degrees this afternoon.. If there was no intra- hour 32 degrees this afternoon it will be 3 out of the last 4 days with highs below 32. MKE only accomplished that twice all last winter.

59 consecutive hrs was the most for December 2011 and was the only time December had back to back daytime high temps below freezing. Only had 4 days the whole month with daytime highs below 32

Jan had 10 days with highs below 32.

Feb/March combined for 4 days with highs below 32 and none consecutive.

Dec/Feb/March combined for a total of 8 days with highs below 32 lmaosmiley.gif

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PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL

1249 PM CST TUE NOV 27 2012 /149 PM EST TUE NOV 27 2012/

...SNOWFALL RECORDS IN JEOPARDY AND IT HASNT EVEN REALLY SNOWED YET

THIS FALL...

IF YOU NOTICED THAT YOUR SNOW SHOVELS AND SNOW BLOWERS ARE

COVERED IN COBWEBS...OR CANNOT REMEMBER WHERE THEY ARE...THERE IS

A REASON! CHICAGO AND ROCKFORD ARE BOTH IN THE MIDST OF ONE OF THE

LONGEST STRETCHES OF NO MEASURABLE SNOWFALL EVER! THE LAST TIME

MEASURABLE SNOW FELL IN CHICAGO AND ROCKFORD WAS BACK ON MARCH

4TH...WHICH WILL MAKE TODAY THE 268TH CONSECUTIVE DAY WITHOUT

MEASURABLE SNOWFALL. THIS IS NOW THE 6TH LONGEST PERIOD OF TIME IN

ROCKFORD ON RECORD WITHOUT MEASURABLE SNOWFALL AND THE 4TH LONGEST

IN CHICAGO. HERE ARE THE CURRENT RANKINGS FOR LONGEST STRETCHES OF

TIME WITHOUT MEASURABLE SNOWFALL...

ROCKFORD

RANK # DAYS DATES W/O MEASURABLE SNOW

1) 287 03/03/1922-12/13/1922

2) 284 02/26/1908-12/05/1908

3) 282 03/31/1939-01/06/1940

4) 270 03/06/2011-11/30/2011

270 03/10/1999-12/04/1999

6) 268+ 03/05/2012-11/27/2012+

CHICAGO

RANK # DAYS DATES W/O MEASURABLE SNOW

1) 280 03/01/1994-12/05/1994

2) 277 03/10/1946-12/11/1946

3) 269 03/11/1999-12/04/1999

4) 268+ 03/05/2012-11/27/2012+

GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST...THE CURRENT STREAKS ARE LIKELY TO

CONTINUE WITH THIS YEAR'S STRETCH EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO CLIMB IN

THE RANKINGS. CURRENT FORECASTS FOR UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER INTO

EARLY NEXT WEEK MEAN IT IS LIKELY THAT CHICAGO WILL CLIMB TO AT

LEAST NUMBER 3 AND ROCKFORD NUMBER 4.

HERE ARE SOME STATISTICS REGARDING FIRST/LAST MEASURABLE SNOWFALLS...

CHICAGO ROCKFORD

EARLIEST: 10/12/2006 10/12/1909

1ST AVERAGE: NOV 16 NOV 20

LATEST 12/16/1965 01/07/1940

EARLIEST: 02/27/1997 02/06/1911

LAST AVERAGE: APR 4 APR 1

LATEST 05/11/1966 05/11/1966

ON AVERAGE...CHICAGO HAS 226 DAYS DAYS IN A ROW WITHOUT MEASURABLE

SNOWFALL AND ROCKFORD AS 233.

IT IS SOMEWHAT UNUSUAL FOR CHICAGO AND ROCKFORD TO NOT HAVE

MEASURABLE SNOWFALL PRIOR TO DECEMBER 1ST. ONLY 17 PERCENT OF THE

121 YEARS OF SNOWFALL RECORDS HAS A CHICAGO FALL GONE WITHOUT

MEASURABLE SNOWFALL THROUGH THE END OF NOVEMBER. WHILE ONLY 24% OF

THE 100 YEARS WITH SNOWFALL RECORDS FOR ROCKFORD HAS THERE NOT BEEN

MEASURABLE SNOWFALL BY DEC 1ST.

HERE ARE THE LATEST FIRST MEASURABLE SNOWFALLS FOR CHICAGO AND

ROCKFORD...

CHICAGO ROCKFORD

1) 12/16/1965 1) 01/07/1940

2) 12/14/2001 2) 12/21/1996

3) 12/12/1946 3) 12/19/2001

4) 12/10/2003 12/19/1948

5) 12/09/2011 5) 12/14/1922

12/09/1948 6) 12/12/1916

6) 12/07/1914 7) 12/11/1924

7) 12/06/1994 8) 12/10/1970

8) 12/05/1999 12/10/1932

12/05/1984 10) 12/08/1956

12/05/1973 12/08/1927

12/05/1909 12/08/1914

IN ORDER FOR ROCKFORD BREAK THE RECORD FOR THE LONGEST STRETCH OF

TIME WITHOUT MEASURABLE SNOWFALL THEIR FIRST MEASURABLE SNOWFALL

THIS YEAR WOULD HAVE TO HOLD OFF UNTIL DECEMBER 17TH (DEC 16TH WOULD

TIE)...WHICH YOU CAN SEE IN THE CHART ABOVE JUST HOW EXTRAORDINARILY

RARE THAT WOULD BE. FOR CHICAGO TO BREAK THE RECORD FOR THE LONGEST

STRETCH WITHOUT MEASURABLE SNOWFALL THE FIRST OF THE SEASON WOULD

HAVE TO HOLD OFF UNTIL DECEMBER 11TH (DEC 10TH WOULD TIE).

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South Bend is now 6 days from setting the record for the longest period without a measurable snowfall. The last measurable snowfall at South Bend was March 5, 266 days ago. The record is 272 days which was set in 1948. With no snow forecast in the next 7 days, this record could be in jeopardy.

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It means I didn't look outside because I think it was virga (at least once it made its way east). No station in SE Wisconsin is/has reported any precip, even flurries.

That band of snow north of me on this side of the lake means business. Just starting to get some flakes. Checkout the webcam just north...

http://www.oceanaheraldjournal.com/webcam/downtown.php

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South Bend is now 6 days from setting the record for the longest period without a measurable snowfall. The last measurable snowfall at South Bend was March 5, 266 days ago. The record is 272 days which was set in 1948. With no snow forecast in the next 7 days, this record could be in jeopardy.

stunning record for a site that far north with LE history.

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Projected average temp of 41.3º at IND for this November. Closest to 2008 in recent times, but technically the coldest since 2002.

November temps at IND since 1990...

2012: 41.3º (projected)

2011: 48.7º

2010: 44.8º

2009: 47.4º

2008: 41.7º

2007: 43.4º

2006: 45.5º

2005: 44.5º

2004: 46.8º

2003: 47.3º

2002: 40.3º

2001: 49.5º

2000: 40.7º

1999: 48.8º

1998: 45.5º

1997: 39.0º

1996: 37.3º

1995: 37.0º

1994: 48.6º

1993: 42.2º

1992: 43.2º

1991: 40.2º

1990: 47.5º

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Novembers with no measurable snow for South Bend (since 1897).

1923: T

1946: T

1948: T

1990: T

1994: T

1998: T

2001: 0.0"

2009: 0.0"

2011: T

2012: T

If we play it out past this month, it's kinda meh. 1998-99 carries the torch, no pun intended. Season totals for South Bend for each winter below.

1923-24: 34.5"

1946-47: 40.1"

1948-49: 23.2"

1990-91: 59.0"

1994-95: 49.9"

1998-99: 78.7"

2001-02: 62.8"

2009-10: 57.3"

2011-12: 51.2"

2012-13: ?

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Novembers with no measurable snow for South Bend (since 1897).

1923: T

1946: T

1948: T

1990: T

1994: T

1998: T

2001: 0.0"

2009: 0.0"

2011: T

2012: T

If we play it out past this month, it's kinda meh. 1998-99 carries the torch, no pun intended. Season totals for South Bend for each winter below.

1923-24: 34.5"

1946-47: 40.1"

1948-49: 23.2"

1990-91: 59.0"

1994-95: 49.9"

1998-99: 78.7"

2001-02: 62.8"

2009-10: 57.3"

2011-12: 51.2"

2012-13: ?

definitely a bad stretch for fast starts

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Lol...so the temp started rapidly dropping last evening (after a sunny day) then a solid overcast developed holding temps steady and even rising a few degrees so our low was 24 set at 12am. I really thought we may head for the teens. Then as soon as sunrise came the clouds cleared and its sunny again! Its like mother nature is thinking, oh hell no I can't allow a great radiational cooling night in MI in NOV!

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streak of consecutive hrs below 32 degrees ends at 60 hrs and that best any consecutive streak below 32 all of last dec. This torch upcoming is going to crush anything dec 2011 had to offer thanks to some september like lows and oct like highs.

So glad this torch is happening in the very early stage of december.. much easier to accept than it happening closer to the holidays.

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streak of consecutive hrs below 32 degrees ends at 60 hrs and that best any consecutive streak below 32 all of last dec. This torch upcoming is going to crush anything dec 2011 had to offer thanks to some september like lows and oct like highs.

So glad this torch is happening in the very early stage of december.. much easier to accept than it happening closer to the holidays.

The long range GFS is looking better and better. Look at 300 hrs and you can see Vodka cold coming down the pipe.

Jon

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The long range GFS is looking better and better. Look at 300 hrs and you can see Vodka cold coming down the pipe.

Jon

Yep...

Now If I had any willpower I would be able to step back away from anything wx related until the torch relaxes next week instead of wasting so many hrs worrying about Fantasy land..

Just get me the grass covered through the Holidays and I will be very grateful even if I end up way below normal snowfall for the month and every body else is plus. I just don't do a brown holiday season very well.

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