Chaser25973 Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 I figured since we were in storm mode, we could use a banter thread to banter about Sandy/Phased/Hybrid whatever it's gonna be called. I spoke to my aunt today who lives on the South Shore of LI and I told her to start thinking about evacuating. She said, "Oh, we might go to CT." I said that was a bad idea because CT could get it even worse. Then she said "We could stay at a hotel in PA" then I told her she might hit a blizzard if she does that. Then she said "Oh, well we have family in North Carolina...." Pretty much anywhere you go is unsafe right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Ha that's pretty good. I told my family about it today, but I didn't make it seem like anything over-concerning yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevbo81 Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 what's the feeling about tonight's runs? how much stock is everyone taking in them? or are most of us gearing up for the 6z runs? I'm personally more interested in the 6z and beyond, simply based on the possible injection of better upper air sampling... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Well, at least my generators are still gassed up from the great Freehold NJ super cell in July. I lost most of my trees in that one so at least that's a plus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Well, at least my generators are still gassed up from the great Freehold NJ super cell in July. I lost most of my trees in that one so at least that's a plus. Put generators in the house back in Colts Neck following Irene (which we didn't lose power for) so that looks like a good decision right now. You'll have to keep me posted on Monmouth's status as I'll be here NW of PHL for this sucker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Will do. Only lost power for half hour on the back end of Irene. Since the super cell we've had many more small one to ten minute outages here. Before it, we rarely lost power at all. I suspect our infrastructure is still quite suspect now so I'm defanately expecting an extended outage if the models are correct. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 My cactus isn't going to like this one bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Here he is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Here he is He has an upadate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I hope Sandy does not pull an Irene and weaken 5 MPH for each NHC advisory from here on out until landfall. Irene only was 65 MPH as it made landfall in NJ and those winds were well east of the center over the ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I hope Sandy does not pull an Irene and weaken 5 MPH for each NHC advisory from here on out until landfall. Irene only was 65 MPH as it made landfall in NJ and those winds were well east of the center over the ocean. the fact that irene impacted the area and it was a tropical system are where the comparisons should end. This situation is not even close to similar, and our storm will surely not be weakening, in fact there is every indication that it should be intensifying to just about landfall, albeit as a hybrid system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 That's true. But if the public sees the NHC downgrading the winds for Sandy tomorrow and Saturday below the forecast winds we are supposed to get up here on Monday with the hybrid storm, then people will become complacent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 That's true. But if the public sees the NHC downgrading the winds for Sandy tomorrow and Saturday below the forecast winds we are supposed to get up here on Monday with the hybrid storm, then people will become complacent. And Darwin wins again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Darwin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Darwin? He invented the light bulb and evolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Lol. Some people in the main hurricane live thread are downplaying this storm and saying that this is going to be overhyped like Irene since it's at "only" 85 MPH now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 The NAM has finally picked up a load and carried it to the shed. The GEM reminds me of a drunk guy in a bar who already picked up a girl and forgot so now he's trying different lines on other girls. He may remember his date soon. The Euro is on auto-pilot but may be slowly drifting off course to the left, somebody wake up the crew. The GFS might have mistaken the interstate lights for the airport runway. I sure hope this raggedy band gets its act together by 12z because this much uncertainty at T-60h is going to result in very late effective preparations, but what can you do, you can't evacuate everyone in the I-95 corridor, and when they do start to warn, as an earlier poster said, where do you send people? Into an I-80 snowstorm? It would be providential if this just falls apart at the last minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Mayor Bloomberg isn't going into panic mode for the City. He said that this will not be as bad as Irene . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Mayor Bloomberg isn't going into panic mode for the City. He said that this will not be as bad as Irene . Apparently he has access to some crystal ball that no one else has. I hope he doesn't pull a Mayor Nagin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Great video by Steve D http://www.nynjpaweather.com/2012/10/26/video-discussion-for-october-26-2012/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 12z Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Mayor Bloomberg isn't going into panic mode for the City. He said that this will not be as bad as Irene . Does this mean that he won't shut the subways down this time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Runs like the 12z GFS hinder municaplities and county OEM officials from ordering evacuations . I hope someday someone fixes the feedback problems with this model , before one day it causes losses worse than finincial ones . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Bloomberg press conference 3pm, my dad works capital construction mta they are loading sand bags & were told may have to stay @ work might be state of emergency Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJStorms Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Barrier Islands have issued n voluntary evacuation. Mandatory on Sunday. http://www.app.com/v...evacuated-Sandy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I wonder if this will turn out like Irene with it not being as bad as forecast. My area was almost completely spared by Irene, just some flooding, a couple trees/branches down, no power lost, not a big deal. Of course every storm is different and Sandy's evolution will be completely different than Irene's as well as its trajectory. An E or ESE coming right off the ocean can be very damaging at least that's what I heard. Can anyone chime in more on the wind direction and trajectory? What is the significant of an E or ESE wind compared to say a W or WNW wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I wonder if this will turn out like Irene with it not being as bad as forecast. My area was almost completely spared by Irene, just some flooding, a couple trees/branches down, no power lost, not a big deal. Of course every storm is different and Sandy's evolution will be completely different than Irene's as well as its trajectory. An E or ESE coming right off the ocean can be very damaging at least that's what I heard. Can anyone chime in more on the wind direction and trajectory? What is the significant of an E or ESE wind compared to say a W or WNW wind. 19 billion dollars in damages.... are you kidding me? Try living near a river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I wonder if this will turn out like Irene with it not being as bad as forecast. but this is nothing like irene. think dec 91, but worse. really fearing long term loss of power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gpickett Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 The Pluperfect Storm. How ironic that Sandy is on track to devastate Asbury Park? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rickwx1006 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 You live in my hometown! Are you in Candlewood? If it is like December 1992 (winds/damage wise) in Howell with this upcoming storm you are in for a wallop. I grew up in Howell and the December 1992 storm remains the worst winds I've ever experienced. If this is like that or worse, you will never forget it. Be safe. If you live in Candlewood and this produces like December 1992 or worse be prepared to lose power. I am actually about a mile west of Route 9, down Friendship Road. We were fortunate during Irene in that we did not lose power at all. I don't recall losing power in December 1992, but that is 20 years ago. Definitively heading down I-195 to Belmar tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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