OKpowdah Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Did Sandy really strengthen over Jamaica? frictional convergence baby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 If we were to get major flooding issues I could perhaps see some deaths occurring from people trying to drive through floods or maybe a tree falling onto someones house or car but to use that type of language right now is not really necessary. Yeah isolated incidents... that stuff can happen in any flooding or wind event. There's always someone in the wrong place at the wrong time. But the phrase "many lives lost" makes it sound like a 200 mile wide EF4 is going to come through...or skyscrappers in NYC will fail and crumble. Even if it were to hit tomorrow, I'm not sure if that language is ever necessary on the east coast unless we have a CAT 5 plowing into NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 18z gfs running Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 You'd be floored at what this OMG model is showing - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 The 18z NAM actually appears to be a bit sharper with the trough than the 12z run...certainly more in line with the euro in that regards. Congrats Joe on the DGEX! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Congrats Joe on the DGEX! No matter what Joe will say sunny skies and 65F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Looks like the 18z GFS is going to repeat what teh 12z run did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 No matter what Joe will say sunny skies and 65F. Hope Sandy doesn't ruin the mowing pattern of his lawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 You'd be floored at what this OMG model is showing - stalled? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 GFS looks east a bit lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 GFS looks east a bit lol h5 energy at 102 is slower and further west than it was at 12z at 108... going to be a late phase if there is one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Microbursts Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Glad I don't have to make a public forecast (or any forecast) on this one. What do you say if you're a public forecaster? Hey folks - could be an historical event for the end of October again, or we could have a few showers and a 20 mph gust. More at 11. HAHAHA I am working with Brad Field at NBC Connecticut. I will show him this. This was hilarious! Meteorologist Joe Moravsky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Congrats Joe on the DGEX! 4-6 FEET of snow in West Virginia and central Appalachians on the 18z DGEX. Every 6-hours another 1.5-2" QPF falls with SFC temps in the upper 20s... NW flow upslope into the central Appalachians with tropical moisture, lol. This is only like half the storm and over 4" QPF as snow in the West Virginia mountains... haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 GFS looks east a bit lol Only a little..... @102 it's halfway between hatteras and burmuda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 I am surprised at hour 102 it is east compared to 12Z. I really thought it would keep trending towards Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 HAHAHA I am working with Brad Field at NBC Connecticut. I will show him this. This was hilarious! Meteorologist Joe Moravsky Welcome! you need a red tag! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 The GFS doesn't appear bad at all, especially at H5...just would come down to a question of whether or not the GFS is right with both the timing/speed of the trough and with Sandy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 op GFS and Euro still worlds apart. GFS is south and east of its 12z op run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 And it drifts towards burmuda @111.. SMH.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Still should make the left hook, just later and further north. I know they're doing special soundings over the CONUS, but I'd love it if they could do special soundings over the northwest Atlantic... might help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 I actually think it may miss and not hook back. It's starting to break away from the 12z path quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Sandy is in Bermuda at 120... that would be an huge reverse if it decides to return back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 wow.. toss it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Yeah Sandy's gone. Found a nice little weakness and moved right on out. Pretty much have to toss it based on all other available guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Storm cancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Just goes to show you that we need another good 36 hrs to figure this out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Yeah Sandy's gone. Found a nice little weakness and moved right on out. Pretty much have to toss it based on all other available guidance. lol love it.!! Finally toss the GFS after all these years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Storm cancel. good thing is the only model showing that, but still something to keep an eye on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Just goes to show you that we need another good 36 hrs to figure this out. Maybe even another 48-60 really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Just goes to show you that we need another good 36 hrs to figure this out. Seriously? Cause no other guidance does what the GFS just did... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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