dryslot Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 East coast of Florida see's TS conditions as far as the 12 GFS goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 On 10/24/2012 at 3:31 PM, CoastalWx said: I know...there is plenty of time and given the uncertainty, no need to hype it up and have people going to Home Depot today. I'm not sure many people outside mets understand the uncertainty here. No, you have to forecast a direct hit now...worst since 1938 here. There is a very good chance this ends up being a strong autumn Nor' Easter for most of us. I think people need to keep that in mind and not start thinking about hurricane force winds yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 floridas east coast gets it good this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 On 10/24/2012 at 3:40 PM, CT Rain said: LitchfieldLibations needs to take down the kiddie pool, tiki bar, and beach umbrellas. Maybe rough seas throw him some oysters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Through 60, west again so far...precip shield impacting FL somewhat. West trend has been continuing on the GFS... See if it doesn't make its quick NE departure this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 On 10/24/2012 at 3:46 PM, ORH_wxman said: No, you have to forecast a direct hit now...worst since 1938 here. There is a very good chance this ends up being a strong autumn Nor' Easter for most of us. I think people need to keep that in mind and not start thinking about hurricane force winds yet. Just what the doctor ordered for October, A good ol nor' easter is good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 shortwave over canada is much more vigorous looking this run, definitely miles south of previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 On 10/24/2012 at 3:39 PM, CoastalWx said: I agree with the marine aspect because even the most mundane solutions have gusty winds and high seas at the coast. If you aren't a fisherman and just have a pleasure craft...may as well get them out. No need to rush.....at this time of year, most boats are out anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 On 10/24/2012 at 3:40 PM, CT Rain said: LitchfieldLibations needs to take down the kiddie pool, tiki bar, and beach umbrellas. And put his house on a trailer and bring it 3-4 miles inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Took a NE turn 72-78...we'll see what happens after that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 On 10/24/2012 at 3:54 PM, powderfreak said: And put his house on a trailer and bring it 3-4 miles inland. Attach the swimmies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Well, also - from what I can tell, all the models are too weak with Sandy for this hour, 10 mb or more at that - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Vortmax making an unschedule appearance over the head of marylanders at 78. Surface low west of 6z through 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 GFS is close this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Might be close again, but the ridge out west looks better. With Sandy a little west...might try to capture it later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 96hr: At 200 mb Sandy is in perfect position for the left front entrance region for the jet streak over the eastern lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 This is the closest the GFS has ever been to a phase. WOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Looks like it will stay east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Noticed the Low over the canadian maritimes has been more south of prior runs through this 12z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 On 10/24/2012 at 3:59 PM, sbos_wx said: This is the closest the GFS has ever been to a phase. WOW. On 10/24/2012 at 3:59 PM, CT Rain said: Looks like it will stay east Also, 300 users. Nice. Looks like it escapes NE at 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 @ 96, if it can slow down enough, shortwave diving thru the trot over near TN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 NCEP site crashed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hurricaneman Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 On 10/24/2012 at 3:59 PM, CT Rain said: Looks like it will stay east Nope, looks like it completely agrees except for pressure with the Euro Edit: A giant leap towards the Euro with landfall in eastern Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 So close, but might be east again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 On 10/24/2012 at 4:02 PM, weatherMA said: Also, 300 users. Nice. Looks like it escapes NE at 96. It's the closest its been, think people would agree. Never said it was GOING to phase. Said closest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 On 10/24/2012 at 4:04 PM, CoastalWx said: So close, but might be east again. Yeah, It looks like it will still slip east unless its a late capture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Wow. For a moment there, I thought it was going to do it... Looking at hr. 108 I was almost 100% sure that it was going to be a capture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Well, it's another trend towards the Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 On 10/24/2012 at 4:06 PM, Cold Front said: Yeah, It looks like it will still slip east unless its a late capture Looks like it could be a late capture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 On 10/24/2012 at 4:07 PM, AlexD said: 324 users They are all here to view the discussion of heavy frost in the NNE thread. How far NW does this get before the turn east? Any signs of the coastal that the GEM (?) had earlier today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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