mackerel_sky Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Kind of quiet in here,what did the euro show last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted October 24, 2012 Author Share Posted October 24, 2012 930 something just off the central mid-Atlantic coast at day 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CandymanColumbusGA Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Kind of quiet in here,what did the euro show last night? This. While the 6Z GFS showed Sandy headed out to sea, but creates a hell of a baroclinic low over the NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 I can't blame sandy for reaching New Jersey then turning around immediately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Euro snowfall...... taken from the MA peeps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 If I could get 3 inches out of this I'd walk away a very happy man, hell if I could get 1........ I do miss NC though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Personally, I think it's going to head out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Robert updated www.wxsouth.com, of course you'll have to pay to read it but insightful none the less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Sandy could bring red flag warning criteria here in NC according to NWS Blacksburg. Sunday looking windy and much cooler. I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 GFS is freaking out with how "Sandy" might interact with that big Low in the ATL. and how it interacts with the trof coming in. IMO this will hook back into the US, it just depends on where it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 GFS is freaking out with how "Sandy" might interact with that big Low in the ATL. and how it interacts with the trof coming in. IMO this will hook back into the US, it just depends on where it does. No way to hide it, the GFS just struggles in the 3-7 day range...we see it time and time again where it is out to lunch with large scale storm evolution. It's like it has to go through these little baby steps before it comes around to the rest of the modeling world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 AGREED!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Amazing model output for the 12z GFS operational run. It Takes Sandy into newengland now but creates a pressure so strong that it starts out with upslope snow for the Apps all the way into TN, then snow breaks out into upstate PA and WV and slowly as the cold air wraps into the system rain changes to snow through the NYC metro area and then from the south into New England. According to the GFS, if you're in east MA, you could see heavy rain with a northerly wind to start then rain changing to snow as the wind goes southerly. There's some serious model consensus going on and the GFS has finally woken up to the possibility. We may have a mess on our hands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Personally, I think it's going to head out to sea. LOL That seals it. Alert FEMA now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 GFS is freaking out with how "Sandy" might interact with that big Low in the ATL. and how it interacts with the trof coming in. IMO this will hook back into the US, it just depends on where it does. The hook and the bend back it will take is gonna be the interesting scenerio with that mega block. I just wish it would phase quicker and make landfall if you will in the Deleware/NJ area. Then we could at a minimum get in the car or atleast hear testimonies from some of our SE members in the high country/East TN/SW VA talk about snow. Im thinking the models are a little slow with the timing on this. I'm in the camp there will be a phase but futher north (New England) because by the time northern energy gets involved , sandy will have progressed a little futher northbound then the Euro depicitions. But kudos to the euro and lesser extent Can if all this comes to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Via Brad Panovich's FB page... Well I don't think we will be forgetting Sandy or what ever we end up calling it. The impacts will start as a Hurricane, then a tropical storm, then a Nor'Easter then end in a Blizzard and an Arctic outbreak. Did I miss anything? WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 GFDL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 LOL That seals it. Alert FEMA now! He is on ignore. He is the worst... besides fozz and ctBlizz. GFDL That would be signifigant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 WOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 WOW. Some breezy conditions in NC from that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 WOW. That's looking downright cold for Knoxville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 I wonder if the mountains will get any upslope snow from this. Snowshoe probably gets hammered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 If Sandy becomes our first winter storm...will TWC change the name? LOL That is not a serious question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Gotta run. Someone please post a euro snowfall map when you come across it. Wonder if weathernc is plan on chasing. Would you rather see the landfall with those low pressures or the jackpot for potential feet of snow up in WVA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 I think W MD, N WVA and S PA, jackpots with about 2 feet this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Just announced, ALL NWS offices will be launching balloons every 6 hrs for the next few days to better handle Sandy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 EURO smashes Norfolk to Atlantic City.....Cold shot for ALL of us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 I wonder if the mountains will get any upslope snow from this. Snowshoe probably gets hammered. The Euro? YES. The GFS? YES. GFS Ensembles? YES. If the models are right then the favored upslope areas in WV would get hammered, and upslope snow would happen as far south as the Smoky Mountains. Places in WV would see up to a foot or more. The Smoky Mountains could see 1-6" above 5500'. This is not an official forecast. This is blending model output with how topography works around here. That being said, with the latest Euro output it looks like snow showers could happen all the way down to the valley in Knoxville on the west side of the Apps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Is the Euro still th eonly one showing this has a huge event? I thought most of the model runs showed it staying out to sea. I know some runs of the Euro have it going out to sea some when it gets past NC but then hanging a left and slamming into the New York area. Are some of the other models coming around to the scenario? If so, then I guess I was premature in saying I think it's going to head out to sea. I am just used to these extreme solutions on the models never coming to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Just announced, ALL NWS offices will be launching balloons every 6 hrs for the next few days to better handle Sandy. Yep SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE NWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS COLLEGE PARK MD 1813Z WED OCT 24 2012 DUE TO THE HIGH VARIABILITY IN THE FORECAST TRACK OF HURRICANE SANDY.. SPECIAL SOUNDINGS ARE REQUESTED BEGINNING 18Z THURSDAY 25 OCT 2012... ALL REGIONAL DIRECTORS HAVE APPROVED THE SPECIAL SOUNDING RELEASE SCHEDULE BELOW.. IF THERE ARE ANY QUESTIONS CONTACT YOUR REGION OR THE SDM... ***SPECIAL 06Z/18Z SOUNDING REQUESTS*** WESTERN REGION THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY... CENTRAL REGION THROUGH 12Z MONDAY... EASTERN REGION THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY... SOUTHERN REGION THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY... -------------------------------------- THE RELEASE SCHEDULE WILL BE EVALUATED AS THE SITUATION EVOLVES.. EURO smashes Norfolk to Atlantic City.....Cold shot for ALL of us! Yay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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