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Historic Sandy Oct 26th - 31st, SE hybrid obs/disco thread....

WeatherNC

By WeatherNC,
in Southeastern States

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Rob

Rob

Posted
Posted

Won't be a pretty sight. Visibility will suck. Don't get blown away.

Yeah, Rainbow falls trail offers the most coverage from wind. Unfortunately its the longest way up. If snow levels permit, we can enter in at a higher elevation. All depends on good old mother nature.

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WilkesboroDude

WilkesboroDude

Posted
Posted

High Wind Watch WND.gif

Statement as of 3:56 PM EDT on October 27, 2012

... High wind watch in effect from late Sunday night through

Tuesday evening...

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg has issued a high wind

watch... which is in effect from late Sunday night through Tuesday

evening.

* Locations... northwest North Carolina and Grayson Highlands.

* Hazards... strong and gusty winds.

* Winds... 25 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* Timing... beginning late Sunday night and continuing into

Tuesday.

* Impacts... uprooted and downed trees could lead to widespread

power outages. Heavy snow on trees could compound the threat.

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BIG FROSTY

BIG FROSTY

Posted
Posted

NWS Blasksburg-- No mention of snow here, last night they had rn/sn showers in my forecast?

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

BREEZY WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH

GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. CHANCE OF RAIN

60 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING.

LOWS IN THE MID 30S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.

Here's forecast from GSP for cities to my South and West--- Lenior, Statesville, Mocksville all have the word snow in the forecast?

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN PARTLY SUNNY WITH A

CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. CHANCE OF

RAIN 30 PERCENT.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION. WINDY WITH LOWS IN THE MID

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION

50 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. MOSTLY CLOUDY

WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. BREEZY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.

CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.

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Carvers Gap

Carvers Gap

Posted
Posted

Ok, KTRI people. I know you are out there. I have tried to stay out of the fray, because I quite frankly refuse to believe snow is going to fall in valleys of NE TN in October in an accumulating manner. However, in an effort to balance my thoughts here is info from Morristown(TN) and HPC...

...STRONG WINTER WEATHER SYSTEM MOVING IN...

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THIS

WEEKEND. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE 30S ACROSS EAST

TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

A FEW NORTHERN LOCATIONS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OVER THE EAST

MOUNTAINS WILL SEE OVERNIGHT LOWS REACH THE FREEZING MARK BEGINNING

SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH THE COLD AIR POTENTIALLY REMAINING IN PLACE

THROUGH THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK.

ADDITIONALLY...WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN

REGION ON SUNDAY AND BECOME BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY ACROSS THE

AREA...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS...ON MONDAY. WITH HIGH

TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY ONLY REACHING INTO THE 40S OVER NORTHEAST

TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WIND CHILLS WILL RANGE FROM THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S MONDAY AFTERNOON.

AS THE COLD AIR MOVES IN...LINGERING RAIN SHOWERS SUNDAY NIGHT WILL

LIKELY CHANGE OVER TO LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES...MAINLY OVER HIGHER

TERRAIN OVER SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND THE EAST TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS.

LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT.

HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF SANDY IS

EXPECTED TO REACH INTO THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT. THIS IS WILL GENERATE

SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS...MAINLY OVER SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST

TENNESSEE AND THE EAST TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS. ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL IS

EXPECTED...WITH THE HIGHER MOUNTAIN ELEVATIONS RECEIVING THE

GREATEST TOTALS...AND VALLEY LOCATIONS RECEIVING LIGHTER AMOUNTS.

post-769-0-30705800-1351371849_thumb.gif

post-769-0-28546900-1351371866_thumb.gif

post-769-0-86520700-1351371878_thumb.gif

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Blue Ridge

Blue Ridge

Posted
Posted

Hey Carver, going to admit I'm stunned that the ultra conservative Morristown office issued that statement this early. Going to be fascinating to watch this storm have such a huge impact on so many different levels.

I second this statement. I believe impacts in the Tri-Cities will be greater than currently expected. Right now, local media is not latching onto this as well as MRX seems to be, and once they do, I can imagine a general panic will ensue, as is normally the case with the first storm of the year. To discuss 1+ feet of snow in the mountains in October, however, is insanely different.

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crossthread

crossthread

Posted
Posted

Afternoon Folks, Reporting from Wilmington...(Carolina Beach)...

Took a Quick trip to the beach...

Blowing a STEADY 40+ W/Gust(s) 50~55

Light sideways rain..

2 Short Video(s) I shot...

There were 3 news crews when I was there...

Suurfer reported Missing Somewhere(s) on the Island...

Video Link(s)

#1-->

#2-->

post-2767-0-29703000-1351374316_thumb.jp

post-2767-0-53394400-1351374326_thumb.jp

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valkhorn

valkhorn

Posted
Posted

I am going to Gatlinburg tomorrow and preparing to hike the summit of Mt Leconte. With a summit of 6594ft I have witnessed snow conditions change rapidly around 4500-5000ft, Snow at lower elevation can really make it impossible to get to the trail heads so sometimes higher elevation snows are a treat .I went for the first snow of the season several years ago, I hiked from a dusting of snow up to a foot at the summit. Around 850mb the snowline really picked up and there was 8" by 5000ft. I am worried about limited moisture despite enhanced upslope and decent 850mb moisture.

441 might be closed, so you'll have to go through either Brushy Mountain or one of the trails through Cherokee Orchard.

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nchighcountrywx

nchighcountrywx

Posted
Posted

.THE FORECAST FOR GRANDFATHER MOUNTAIN NC AT 5946 FT...

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

EVENING...

.REST OF TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH THE

NIGHT. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. IN THE CLOUDS AT TIMES. LOWS

AROUND 40. NORTH WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 36 MPH.

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS

THROUGH THE DAY. IN THE CLOUDS AT TIMES DURING THE MORNING. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH...INCREASING TO NORTHWEST

30 TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 48 MPH.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL MIDNIGHT.

SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY THROUGH THE NIGHT. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST

WINDS 40 TO 45 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 61 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 45 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH.

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BullCityWx

BullCityWx

Posted
Posted

Ran a quick sounding for a location close to my parents house and it is remarkably cold:

Date: 66 hour AVN valid 12Z TUE 30 OCT 12

Station: 35.33,-81.32

Latitude: 35.33

Longitude: -81.32

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LEV PRES HGHT TEMP DEWP RH DD WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E W

mb m C C % C C deg knt K K K K g/kg

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

0 1000 4

SFC 968 269 2.6 -4.2 61 6.7 -0.0 246 13 278.3 278.8 274.8 286.4 2.90

2 950 419 1.8 -4.9 61 6.6 -0.7 260 24 279.0 279.5 275.0 286.9 2.80

3 900 852 -1.4 -5.3 74 4.0 -2.9 298 36 280.1 280.6 275.7 288.1 2.85

4 850 1306 -2.3 -6.1 75 3.8 -3.8 314 56 283.7 284.2 277.6 291.8 2.84

5 800 1789 -1.8 -7.6 64 5.8 -3.9 320 56 289.3 289.8 280.1 297.2 2.70

6 750 2301 -3.1 -9.2 63 6.1 -5.4 322 49 293.2 293.6 281.7 300.7 2.53

7 700 2845 -5.6 -10.7 67 5.1 -7.4 321 43 296.2 296.7 282.8 303.6 2.41

8 650 3423 -7.8 -12.3 70 4.5 -9.3 315 32 300.2 300.6 284.3 307.2 2.29

9 600 4042 -11.5 -14.2 80 2.7 -12.3 311 29 302.8 303.2 285.1 309.5 2.12

10 550 4703 -16.0 -16.8 93 0.8 -16.2 303 26 305.1 305.5 285.7 311.1 1.87

11 500 5414 -21.1 -21.3 98 0.2 -21.2 294 26 307.3 307.6 285.9 311.8 1.39

12 450 6183 -26.8 -27.1 97 0.3 -26.9 301 30 309.5 309.7 286.2 312.6 0.92

13 400 7027 -29.1 -29.5 96 0.4 -29.2 329 28 317.1 317.3 288.8 320.0 0.83

14 350 7978 -31.3 -31.6 98 0.3 -31.4 30 29 326.5 326.6 291.5 329.3 0.78

15 300 9057 -37.7 -37.8 98 0.1 -37.7 51 38 332.3 332.4 292.8 334.1 0.49

16 250 10297 -43.0 -50.1 45 7.1 -43.4 60 33 342.2 342.2 295.0 342.8 0.16

17 200 11785 -47.3 -64.7 12 17.4 -47.9 53 21 357.8 357.8 298.3 357.9 0.03

18 150 13667 -52.0 -73.1 6 21.1 -52.5 213 5 380.5 380.5 302.3 380.5 0.01

19 100 16249 -57.3 -80.5 4 23.1 -57.7 231 9 417.0 417.0 307.4 417.0 0.01

TRP 0

WND 0

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BullCityWx

BullCityWx

Posted
Posted

Date: 66 hour AVN valid 12Z TUE 30 OCT 12

Station: KCLT

Latitude: 35.22

Longitude: -80.93

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LEV PRES HGHT TEMP DEWP RH DD WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E W

mb m C C % C C deg knt K K K K g/kg

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

0 1000 1

SFC 975 206 3.2 -4.1 58 7.4 0.4 250 15 278.4 278.9 274.8 286.5 2.88

2 950 417 1.9 -5.0 60 6.9 -0.7 262 30 279.1 279.6 275.0 286.9 2.77

3 900 851 -1.0 -5.2 73 4.2 -2.6 297 38 280.5 281.0 276.0 288.7 2.89

4 850 1306 -0.9 -5.7 70 4.8 -2.8 315 52 285.2 285.7 278.4 293.6 2.93

5 800 1791 -0.9 -6.9 64 6.0 -3.2 321 48 290.2 290.7 280.7 298.6 2.85

6 750 2304 -3.1 -8.4 67 5.3 -5.1 321 41 293.2 293.7 281.9 301.3 2.71

7 700 2847 -6.4 -9.9 76 3.5 -7.7 319 38 295.4 295.9 282.7 303.2 2.57

8 650 3424 -8.8 -11.2 83 2.4 -9.6 308 29 299.0 299.5 284.1 306.7 2.51

9 600 4040 -12.2 -13.1 93 0.9 -12.5 306 29 301.9 302.4 285.0 309.2 2.31

10 550 4700 -16.2 -16.4 98 0.3 -16.2 303 29 304.9 305.3 285.7 311.0 1.92

11 500 5411 -21.2 -21.3 99 0.1 -21.2 296 30 307.2 307.4 285.9 311.7 1.39

12 450 6179 -27.3 -27.6 97 0.3 -27.3 303 34 308.9 309.1 286.0 311.9 0.88

13 400 7022 -28.8 -29.2 96 0.4 -28.9 332 27 317.6 317.7 288.9 320.5 0.85

14 350 7974 -31.6 -31.8 98 0.2 -31.6 31 28 326.2 326.3 291.4 328.9 0.77

15 300 9052 -37.9 -38.0 98 0.2 -37.9 49 37 332.0 332.1 292.7 333.8 0.48

16 250 10292 -42.8 -52.6 33 9.8 -43.3 57 29 342.4 342.4 295.0 342.9 0.12

17 200 11783 -46.9 -66.6 9 19.8 -47.5 46 17 358.6 358.6 298.4 358.7 0.02

18 150 13667 -51.8 -73.4 6 21.6 -52.3 218 6 380.8 380.8 302.4 380.8 0.01

19 100 16252 -57.1 -80.4 4 23.4 -57.5 229 9 417.5 417.5 307.4 417.5 0.01

TRP 0

WND 0

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Bozart

Bozart

Posted
Posted

Greetings from western Pitt County, NC, stubbornly just outside the western edge of the precip shield, where forecasts had me picking up an inch of rain by now, with several more inches on the way. Storm total so far: .08". Precip shield still making zero progress inland. Oh well...

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