PhineasC Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I smell a big letdown coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I smell a big letdown coming. I think even the GFS track would be a pretty big event for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 How can their be a meltdown when no one did or still doesnt know whats going to happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongRanger Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 too soon to know: this is still Young Frankenstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I smell a big letdown coming. There's conflicting interpretations of the model outputs between mets in here and, for example, the CWG posts. For example, Jason posts that the worst winds and rain would happen with the VA-Delmarva hit. Others in here have posted that the worst wind/rain combo would be a NJ hit. The write-up in the CWG post this afternoon about the "worst case scenario" for the DC area (away from the shoreline) actually isn't far from what we've experienced fairly recently-- just a rainier Isabel or a slightly windier Irene. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I smell a big letdown coming. seems like some are already freaking out over the shift north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 seems like some are already freaking out over the shift north. How goes the new toy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 too soon to know: this is still Young Frankenstorm Cue Gene Wilder..."what knockers!!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 seems like some are already freaking out over the shift north. I think he's trying reverse psychology on himself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 WSW for high elevations of West Virginia URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 349 PM EDT FRI OCT 26 2012 ...THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON... .THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE SANDY WILL LIKELY MOVE INTO NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA...TO INTERACT WITH A STALLING COLD FRONT...AND ITS ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. WVZ038-046-047-270400- /O.NEW.KRLX.WS.A.0004.121029T0600Z-121031T0000Z/ WEBSTER-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COWEN...MARLINTON...ELKINS 349 PM EDT FRI OCT 26 2012 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * LOCATIONS...POCAHONTAS...RANDOLPH...WEBSTER COUNTIES. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 10 INCHES. HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. * TIMING...FIRST SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON WILL START LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. * IMPACTS...THE HEAVY WET SNOW MAY BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS... CAUSING POWER OUTAGES OR FLUCTUATIONS. UNTREATED ROADS MAY BECOME VERY SLICK ACROSS THE HIGHER WINDWARD TERRAIN. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...FROM THE LOWER 30S UPPER VALLEYS...RANGING TO THE UPPER 20S HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 How goes the new toy? Haven't opened it yet. Gonna wait until the next CRAS run to unbox it. SNE hit and it gets shipped back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXW176 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Haven't opened it yet. Gonna wait until the next CRAS run to unbox it. SNE hit and it gets shipped back. It's CRASS you loser. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 they shut down bus and rail service at 11 am. the federal government had already announced on Wednesday that it would close on Thursday, and it was closed again on Friday. Metro service did resume, as best it could, on Friday. if the storm stays in its current track I would guess that Metro and the feds would be shut down on Monday and Tuesday. You may be right. I heard on WTOP that AA county is opening Annapolis HS as an emergency shelter beginning at 3PM on Sunday. Unless the forecast track changes drastically, it makes me wonder if they've already decided schools will be out Monday. By the way, apparently "Frankenstorm" is a meteorological term. The anchor on WTOP also said, and said it several times I should add, that "hurricane Sandy will turn into a 'Frankenstorm.'" I hate the media. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Haven't opened it yet. Gonna wait until the next CRAS run to unbox it. SNE hit and it gets shipped back. It's CRASS you loser. STFU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXW176 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 STFU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 There's conflicting interpretations of the model outputs between mets in here and, for example, the CWG posts. For example, Jason posts that the worst winds and rain would happen with the VA-Delmarva hit. Others in here have posted that the worst wind/rain combo would be a NJ hit. The write-up in the CWG post this afternoon about the "worst case scenario" for the DC area (away from the shoreline) actually isn't far from what we've experienced fairly recently-- just a rainier Isabel or a slightly windier Irene. Tropical storms in this area are generally not very exciting. If we didn't have third-world power infrastructure we'd barely even remember these things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 they shut down bus and rail service at 11 am. the federal government had already announced on Wednesday that it would close on Thursday, and it was closed again on Friday. Metro service did resume, as best it could, on Friday. if the storm stays in its current track I would guess that Metro and the feds would be shut down on Monday and Tuesday. I remember Isabel in 2003, and yes, the Metro shut down many stations (did they shut the entire system down?). I think some of the underground stations flooded out, too, didn't they? Also, at the time I was living in the Capitol Hill neighborhood and that's the only time the power ever went out where I was at. Probably due to some switch getting flooded, as of course there are no power lines in that area. You may be right. I heard on WTOP that AA county is opening Annapolis HS as an emergency shelter beginning at 3PM on Sunday. Unless the forecast track changes drastically, it makes me wonder if they've already decided schools will be out Monday. By the way, apparently "Frankenstorm" is a meteorological term. The anchor on WTOP also said, and said it several times I should add, that "hurricane Sandy will turn into a 'Frankenstorm.'" I hate the media. I think with curent indications, it's fairly likely schools will be closed Monday (and maybe Tuesday, Wednesday?). Fed. Gov't closure is certainly a possibility, especially if the Metro, MARC, VRE, etc. are having problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 26, 2012 Author Share Posted October 26, 2012 It's CRASS you loser. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Monday night in the zones looks lovely... rain, heavy at times, breezy and temps around 40... nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I smell a big letdown coming. Do you just say the unpopular opinion or extreme opinion attention for opinion all the time or is this a new hobby? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Expect Amwx to crash again. NAM goes up into SNE more for the 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Do you just say the unpopular opinion or extreme opinion attention for opinion all the time or is this a new hobby? Someone appears to be overreacting again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Someone appears to be overreacting again! I think your the guy that just said you smelled a let down while almost every storm solution modeled would be significant for us. That might be considered an 'over-reaction' from a north trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Do you just say the unpopular opinion or extreme opinion attention for opinion all the time or is this a new hobby? you must be new here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 you must be new here I think I'm dyslexic. 'attention for' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I think your the guy that just said you smelled a let down while almost every storm solution modeled would be significant for us. That might be considered an 'over-reaction' from a north trend. It's ok, dude. We can handle a storm missing us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 It's ok, dude. We can handle a storm missing us It would be nice to not lose power for a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Monday night in the zones looks lovely... rain, heavy at times, breezy and temps around 40... nice Sounds like a good day to break in the fire place for the first time this season! Will probably be without power by then anyhow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I wouldn't be all that concerned if it was simply a cat 1 landfall. It clearly isn't that simple here. Downplaying is a bit shortsighted. Not saying this is Armageddon or anything crazy but all aspects need to be consideted Just look at sat/radar. A full conus latitude coldfront and strong jet is just to our west. Big honkin hp up in Canada. The gradient squeeze on the west side of the storm after landfall is intense. We've all experienced plenty of strong noreasters. N-NW winds down here after the storm cruises up to NE can easily gust to 40mph. 40 sounds cool against the house but it really doesn't do that much. However, we all know what even brief widespread 60mph gusts can do. I don't even want to know what long duration 60mph gusts can do but it's looking pretty likely that we are going to find out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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