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Sandy Obs and Banter thread - fall 2012


mappy

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I have to be honest about chasing...

The main reason I don't care about snow is that my suburban's 4wd computer is having some problems. Sometimes it won't lock the hubs and other times it won't unlock the hubs. The not unlocking part is a big problem so I'm kinda afraid to go into 4wd until it's fixed. If this wasn't the case then I have a feeling I would enjoy the brunt and pressure center's closest pass and the start driving to Garret. Vid cam running the whole time of course.

My feelings on chasing is: If it's not I'm my backyard, then I don't really care about it too much.

Might just be me though!

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I'm not really excited at all about this anymore. The lack of snow chances has really diminished any enthusiasm I had to begin with.

Having a big extratropical storm make landfall in the Delmarva is cool and all, but I'm not quite weather-geeky enough for it to make me tingly. Not that there's anything wrong with those that do get tingly, of course!

Dude, it's the end of October... We have all winter for snow

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Dude, it's the end of October... We have all winter for snow

Of course. But I got excited about this to start because of the chance for an anomalous snowfall in October on the back end of a transitioning tropical system. No that that scenario is out the window, we "only" have heavy rain and a lot of wind to look forward to. I'm not really down with that...not after losing power for nearly four days this summer, as well as having water damage in a bathroom and the family room and flooding in my basement last year from Lee.

I understand people are excited, and that's cool. I'll do my best to enjoy this as a fairly incredible weather event, and not to be a downer for the next few days!

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You are right. I'd just like to see something cool IMBY though. Perhaps a solitary roof shingle drifting through the air.

Yeah, i always thought that too, until the tornado ripped slate off my roof and rain poured in, or Irene peeled caps of my gable ends of my garage roof, ripped siding and facia off the house, then it wasn't cool anymore.

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Isabel was lame and I expected much better than what it brought.

I'm honestly not too emotionally invested in this storm or what I get IMBY........... while I hope the Euro is right, it will be a hell of a storm here no matter where it lands.

Certainly wasn't lame for me. It knocked a tree onto my raised deck. Didn't loose power though. So, I can see what you're saying in that regard. At least in the derecho, I lost power for 36 hours.

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I know a lot of us have a real fascination for rare severe weather phenomenon. I am just as intriqued with watching this unfold as any of you. Interest and fascination is what drives the majority to spend so much time on weather forums, blogs, etc., to share, learn and discuss the power of nature, as it were. I will not deny that my eyes want to see this potential record-breaking monster hybrid storm evolve to see it as an object of study. Whether you are a weather hobbyist or a professional atmospheric scientist, such a rare event has to get the adrenaline pumping. However, I can be no clearer when I say that I want no part of this storm and I hope the last 4 operational runs of the ECMWF are no where near close to being correct on intensity and track.

Let's say the ECMWF's persistance is a real precursor to what actually unfolds next week. A sub-945 baroclinic bomb makes landfall over the Delmarva, pushes into northern Virginia and crawls to the northwest. Coastlines from the Chesapeake up through New Jersey will have devestating storm surge and many population centers along the megalopolis are going to have dangerous winds for 48-72 hours straight. Non-stop, pounding, battering, nerve-wrecking, relentless high wind. Electrical infrastructure will be fubar. Millions of deciduous trees will succumb to the prolonged high winds combined with crazy precipitation totals. The central Appalachians will get record snow falls with abnormally strong N-NW flow that will result in insane snow drifts. Even low valleys from northeast TN, western N.C. up through W.Va. and western PA could be looking at a 1-2' of snow in places. Locales in the warm sector could see over 10 inches of rain with major flooding over a large region. All combined, the total economic impact of such a massive storm could surpass anything we have seen in the mid-Atlantic. Tens of billions of dollars in damages and folks without power for weeks. I hope this sounds more like hype and it just doesn't pan out. I don't think our nation is all that strong right now to easily absorb something of this scale. Perhaps I am just pessimistic, but I think this event is real bad timing with the current ecomomic and political environment. We will all take a huge hit. I'd rather this storm just not happen at all. But if indeed a real historic and epic event is about to unfold, no offense to my friends in the Northeast, but New England can have all it wants of this juggernaut. I hope the ECMWF is way off.

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