Ian Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Ah, I'll pass. Thanks Ian. yeah it's too late especially before the time change which makes it an hour less late. it comes out slow too so you would need to get to like 230 to get through the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Point and click for Frederick.... Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. Fog overnight. Low of 34F with a windchill as low as 21F. Windy. Winds from the WNW at 25 to 35 mph. Chance of snow 50% with accumulations up to 1 in. possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I'm totally sketched. I might need to take tomorrow off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 If this is just October, I might have grey hair by the time winter is over. Model flip-flopping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I'm totally sketched. I might need to take tomorrow off. If the EURO holds... I will be fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 If the EURO holds... I will be fine I am getting a bad feeling it will not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Ordered new subscription with Allison House with Level 3 data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Ordering the generator looks smart now after the 0z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Around 50/50 on going for snow vs. going for the landfall... both have their advantages and disadvantages. Considering footage may be better with the landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 26, 2012 Author Share Posted October 26, 2012 Ill probably get nothing accomplished at work today, except for an ill timed meeting at 2pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I was at Lowes yesterday as a new pallet of generators was put out. I left Lowes and the pallet was empty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScot Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Local NWS certainly not to blame for any panic NWS Forecast for: North Potomac MD Issued by: National Weather Service Baltimore, MD/Washington, D.C. Last Update: 4:32 am EDT Oct 26, 2012 Monday: Showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 49. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Monday Night: Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Tuesday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 46. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 30%.(emphasis mine) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Around 50/50 on going for snow vs. going for the landfall... both have their advantages and disadvantages. Considering footage may be better with the landfall. I hate to say this, but go for the landfall, especially if it's coming as a hurricane in the Delmarva peninsula. You may not see something like this for decades (at least in this region), wheras seeing feet of snow in Garrett county is commonplace........meh @ snow on leaved trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I don't think I've ever been this excited about a non-winter storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I hate to say this, but go for the landfall, especially if it's coming as a hurricane in the Delmarva peninsula. You may not see something like this for decades (at least in this region), wheras seeing feet of snow in Garrett county is commonplace........meh @ snow on leaved trees. Exactly. The thing is though, everyone's going to be covering the coast with virtually no one up in the mountains, so from a more documentary standpoint the snow footage might end up being more sell-able in the long run (considering I'm not really known in the media world and whatever landfall footage I get might be overlooked). I'm going to talk with Jason and other veteran chasers before making my decision. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Local NWS certainly not to blame for any panic Yah - not even a hazardous weather statement. Spot the LWX boundaries: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 26, 2012 Author Share Posted October 26, 2012 I can see you over reacting. Over analyzing is asking if the EURO has been too consistent. Ask me when I downplayed the significance of this event, cause I never have. Go back to SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I don't think I've ever been this excited about a non-winter storm. Yea, me too. I really don't care about the snow part of it either. Seeing the potential for a sub 960 to pass within 100 miles of my house is something I didn't think I would ever think could be a reality. I think 960 is somewhere in the hood of 28.30 on a baro. I know 950 is just about 28 even. I'm not sure what the pressure record is for my back yard but I would have to think sub 28.50 would probably be crowned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Yea, me too. I really don't care about the snow part of it either. Seeing the potential for a sub 960 to pass within 100 miles of my house is something I didn't think I would ever think could be a reality. I think 960 is somewhere in the hood of 28.30 on a baro. I know 950 is just about 28 even. I'm not sure what the pressure record is for my back yard but I would have to think sub 28.50 would probably be crowned. Same here, for a hurricane to make landfall at Delmarva is rare enough and I don't think it's happened in my short lifetime, for it to happen in late October with blocking, with such a strong extratropical low possibly passing right over my state is truly something else. However, if I could chase this then I'd be at Keyser's in a heartbeat, that's just who I am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 However, if I could chase this then I'd be at Keyser's in a heartbeat, that's just who I am I have to be honest about chasing... The main reason I don't care about snow is that my suburban's 4wd computer is having some problems. Sometimes it won't lock the hubs and other times it won't unlock the hubs. The not unlocking part is a big problem so I'm kinda afraid to go into 4wd until it's fixed. If this wasn't the case then I have a feeling I would enjoy the brunt and pressure center's closest pass and the start driving to Garret. Vid cam running the whole time of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iammrben Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 If anyone out there reads xkcd, today's strip about 2005's Epsilon and Zeta is an instant classic as far as I'm concerned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 If anyone out there reads xkcd, today's strip about 2005's Epsilon and Zeta is an instant classic as far as I'm concerned. The creator, Randall, loves his weather... he's made a blog post about the 2005 discos before. Nice to see it in comic form Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I don't think I've ever been this excited about a non-winter storm. I agree. Isabel was sort of a dud for me up in Frederick MD and I was in the Midwest during Irene. I still have a worried feeling in the pit of my stomach though. As much as I'd like to trust the Euro, the varying depictions of the models concern me. Don S has had a few great writeups about the monster of a block we are dealing with, which leads me to believe that the Euro solution is more likely, but what do I know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I think the only reason is that I'm skeptical of the euro is because it has been a total statue with sandy. Just steady as a rock. It can't be possible right? Nailing something so damn complicated at such a long lead? Part of me thinks it's only possible if the model itself is in control...muah ha haaa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I think the only reason is that I'm skeptical of the euro is because it has been a total statue with sandy. Just steady as a rock. It can't be possible right? Nailing something so damn complicated at such a long lead? Part of me thinks it's only possible if the model itself is in control...muah ha haaa Foreigners seem to control many things these days. The U.S. debt, soccer, small island nations. Why not the weather? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I agree. Isabel was sort of a dud for me up in Frederick MD and I was in the Midwest during Irene. I still have a worried feeling in the pit of my stomach though. As much as I'd like to trust the Euro, the varying depictions of the models concern me. Don S has had a few great writeups about the monster of a block we are dealing with, which leads me to believe that the Euro solution is more likely, but what do I know. Isabel was lame and I expected much better than what it brought. EDIT: was talking about my backyard and expectations only, I didn't mean to say it was lame as a whole. I'm honestly not too emotionally invested in this storm or what I get IMBY........... while I hope the Euro is right, it will be a hell of a storm here no matter where it lands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Isabel was lame and I expected much better than what it brought. I'm honestly not too emotionally invested in this storm or what I get IMBY........... while I hope the Euro is right, it will be a hell of a storm here no matter where it lands. You are right. I'd just like to see something cool IMBY though. Perhaps a solitary roof shingle drifting through the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Isabel was lame and I expected much better than what it brought. I'm honestly not too emotionally invested in this storm or what I get IMBY........... while I hope the Euro is right, it will be a hell of a storm here no matter where it lands. Depends on where you were at the time. I had Potomac flood waters and a debris field within 50 feet of my doorstep....one friend lost her house and a neighbor lost her new Porsche. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I'm not really excited at all about this anymore. The lack of snow chances has really diminished any enthusiasm I had to begin with. Having a big extratropical storm make landfall in the Delmarva is cool and all, but I'm not quite weather-geeky enough for it to make me tingly. Not that there's anything wrong with those that do get tingly, of course! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
THEREALTOR1 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Exactly. The thing is though, everyone's going to be covering the coast with virtually no one up in the mountains, so from a more documentary standpoint the snow footage might end up being more sell-able in the long run (considering I'm not really known in the media world and whatever landfall footage I get might be overlooked). I'm going to talk with Jason and other veteran chasers before making my decision. I'm sure the majority will be covering the storms from the larger beach area's (Rehoboth, OCMD, ect...), so they can have the plush accomodations while doing so, but if you really want to do a documentary (and pending the exact storm track), why not look at hitting the small DE Bay towns? Places like Bowers Beach (north), Little Creek, and Leipsic, in Central DE, are likely going to be destroyed if the Euro track holds true. These small towns of 500 people so along the Bay can flood out during a run of the mill astronomical high tide, I can't imagine what's going to happen to them. They managed to make it through Irene (as all of the flooding that occurred in central DE was caused due to ponds and lakes breaching their dams and washing down into the towns below them), but the storm surge coming up the DE Bay with a landfall near OC,MD is going to just be insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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