earthlight Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Looks fairly similar to 00z through 96 with less ridging to the north of the TC over the W Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Trough was better on the 00z. We'll see if it still phases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 It's definitely a tick east of 00z so far. But the energy over the OV is really on the move to try and capture it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 It's definitely a tick east of 00z so far. But the energy over the OV is really on the move to try and capture it. You are right about the western ridge, changes the trough orientation. But i think it still wants to phase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 At 120 it looks like it is trying to phase, might get pulled back to the coast. Depends if the energy can capture it before it is too late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 At 120 it looks like it is trying to phase, might get pulled back to the coast. Depends if the energy can capture it before it is too late. What's the SLP center? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Still a bit east at 126, partial phase. Will see if it is quick enough, or else it appears it might just barely slip OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Some phasing with the TC now east of Hatteras at 132. Big block is starting to form now over NF so it looks like we should see the storm forced underneath that again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 What's the SLP center? Hard to make out right now, possibly sub 970mb, quite a bit off the carolina coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SVT450R Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 At 138 phase seems likely, coming back west! Might be captured Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Still a bit east at 126, partial phase. Will see if it is quick enough, or else it appears it might just barely slip OTS. The block building into NF should prevent an OTS solution this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Big block showing up, so it 'should' get forced underneath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Hard to make out right now, possibly sub 970mb, quite a bit off the carolina coast. Thanks, just wanted see the location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SVT450R Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 576dm ridge over NF is a thing of beauty w/ big cyclone forming off the EC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Just a little west of GFS at 120. euro GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 At 150 appears to finally be making the move west, a bit later then last run. Lets see if it continues to tuck back into the coast. It is a monster though. The ridging over top is strong, which allows the capture. A bit slower this time around though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Just a little west of GFS at 120. euro GFS Big difference in amplitude of trof over Central US Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 That blocking signal just made this happen on the Euro. Is that what many of the GFS ensembles caught on to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Center looks to be directly over the 40/70 BM at 156...moving northwest. Very deep...hard to read but might be 940's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Just S of block island at 162. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Yep it is continuing west as a monster low. 150-162 we are getting hammered, at 162 low seems to be making landfall off eastern LI or somewhere near CT/RI boarder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Just saw 162. Wow, what a monster storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 At 168 continues west into NYC. MAJOR low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Upper 950's over NWS Upton's office at 168 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Sub 950mb sitting over NYC, unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SVT450R Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 12z Euro at 144hr and 168hrs: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 At 168 continues west into NYC. MAJOR low So a hurricane or hybrid with 940 pressure goes from block Island to NYC..wow..hard to imagine that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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