CooL Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 We got a major hurricane on our hands now. Incredible RI tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 NHC gave Sandy a 1% chance of reaching Category 3 status yesterday. She just pulled it off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Santiago de Cuba is in a very bad position right now. 114 mph wind gust in Santiago De Cuba. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 NHC gave Sandy a 1% chance of reaching Category 3 status yesterday. She just pulled it off. NHC sent out correction... 110mph at landfall... so it just missed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 NHC sent out correction... 110mph at landfall... so it just missed figures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 NHC gave Sandy a 1% chance of reaching Category 3 status yesterday. She just pulled it off. This is similar to what Charley did as it approached FL, I think it would have continued until the mid-morning tomorrow had it not gone ashore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Sandy is now a cat 3 with 115 mph winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Sandy is now a cat 3 with 115 mph winds. Cat 2 with 110 mph winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Cat 2 with 110 mph winds I came up with that awesome dramatic line about the 1% chance, too. What a bummer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Cat 2 with 110 mph winds NHC just corrected it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 I came up with that awesome dramatic line about the 1% chance, too. What a bummer. Unfortunately, he joined the 99% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 NHC just corrected it. 15 mins ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 In the winter, this would be Euro watching time, as the late night crew would be feverishly reporting the Euro output frame by frame - always great fun and plenty to learn from those threads. Is the timing different in the "summer?" Thought I would 've seen the Euro posts by now. TWC just did an awesome segment with Bryan Norcross essentially comparing this afternoon's GFS and Euro solutions, especially with regard to impact on the East Coast and then interviewing a couple of other hurricane experts (I think guys who work in the "back room" of TWC making the forecasts, but not sure - hadn't seen these guys before, but they were in the studio). Showed the differences in the influence of the eastern US trough on the track of Sandy and the resulting major differences in "landfall" (DelMarVa for Euro and eastern New England/Maine for GFS) locations for each, but also reminding folks that either solution would result in major impacts in the northeast US, especially with expanded windfields/rainshields as the transition to extratropical nature occurs near our latitude. Good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Post cyclone analysis might determine that Sandy was indeed a major at its Cuban landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 In the winter, this would be Euro watching time, as the late night crew would be feverishly reporting the Euro output frame by frame - always great fun and plenty to learn from those threads. Is the timing different in the "summer?" Thought I would 've seen the Euro posts by now. TWC just did an awesome segment with Bryan Norcross essentially comparing this afternoon's GFS and Euro solutions, especially with regard to impact on the East Coast and then interviewing a couple of other hurricane experts (I think guys who work in the "back room" of TWC making the forecasts, but not sure - hadn't seen these guys before, but they were in the studio). Showed the differences in the influence of the eastern US trough on the track of Sandy and the resulting major differences in "landfall" (DelMarVa for Euro and eastern New England/Maine for GFS) locations for each, but also reminding folks that either solution would result in major impacts in the northeast US, especially with expanded windfields/rainshields as the transition to extratropical nature occurs near our latitude. Good stuff. Yeah, 1 hour later during daylight savings time, I'm guessing the Euro is already starting to run though for about 20-25 minutes or so, it maybe in through 24-48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Euro is out to 48 and i don't see any changes worth noting yet.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Snow 88 is Wright Sandy reached cat3 status 15 min after laand fall!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Euro is a lot farther south and east with Sandy through 54 hours -- but the 12z run was an outlier in that it drove it very far north and west after exiting the Carribean. It might also simply be a bit slower. In other news the ridge in the Atlantic still seems good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Snow 88 is Wright Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Snow 88 is Wright Sandy reached cat3 status 15 min after laand fall!!!! As I (and others) have been informed, the NHC corrected it back down to 110 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Still has a stronger ridge to the east of Sandy that the GFS does not. Through 72 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Euro is a lot farther south and east with Sandy through 54 hours -- but the 12z run was an outlier in that it drove it very far north and west after exiting the Carribean. It might also simply be a bit slower. In other news the ridge in the Atlantic still seems good. Ridge in the Atlantic looks more amplified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Through 84 hours, looks like another phase on the way. Center is nearly identical to the 12z position. Energetic Central US trough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 All systems go. Euro is locked into this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 I tell you for the northeastern Bahamas, there could be a prolonged period of hurricane force winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 The system swings out east of where the Euro had it at 12z by 96 hours. But the storm has nowhere to go with the big Newfoundland block now built in to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Here comes the phase and north/northwest turn now at 102 hours. Storm is rapidly deepening...100 or more miles east of Hatteras. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Capture and the storm is headed northwest at 108 hours. Near Ocean City MD's latitude once again. Still out over the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 941.9 at 96 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 941.9 at 96 hrs. Strengthens rapidly thereafter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.