am19psu Posted October 29, 2012 Author Share Posted October 29, 2012 The LLC looks much more poorly defined on radar as well. I'd bet it's post-tropical at 5 or 8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
COBRIEN85 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 What happens after this thing makes landfall? Is it going to dissipate, or is it going to bomb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 per nhc the low pressure is down to 940 mb (not sure if it has been posted before since the thread subtitle hasn't been updated.) http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#SANDY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 The LLC looks much more poorly defined on radar as well. I'd bet it's post-tropical at 5 or 8. Indeed... pretty substancial structural change in just the last few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Hurricane Central @twc_hurricane Atlantic City pressure now 958.7 mb (28.31") breaking city's all-time record of 960.7 mb (28.37"). #Sandy #njwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billgwx Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 The exact circulation center might just miss New Jersey...would not be surprised to see an official first landfall in Delaware. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Any thought on when surge in NYC starts to come down. Surge at Battery currently 6.33'. That number at high tide would result in 11'+ storm tide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC) Transmitted: 29th day of the month at 19:46Z Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 308) Storm Number & Year: 18L in 2012 Storm Name: Sandy (flight in the North Atlantic basin) Mission Number: 24 Observation Number: 10 A. Time of Center Fix: 29th day of the month at 19:17:00Z B. Center Fix Coordinates: 38°29'N 73°45'W (38.4833N 73.75W) B. Center Fix Location: 71 miles (115 km) to the SSE (149°) from Atlantic City, NJ, USA. C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 870m (2,854ft) at 850mb D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 59kts (~ 67.9mph) E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 77 nautical miles (89 statute miles) to the NNW (348°) of center fix F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 59° at 101kts (From the ENE at ~ 116.2mph) G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 75 nautical miles (86 statute miles) to the NNW (348°) of center fix H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 941mb (27.79 inHg) I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 10°C (50°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,524m (5,000ft) J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 19°C (66°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,527m (5,010ft) K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 17°C (63°F) K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available L. Eye Character: Not Available M. Eye Shape: Not Available N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature N. Fix Level: 850mb O. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded... Maximum Flight Level Wind: 101kts (~ 116.2mph) in the north quadrant at 18:54:00Z Remarks Section - Additional Remarks... FIXED NEAR TIP OF CONVECTIVE FEATURE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Wow... still a nice 9 C temperature differential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 It's interesting on radar to see the classic tropical donut just open up into what looks like a backward-moving front. You can see how fast the structural changes are happening now that this thing is off the Gulf Stream. Poof! It happens fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 What have been the winds at official reporting stations? Any noteworthy reports? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 What have been the winds at official reporting stations? Any noteworthy reports? Been 70-81 mph on LI so far. Widespread 70mph over NY/NJ/MA/CT/RI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted October 29, 2012 Author Share Posted October 29, 2012 What have been the winds at official reporting stations? Any noteworthy reports? http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0&highlight=off&issuedby=BOX&product=PNS http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=PHI&product=PNS&format=CI&version=3&glossary=0 Couple above hurricane force. NYC/LI has seen worst so far. NJ will pick up in the next 2 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted October 29, 2012 Author Share Posted October 29, 2012 Good site to keep abreast of asos sites http://coolwx.com/extreme/city.wind.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Been 70-81 mph on LI so far. Widespread 70mph over NY/NJ/MA/CT/RI http://forecast.weat...BOX&product=PNS http://forecast.weat...OKX&product=PNS http://forecast.weat...on=3&glossary=0 Couple above hurricane force. NYC/LI has seen worst so far. NJ will pick up in the next 2 hours Thanks, guys. Curious to see where the highest winds end up occurring in relation to the center's track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 What have been the winds at official reporting stations? Any noteworthy reports? All official stations are between 55-60mph gusts right now. Harvey Cedars mesonet station hit 75mph a little over an hour ago and Seaside Heights hit 71mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 "Eyewall" (for lack of a better term) appears to be becoming better defined per Dover radar, right offshore Cape May. Looks like there might be some kind of misovorticies trying to develop in there. Hopefully they fall apart before moving inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 "Eyewall" (for lack of a better term) appears to be becoming better defined per Dover radar, right offshore Cape May. Looks like there might be some kind of misovorticies trying to develop in there. Hopefully they fall apart before moving inland. 458 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...OCCASIONAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 70-90 MPH EXPECTED ACROSS THE NEW YORK CITY METROPOLITAN AREA...LONG ISLAND...AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...THROUGH 8 PM... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED WINDS UP TO 110 MPH BETWEEN 1500 AND 3000 FEET. SOME OF THESE VERY STRONG...DAMAGING WINDS WILL OCCASIONALLY REACH THE SURFACE...PRODUCING GUSTS OF 70-90 MPH ACROSS THE NEW YORK CITY METROPOLITAN AREA...LONG ISLAND...AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT THROUGH 8 PM. THE GUSTS TO THESE LEVELS WILL BE MORE FREQUENT OVER SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT AND LONG ISLAND THAN OVER THE NEW YORK CITY METRO AREA. GUSTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL DOWN NUMEROUS TREES...INCLUDING LARGE ONES. HIGH RISE BUILDINGS ARE ALSO SUSCEPTIBLE TO DAMAGE WITH THESE GUSTS. PERSONS ARE URGED TO REMAIN SHELTERED IN A STURDY BUILDING DUE TO THE THREAT OF FALLING TREES...LARGE LIMBS AND FLYING DEBRIS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 000 URNT12 KNHC 292106 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL182012 A. 29/20:51:00Z B. 38 deg 41 min N 073 deg 57 min W C. 850 mb 903 m D. 69 kt E. 197 deg 69 nm F. 272 deg 88 kt G. 201 deg 55 nm H. 944 mb I. 2 C / 1525 m J. 19 C / 1838 m K. 12 C / NA L. NA M. NA N. 12345 / 8 O. 0.02 / 2.5 nm P. AF308 2418A SANDY OB 17 MAX FL WIND 101 KT N QUAD 18:54:00Z CLIMBED 1000 FT JUST PRIOR TO CTR FIX VIGOROUS STRONG BAND OF CONVECTION VERY NEAR CTR COLD TEMPS SOUTH OF STORM WARMED BEGINNING 30 NM SOUTH OF CTR ; Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 I. 2 C / 1525 m J. 19 C / 1838 m 2 C. Wow. This is certainly not something you are going to see very often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 531 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0500 PM NON-TSTM WND GST EATONS NECK 40.95N 73.39W 10/29/2012 M82 MPH SUFFOLK NY MESONET MESONET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Sandy's still a hurricane as of 5 PM while it's 30 miles ESE of Cape May - as long as it doesn't miss NJ to the south perhaps it might just make landfall officially as a hurricane or right as it becomes post-tropical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 When is high tide? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 When is high tide? 8:30 PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 When is high tide? 830ish in NYC and south shore of LI and closer to midnight (10-12) over LI sound Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 From Mount Holly: SANDY IS SUCH AN ANOMALOUS SYSTEM THAT THE 12Z MODEL SUITE COMES NO WHERE CLOSE TO RESOLVING THE TRUE INTENSITY OF THE MINIMUM CENTRAL LOW PRESSURE. GRANTED THE MODELS, OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS, HAVE HARD A TIME WITH THE DEEPENING OF THE MASS FIELDS, BUT GIVEN THE RECENT SAMPLING OF THE SYSTEM THROUGH RECON FLIGHTS AND NUMEROUS EAST COAST SOUNDINGS, THEY STILL FALL NEARLY 10MB TOO HIGH. To the Mets on here, is the anomaly OF Sandy so extreme (-9SD from normal for MSLP for example) that the model parameters were never intended to go to those extremes?? In other words, does Sandy fall outside the yardsticks when building a model, or should every possible outcome be modeled?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 0551 PM NON-TSTM WND GST EATONS NECK 40.95N 73.39W 10/29/2012 M86 MPH SUFFOLK NY MESONET MESONET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 A friend of mine-- who I chased Irene with-- is out and about in W Suffolk County (on Long Island), and he's just not impressed with the winds-- says they really haven't been too strong. So the Eaton's Neck gusts are really surprising! P.S. He has seen some downed trees and a snapped power pole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 A friend of mine-- who I chased Irene with-- is out and about in W Suffolk County (on Long Island), and he's just not impressed with the winds-- says they really haven't been too strong. So the Eaton's Neck gusts are really surprising! P.S. He has seen some downed trees and a snapped power pole. This storm is weird. Watching both the Philly and NYC ABC stations, there are places where it is much, much, much worse than Irene. There are also places where it isn't as bad. Different storms, different attitudes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ict1523 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 A friend of mine-- who I chased Irene with-- is out and about in W Suffolk County (on Long Island), and he's just not impressed with the winds-- says they really haven't been too strong. So the Eaton's Neck gusts are really surprising! P.S. He has seen some downed trees and a snapped power pole. The winds, at least in NYC, are a lot more impressive now than with Irene. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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