tmagan Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 12Z Observations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Sandy is really good looking. Not what I was expecting to see coming right for me this morning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 945 in eye with 19kts...likely closer to 943 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 URNT12 KNHC 291328 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL182012 A. 29/13:04:00Z B. 37 deg 06 min N 071 deg 08 min W C. 700 mb 2602 m D. 58 kt E. 131 deg 78 nm F. 222 deg 55 kt G. 126 deg 38 nm H. 945 mb I. 15 C / 3049 m J. 16 C / 3045 m K. 11 C / NA L. NA M. NA N. 1345 / 7 O. 0.02 / 1 nm P. AF302 2318A SANDY OB 24 MAX FL WIND 94 KT SE QUAD 10:14:00Z MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 71 KT NE QUAD 13:15:30Z MAX FL TEMP 18 C 113 / 17 NM FROM FL CNTR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 URNT12 KNHC 291328 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL182012 A. 29/13:04:00Z B. 37 deg 06 min N 071 deg 08 min W C. 700 mb 2602 m D. 58 kt E. 131 deg 78 nm F. 222 deg 55 kt G. 126 deg 38 nm H. 945 mb I. 15 C / 3049 m J. 16 C / 3045 m K. 11 C / NA L. NA M. NA N. 1345 / 7 O. 0.02 / 1 nm P. AF302 2318A SANDY OB 24 MAX FL WIND 94 KT SE QUAD 10:14:00Z MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 71 KT NE QUAD 13:15:30Z MAX FL TEMP 18 C 113 / 17 NM FROM FL CNTR Landfall might be sub 940, wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 A lot of dry air around Sandy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 A lot of dry air around Sandy since Sandy is transitioning away from a purely tropical system, dry air surrounding her will not weaken her as one might expect in a normal situation. Her pressure until landfall wil be maintained by baroclinic processes, and that may actually induce a slight further strengthing over the next 12 hours until landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Landfall might be sub 940, wow. Some warm water still to work with. http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/storm.php?&basin=atlantic&sname=18L&invest=NO&zoom=4&img=1&vars=11111000000000000000000&loop=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billgwx Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Crossing the Gulf Stream right now. Let's see what happens once it finally moves out over the much cooler waters to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan88 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 AL, 18, 2012102912, , BEST, 0, 367N, 709W, 80, 946, HU, 34, NEQ, 420, 330, 400, 270, 1004, 500, 110, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, SANDY, D, AL, 18, 2012102912, , BEST, 0, 367N, 709W, 80, 946, HU, 50, NEQ, 150, 150, 200, 150, 1004, 500, 110, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, SANDY, D, AL, 18, 2012102912, , BEST, 0, 367N, 709W, 80, 946, HU, 64, NEQ, 0, 0, 150, 0, 1004, 500, 110, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, SANDY, D, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 The interesting thing is it seems the strongest winds are in the SW quad yet most models seem to show winds not being that strong SW of the center over DE or NJ when it comes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billgwx Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 The interesting thing is it seems the strongest winds are in the SW quad yet most models seem to show winds not being that strong SW of the center over DE or NJ when it comes in. They should rotate around the center and slam southern CT, Long Island, NYC around and shortly after landfall of the center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Holy crap 940mb pressure reading with 50 knot surface winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 940.4mb unflagged ob on inbound pass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Almost down to the 930s? Wow, it appears the models were not so crazy after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 The gulf stream is working its magic this morning. I'm still expecting Sandy to peak in the next 2-5 hours and start to slowly fill before landfall, as the shelf waters near the shoreline rapidly drop off in SST. This is what the National Hurricane is banking on to cause the storm to become extratropical. However, as the storm accelerates, I'm not sure if there is enough time given the current impressive warm core still persistant over the center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 What's even more unbelievable is if it even gets to 100MPH sustained....we still don't get hurricane warnings... somebody needs to wake them up here.. This has been discussed to death here and they've been very clear about their reasoning. You might disagree that it is the best thing to do but they are most certainly not in need of being "woken up".... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 940.4mb unflagged ob on inbound pass 939.1 mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 943 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 The woman on CNN just claimed it was snowing in DC. There aren't enough facepalms... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike2010 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 The woman on CNN just claimed it was snowing in DC. There aren't enough facepalms... By this time tomorrow, it could be. (NAM) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ApacheTrout Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 This has been discussed to death here and they've been very clear about their reasoning. You might disagree that it is the best thing to do but they are most certainly not in need of being "woken up".... Thank you, thank you, thank you. The # of Joe Q. Public posters criticizing the NHC and the forecast track is truly remarkable. It's as if having posted 5,000 times about weather in their backyard has given them more credentials than 4 to 8 years of schooling and 10,000 hours of desk-duty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Surge around 5 feet in New York City at the Battery and King's Point. Winds gusting from 40-60 mph across the coastline from NYC to Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 145800 3738N 07133W 6966 02612 9386 +160 +104 184046 051 033 002 00 145830 3738N 07135W 6966 02607 9382 +156 +119 189036 043 027 002 03 145900 3738N 07137W 6973 02595 9375 +161 +114 191032 035 019 004 00 145930 3738N 07139W 6967 02599 9381 +150 +116 200025 029 020 003 00 150000 3739N 07142W 6970 02595 9377 +153 +113 194018 023 014 003 00 150030 3739N 07144W 6966 02597 9385 +142 +114 177013 015 013 002 03 150100 3739N 07146W 6970 02593 9392 +136 +115 169011 012 016 004 00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 This loop is incredible: http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~rabin/goes14/loop_srso.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 937.5 mb extrapolated... umm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Pressure is dropping extremely fast, this may make a run at <935mb. Absolutely incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 This is a great site for listening to live police, fire, and rescue feeds. The alert page is really helpful. http://www.broadcastify.com/listen/alert Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Pressure is dropping extremely fast, this may make a run at <935mb. Absolutely incredible. The westward turn is probably giving Sandy the chance to intensify since that lowers the shear over the core. Sandy is also passing over the Gulf Stream right now, already on the colder side in fact. We'll see how it responds as it moves into colder waters. Extrap pressures appear to be running at least 5 mb too low based on the past fixes, so this probably isn't in the 930s yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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