PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Are they smoking? The only thing that shift east was the GFS. lol They literally explained this right after the section that is bolded. Keep reading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 951.6mb extrap and 117kt FL winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 117 KT FL/91 KT SFMR.... solid cat 2 based on these readings. Not surprised it took a moment for the winds to respond to the large pressure drop. In addition, 951.6 MB on this extrapolated pressure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Absolutely amazing satellite loop right now. Another one of those times where if only it had a few more hours before landfall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derecho! Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Santiago de Cuba with a half-million people looks like it will get the right eyewall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Santiago de Cuba is about to get raked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 SFMR is also hitting 90kt W of the eye. Given that the strongest winds have been in the SE quad, I bet it's 95-100kt right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Stewart pulls the Cat. 2 trigger. NHC update out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan88 Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 000 WTNT63 KNHC 250442 TCUAT3 HURRICANE SANDY TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012 1230 AM EDT THU OCT 25 2012 ...SANDY RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS SOUTHWEST OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA... SUMMARY OF 1230 AM EDT...0430 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.6N 76.1W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SW OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 015 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB...28.26 INCHES RECENT REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE HURRICANE SANDY HAS RAPIDLY STRENGTHENED...AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW ESTIMATED TO BE 110 MPH...175 KM/H. THIS MAKE SANDY A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE... AND SANDY COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF CUBA LATER THIS MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Can somebody update the subtitles of this thread, please? No longer 75 kts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Looks like the eyewall is making landfall as we speak at S. D. C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 METAR MUCU (Santiago, Cuba) 250450Z 12064(74mph)G89KT(102mph) 0100 +SHRA SCT020 OVC060 24/23 Q0974 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 A thing of beauty! =0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 There goes the eastward Jog. not, going around the Island though. It will probably just find a local min to cross. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 99 kt gust reported at the seaside airport in Santiago, Cuba. Pressure falling 4mb in 6 minutes from 0511z to 0517z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 99 kt gust reported at the seaside airport in Santiago, Cuba. Pressure falling 4mb in 6 minutes from 0511z to 0517z Gotta wonder how much more punishment that anemometer can take. Crossing my fingers that it stays up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Sandy means business. Pressure in Santiago fell to 960 mb - a drop 14 mb in 27 minutes - and winds increased: SPECI MUCU 250517Z 13068G99KT 0100 +SHRA OVC060 25/24 Q0960 Sustained winds 78 mph, gusts to 114! METAR MUCU (Santiago, Cuba) 250450Z 12064(74mph)G89KT(102mph) 0100 +SHRA SCT020 OVC060 24/23 Q0974 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Basically a direct hit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Great presentation on IR... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Wow-- nice surface obs from Santiago! The pressure fall is as fast as what I saw on the Yucatan as microcane Ernie's tiny core approached me: 1 mb every 2 mins. This is definitely the landfall of the season-- Cat 2 or 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikolai Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 It should be over land for 3-4 hours, I'd guess it emerges as a 75-80 MPH cane. Hopefully it can regain strength over the Bahamas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 You know something's up when... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Should've gone, this would be a pretty red meat landfall. Umm, he couldn't go to Cuba even if he wanted to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Noice. Looks awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 upped to 115mph by NHC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thegreatdr Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 It appears NHC is equally confused...110 or 115 mph, though it implies 110 is what they meant. Wow-- nice surface obs from Santiago! The pressure fall is as fast as what I saw on the Yucatan as microcane Ernie's tiny core approached me: 1 mb every 2 mins. This is definitely the landfall of the season-- Cat 2 or 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 upped to 115mph by NHC Yup, cat 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 Cat 2 110 mph landfall it is HURRICANE SANDY TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012...CORRECTED 130 AM EDT THU OCT 25 2012 CORRECTED WIND SPEED IN SUMAMRY ...SANDY MAKES LANDFALL JUST WEST OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA... SUMMARY OF 125 AM EDT...0525 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.0N 75.9W ABOUT 5 MI...8 KM W OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 020 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB...28.26 INCHES REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...ALONG WITH DATA FROM THE PILON CUBA WEATHER RADAR AND NOAA SATELLITES... INDICATE HURRICANE SANDY MADE LANDFALL ON THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF CUBA JUST WEST OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AT APPROXIMATELY 125 AM EDT... 0525 UTC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AT LANDFALL WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 110 MPH... 175 KM/H. THIS MAKES SANDY A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. REPORTS FROM SANTIAGO DE CUBA INDICATE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 78 MPH...126 KM/H...AND A GUST TO 114 MPH...183 KM/H...HAVE OCCURRED DURING THE PAST HOUR. $$ FORECASTER STEWART/ROBERTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thegreatdr Posted October 25, 2012 Share Posted October 25, 2012 The correction has been made. 110 it is. Category two. It appears NHC is equally confused...110 or 115 mph, though it implies 110 is what they meant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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