COBRIEN85 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I would like to see an eye wall again on her, but doubt that will happen. How much do winds decrease between 850 MB and surface? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 On 10/28/2012 at 12:07 AM, COBRIEN85 said: I would like to see an eye wall again on her, but doubt that will happen. How much do winds decrease between 850 MB and surface? 75% I believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 On 10/28/2012 at 12:14 AM, yoda said: 75% I believe The National Hurricane Center mentioned in a discussion yesterday that the wind ratio was unusual with surface winds actually higher than FL winds. Is that number you presented the average ratio for tropical systems or the specific number for this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan88 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 NOAA recon dropsonde at 8:10 had 60kt surface winds at 33.0N 76.6W, roughly 190nm away from the 8pm center location Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 On 10/28/2012 at 12:24 AM, David Reimer said: The National Hurricane Center mentioned in a discussion yesterday that the wind ratio was unusual with surface winds actually higher than FL winds. Is that number you presented the average ratio for tropical systems or the specific number for this storm? No... I had read around the forums that 70% to 80% was a good reduction from 850mb winds from the pro mets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan88 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 959mb with 15kt surface winds on center dropsonde. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nicesinging1 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 A Dr ryan maue is saying sandy could have 100-120 knot winds on its south and southwest side tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 On 10/28/2012 at 1:08 AM, nicesinging1 said: A Dr ryan maue is saying sandy could have 100-120 knot winds on its south and southwest side tomorrow. Where did he say that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nicesinging1 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 On 10/28/2012 at 1:17 AM, yoda said: Where did he say that? Ryan Maue @RyanMaue Hopefully NOAA/NHC has scheduled recon tomorrow between 18z-23z to sample the SW & S side of #Sandy, could find 100-120 knot winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derecho! Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 On 10/28/2012 at 1:17 AM, yoda said: Where did he say that? Twitter. https://twitter.com/RyanMaue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 On 10/28/2012 at 1:17 AM, yoda said: Where did he say that? I could not find it, but his analysis of the models are pretty good. here is his twitter https://twitter.com/RyanMaue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Both planes are in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 He is one of the Weatherbell guys with Joe Bastardi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Did anyone else see Mayor Bloomberg basically downplay the storm? http://tinyurl.com/8tyl9nz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Interesting that convection is firing over the center and it's kind of looking more tropical again. This is the best and most-tropical it's looked in a while: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Casualbrain Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Real time tidal information from usgs http://www.usgs.gov/newsroom/article.asp?ID=3440&from=rss_home#.UIyUluB5mK0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I hope the mayor will announce evacuations tomorrow morning to begin tomorrow afternoon. It will be cutting things close and hopefully things go smoothly. Some residents will be smart to evacuate asap regardless of if there is an official evacuation order. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 On 10/28/2012 at 2:17 AM, HurricaneJosh said: Interesting that convection is firing over the center and it's kind of looking more tropical again. This is the best and most-tropical it's looked in a while: Yeah, earlier today it was looking more like a classic noreaster in some of the imagery I had looked at... Interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 On 10/28/2012 at 2:24 AM, WeatherFox said: I hope the mayor will announce evacuations tomorrow morning to begin tomorrow afternoon. It will be cutting things close and hopefully things go smoothly. Some residents will be smart to evacuate asap regardless of if there is an official evacuation order. On 10/28/2012 at 2:09 AM, Nic said: Did anyone else see Mayor Bloomberg basically downplay the storm? http://tinyurl.com/8tyl9nz Personally, I found some similarities to Mayor Ray Nagin before Hurricane Katrina in 2005. He downplayed the event until it got so close that it was obvious that it poses a significant/catastrophic risk. Disclaimer: The two similarities end there. I don't expect a repeat of Katrina, nor am I advertising that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 On 10/28/2012 at 2:40 AM, David Reimer said: Personally, I found some similarities to Mayor Ray Nagin before Hurricane Katrina in 2005. He downplayed the event until it got so close that it was obvious that it poses a significant/catastrophic risk. Disclaimer: The two similarities end there. I don't expect a repeat of Katrina, nor am I advertising that. That's a pretty weak parallel. C'mon. The previous situation was a Cat-5 hurricane approaching a city below sea level. The current situation is a nor'easter impacting I95 cities. I feel like there's a lot of crying wolf about this system. I'm not suggesting it won't have impact or be destructive, but people are just going really over-the-top about this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Sandy about to undergo anther tansition the cloud pattern to the west is showing some sort of a wind shift ine propogating SE while it erodes from the SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 this seems to be a favorable area for regeneration of TCs with ne motion, overall, so let's see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I hope when the shear lessons we will be able to see the center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 On 10/28/2012 at 2:44 AM, HurricaneJosh said: That's a pretty weak parallel. C'mon. The previous situation was a Cat-5 hurricane approaching a city below sea level. The current situation is a nor'easter impacting I95 cities. I feel like there's a lot of crying wolf about this system. I'm not suggesting it won't have impact or be destructive, but people are just going really over-the-top about this. Impact-wise, you may or may not be right. But I have a tough time downplaying this, since, just from a meteorological perspective, I don't think we've ever seen anything like this in modern times. It's certainly not "just a nor'easter", which would imply it's a common event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 On 10/28/2012 at 3:16 AM, Mallow said: Impact-wise, you may or may not be right. But I have a tough time downplaying this, since, just from a meteorological perspective, I don't think we've ever seen anything like this in modern times. It's certainly not "just a nor'easter", which would imply it's a common event. +1. Was too much to write from mobile but you said it for me. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 On 10/28/2012 at 3:16 AM, Mallow said: Impact-wise, you may or may not be right. But I have a tough time downplaying this, since, just from a meteorological perspective, I don't think we've ever seen anything like this in modern times. It's certainly not "just a nor'easter", which would imply it's a common event. I agree. and like i dont want to alarm anyone but, this cyclone was not even apos to deepen up till not according to models. if it's 960mb now, one can imagine the models being conservative when they post 952mb landfalls. i think this system will surprise many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxnut Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Looks like Sandy is trying to redevelop an eye on latest IR loop.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 On 10/28/2012 at 4:10 AM, wxnut said: Looks like Sandy is trying to redevelop an eye on latest IR loop.. Definitely not, convection is too shallow and intermittent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 On 10/28/2012 at 4:10 AM, wxnut said: Looks like Sandy is trying to redevelop an eye on latest IR loop.. could deff be some organization taking place. Shear is decreasing and divergence is FINALLY growing above the eye. And i noticed a eye on sandy on the visible right before sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Reemerging eye? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.