KAOS Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Well for those in the MA, the southern flank of this storm will have quite the deformation zone. 85kt LLJ despite some inversion means watch out imo.That rain may be enough to bring down very strong gusts. Thank for occasionally posting in our forum! Great to have your opinion and analysis! Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Just as a fwiw, Beaufort and Outer Banks getting 45mph gusts with storm 320 miles away. DC is only 170 miles away from a N NJ landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 Just as a fwiw, Beaufort and Outer Banks getting 45mph gusts with storm 320 miles away. DC is only 170 miles away from a N NJ landfall. Large (hotlinked) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 27, 2012 Share Posted October 27, 2012 I for one do not believe conditions will be all that bad in the lower Susquehanna valley, especially with a nnj landfall. Less wind and have recieved 5 inches of rain during a training thunderstorm Totally different situation. A slow moving thunderstorms that last 2 hours versus a 12-24 hours duration with steady winds and heavy rainfall and plus you have all the water in Northern PA that will have to go down the susuquehanna river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 "Hurricane Sandy is now the 2nd largest tropical cyclone in the Atlantic since 1988, tied with Hurricane Lili of 1996. Sandy's tropical storm-force winds now extend 450 nautical miles from the center on the northeast side of the hurricane." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Snyone up for a chace Wisp Ski Resort is like $89 a night? I'm thinking either there or Cannon valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Winds sustained at 37mph gusting to 42 at Chesapeake Bay South Tunnel down by Norfolk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Winds sustained at 37mph gusting to 42 at Chesapeake Bay South Tunnel down by Norfolk. Already? Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Still basically DE to central NJ. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/atcf/00zatcfearlyinvest1best.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Guess LWX has decided to ramp it up? URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 939 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012 ...THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECASTS HURRICANE SANDY TO TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST TO A POSITION WELL OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST SUNDAY NIGHT...BEFORE SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AND MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. THE TRACK OF SANDY WILL LIKELY BRING HIGH WINDS TO THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... VAZ025>027-029-030-036>040-050-051-056-503-504-WVZ055-501-502-505- 506-280945- /O.EXA.KLWX.HW.A.0002.121029T0600Z-121031T0000Z/ AUGUSTA-ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-PAGE-WARREN-NELSON-ALBEMARLE-GREENE- MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-ORANGE-CULPEPER-SPOTSYLVANIA- WESTERN HIGHLAND-EASTERN HIGHLAND-HARDY-WESTERN GRANT- EASTERN GRANT-WESTERN PENDLETON-EASTERN PENDLETON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STAUNTON...WAYNESBORO...HARRISONBURG... FRONT ROYAL...CHARLOTTESVILLE...WASHINGTON...CULPEPER... FREDERICKSBURG...HIGHTOWN...MONTEREY...MOOREFIELD...BAYARD... MOUNT STORM...PETERSBURG...CIRCLEVILLE...FRANKLIN 939 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012 ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Guess LWX has decided to ramp it up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ink to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Frying pan shoals sustained 49 gust to 62 mph 993Mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 NAM says north central NJ gets the landfall but boy do we get all of the rain. 5 inches and still pouring at 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 NAM says get ya boats out... 4 to 5 inches by 48 and still lots of rain to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Through 54 NAM backs the low right over my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 NAM has a VERY wet sw quadrant. Cold, too. Rain with probably temps high 30's-low 40's. Ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Too bad for Ji as the 0c 850 line clears him at 57... mid 960s LP in SC PA... more heavy rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 At 57, the 0c line goes from about the M/D line, south to NC, then up the coast, eventually hugging the DE coast. Just for fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 5 to 10 inches of rain for DC/ N VA/ much of MD though 60 and still raining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 things get real interesting at 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Quite a down slope job on the NAM. Down sloping and heavy rain and CAA at the same time. I wonder if we can rival SNE with winds out of the NW? Probably not the immediate SNE coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 haha was watching the "rainfall" add up on the 0z NAM and realizing it wasn't going up in NoVA from 63 to 72...switch over to snow...haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 haha was watching the "rainfall" add up on the 0z NAM and realizing it wasn't going up in NoVA from 63 to 72...switch over to snow...haha Saw that too... I highly doubt that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Saw that too... I highly doubt that yeah me too...i thought i was going crazy comparing the 3-hr QPF along side the accumulated during those periods... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Let's just be blunt. We're not making it out of this alive. screw wind...i'd prefer epic rain with power Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 screw wind...i'd prefer epic rain with power Trouble is with this storm epic rain we'll lose us power, at least in mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Saw that too... I highly doubt that I think some spots east of the mtns may switch at the end. I mentioned it in the forecast today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 NAM refuses to give up the snow idea i see haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Pass the blunt... Banter thread.. I know you didn't start it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 With 8" of rain it won't be hard to uproot those trees. If we get snow LMAO. Surface is probably too warm, but not in garret county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.