Scuddz Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 Has a tropical system ever evolved into a pseudo nor'easter and provided snow before? yes I dont know why, but this made me lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 Gas up the bus Just tell me when its time to stock up on necessities, you know, beer, middlesworth bbq chips and sharp cheese..... Thanks in advance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 Just tell me when its time to stock up on necessities, you know, beer, middlesworth bbq chips and sharp cheese..... Thanks in advance If you listen to CT Blizz, if you haven't yet then you are behind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 If you listen to CT Blizz, if you haven't yet then you are behind i guess i'd better take off work the rest of the week to prepare...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 I dont know why, but this made me lol haha examples? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 It's the Mayan 2012 storm of all storms. We're all gonna die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 this thread reminds me why winter sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 haha examples? .....Hazel? Mentioned plenty of times with regards to this storm. Make sure you read up before you ask! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 Has a tropical system ever evolved into a pseudo nor'easter and provided snow before? yes! The one I remember was November of either 79 or 80. It gave the Pittsburgh area a surprise afternoon snow storm. It was during finals week at PSU for the Fall semester. I was caught in the stalled traffic trying to commute to the New Ken campus for an exam. Forecast was for rain, but it was all snow. PennDOT was not ready to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 this thread reminds me why winter sucks euro says you get 24" from dc back to elkins up into northen pa. snow maps are insane considering it's Oct enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 euro says you get 24" from dc back to elkins up into northen pa. snow maps are insane considering it's Oct enjoy Lock it up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 Ellinwood just went all in. He just texted me and is in for 90mph gusts with heavy snow with periods of sleet mixed it. Total accums of 8 to 12". I'm pumped. Great. We get a foot of snow and it blows out into the Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCS Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 The Perfect Storm is on Sundance tonight if you want a primer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 One of my co-workers is dubbing it Hallowizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 euro says you get 24" from dc back to elkins up into northen pa. snow maps are insane considering it's Oct enjoy From the C.Pa. thread: Anyone thinking this may be overdone ? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpasi Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 Great. We get a foot of snow and it blows out into the Atlantic. according to DT it can't go out to sea, it defies physics.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 From the C.Pa. thread: Anyone thinking this may be overdone ? lol It doesn't snow in RIC, sorry DGEX redux I guess... and I give that map a 0% chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 From the C.Pa. thread: Anyone thinking this may be overdone ? lol oh he was being serious. wtf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 oh he was being serious. wtf. you thought i was kidding, snow on the pumpkins FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 12-18" on screaming 50kt WSW winds? Could happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 Gosh Wes, I know you are retired but sure do hope you share your thoughts this week. It seems that more of the dispassionate members are posting that the extreme example has a 5% to 10% probability of occurring. My hunch is that that the storm-beast can at least draw down some cold air for the first half of November even if a monster hybrid-cane never comes together to thread the needle and obliterate Connecticut. The models and gfs ensembles are all over the place with various solutions. The blocking over srn greenland is a nice touch and says we should be interested in the potential during the period. However, so far out, it's really risky falling in love with a scenario taking a tropical system and having it get captured by a strong trough. It happens (ie Agnes) but not very often. I'll be watching it and may even do a CWG article on it late in the week if the storm still looks possible. Right now it's best to just have fun with it like you would any other day 7 forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 From the C.Pa. thread: Anyone thinking this may be overdone ? lol no one in this thread, I'm sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 you thought i was kidding, snow on the pumpkins FTW I figured you were setting the winter mood. At least getting snubbed the rest of the winter this year would hurt less after a 2 foot October storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 Ellinwood just went all in. He just texted me and is in for 90mph gusts with heavy snow with periods of sleet mixed it. Total accums of 8 to 12". I'm pumped. Which would make you happier? 1) if the euro verified 2) if Obama wins. 3) or are these questions too political and liable to bring in too much PR trolling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 you thought i was kidding, snow on the pumpkins FTW I figured you were setting the winter mood. At least getting snubbed the rest of the winter this year would hurt less after a 2 foot October storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 The state of weather modeling in 2012: good enough to ****tease us from 10 days out, bad enough to deny it within 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 The snow part is pretty much a fantasy (of course just stating obvious) but a high impact event really isn't fantasy at all. It's not unreasonable to think that a trough can suck in a storm like this. It's quite possible. The ingredients have to be in the right place at the right time. In this case, it's really not all that complicated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 I will be in Houston all that week so it will obviously snow a foot in my backyard while I'm gone. I was out of town for the Derecho too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 The models and gfs ensembles are all over the place with various solutions. The blocking over srn greenland is a nice touch and says we should be interested in the potential during the period. However, so far out, it's really risky falling in love with a scenario taking a tropical system and having it get captured by a strong trough. It happens (ie Agnes) but not very often. I'll be watching it and may even do a CWG article on it late in the week if the storm still looks possible. Right now it's best to just have fun with it like you would any other day 7 forecast. Let me ask - with no intent of offense - at this point, with this set up, do you think winter weather experts or tropical experts, would have the most helpful insights? I am guessing tropical, as that's what has to happen first, but then the phasing would require a more winter-centric perspective. Just asking as I'm trying to judge which perspectives across the various threads to weight more heavily this far in advance - your expertise, of course, is always humbling! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 From the C.Pa. thread: Anyone thinking this may be overdone ? lol LOL. If that happened then I'd even happily accept another Dec - Mar failure winter like last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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