yoda Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 FWIW -- The probabilities of sustained (1-minute average) surface wind speeds equal to or exceeding 50 kt or 58 mph is up to 10-20% from NHC per the 11 am adv from IAD to EZF and off to the NE http://www.nhc.noaa....?large#contentsTS Here is the probability of sustained 1 min winds over 39 mph http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/152111.shtml?tswind120?large#contents Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 GFS won't budge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Maryland and Virginia Governors declare states of emergency for Sandy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 GFS holds serve at breaking down the block enough to send it northeast of nhc guidance. Euro vs. Gfs on strength of the block is where this will resolve, at some point. Sent from my DROIDX 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 GFS won't budge. Really amazing. So it is a battle over strength of the block Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Landfall CT/RI coast at hr 99. 850 winds increasing to 80kts locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Really amazing. So it is a battle over strength of the block It is so frustrating to see such a difference between the two. What does one see that the other doesnt. Euro over Delaware and GFS almost to Cape Cod and then backtracks in a SW direction towards Scranton-Wilkes Barre. How bizzzare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Landfall CT/RI coast at hr 99. 850 winds increasing to 80kts locally. Wow, 850 winds approaching 100kts in the northern LWX area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Wow. Even scarier than the storm was the site going down! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 We're back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Euro caves to the GFS after 11 runs of great continuity? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skel Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 We're back Phew! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Euro caves to the GFS after 11 runs of great continuity? Cave, no. Shift north ya. If it caved it would have been ots like the Gfs was for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 We're back thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Ian's FB Euro play-by-play: 78 turning north/northwest at 70W due east of NC/VA border. Heaviest impact still east of the Ches Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 84.. center about due south of Cape Cod and due east of s MD. Moving NNW. Last run had it nearing DC at that time. Main impact east of bay and into NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Looks like it will be ctrl NJ ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Ian's FB Euro play-by-play: Appreciate the play by play. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 90 headed NW ... looks to be deepening slightly. 2"+ DC to PHL, 3"+ east of the bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 hr 96 LF central NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 caves to the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Looks like Cape may acy hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 hr 102 hook SW over BWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 caves to the GFS Not really... just moved a tad more NE toward it... and its still MUCH faster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Coastal says Cape May area? That right? 30 or 40 miles difference is margin of error with graphics resolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nflwxman Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Looks like Cape may acy hit. Would one consider that a full cave to the GFS? THe GFS is still pushing this thing to the southern conneticut coast, no? If ACY is the the spot for the euro, its about halfway between the 0z euro and 12z GFS. But yeah, S or C NJ looks to be a the spot now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 hr 108 between BWI an DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 hr 102 hook SW over BWI That's still a shellacking for down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Symblized Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 caves to the GFS Cape May-ACY isn't exactly "caving" to the GFS (which, remember, had been coming closer to the Euro for days). NYC might have been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 That's still a shellacking for down here With maybe a lull as we sit under the center? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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