mitchnick Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 That NHC track looks to be close to perfect for a storm to stay over water as long as possible before hitting us... I'll take that track over the VA track I'm in no mood to go through what I went through last year or Isabel and N'ly winds are better than E'ly when one does NOT want flooding and property damage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Not quite sure where these will be... INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SANDY. WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. From the Public Advisory part Interesting. If Euro holds serve overnight, TS watches up along VA/Bay/Delmarva? Further north throughout the day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
biodhokie Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 NO . You'll need to be way west to be seeing snow...and this will be one of the rare instances of too much (wet) snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 can't have this thread without these images: ggem score? 954mb seemed strong once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 GFS has initialized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 ggem score? 954mb seemed strong once. But but... who cares about the GGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 We are on the downslope side of the storm. Down sloping is awesome. The only time I had sustained 30+mph winds was here in Frederick on 2/10/10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 GFS is still being stubborn. One of these models is going to take a severe beating. Will see if the Euro holds yet again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 GFS is still being stubborn. One of these models is going to take a severe beating. Will see if the Euro holds yet again. Yeah, its a very wide swing....Baltimore and DC would still get heavy rain, gusty/slashing winds but nothing overly extreme...EURO or GFS, both are being stubborn, but most other models are closer to the EUROS camp than the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Hopefully east and out to sea is a trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 FWIW, and I am just comparing... NOGAPS by 84-90 hours on its 00z run drives Sandy into Delaware Bay and we are rocked... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 What about ggem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 00Z GFS at 102h is way right of NHC's cone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derecho! Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Hopefully east and out to sea is a trend. The GFS is not out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bari Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I hate to say this, but I'm more inclined to go with the gfs at this point. Sandy seems very stubborn to waver from her current track to comply with nhc forecasted track, and I believe this is what the initialization of the gfs putted up on. It will take alot more to force Sandy to swing in as dramatically as the euro indicated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 What about ggem Just about a whiff for everyone... besides some rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Hopefully east and out to sea is a trend. Agree big time. We dont need anything close to what the models have been showing to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 UKMET came south... 12z was up near BOS/ME area... 0z down by NYC (just south I believe) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 GFS enemble mean actually supports the GFS operational with a wide right swing and then a re-curve into NYC. Euro up to the plate shortly. For sanity's sake, I hope that it remains consistent. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Canadian into Eastern Maine Fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Who will be watching/posting the Euro play by play? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Hour 42 sub 950 low and strengthening, its looking pretty much like the last run, trough digging in. Out to 48 sub 950, and faster than the last run, the phasing looks on schedule though with a trough digging in pretty well. Doing its NE movement this run as per the usual, NE of 12z pos at 66 when compared to 0z 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Per Dr. Maue: @RyanMaue: ECMWF 00z takes Sandy into Chesapeake Bay in 96 hours, as massive hurricane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 The run looking almost the same, headed for Ches Bay region according to 78 and its quite the doozy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Absolute bomb headed about to the same area at 84, crushing blow to the DC/BAL area, over 1.5'' in 6 hrs over coastal Virginia, rain totals piling up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Right into Delmarva, just like 12Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 The Euro gets down to 928mb at its peak, and looks to be around 932mb at landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Euro insistent with the Delmarva hit.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Crisfield, Maryland around 0Z Tuesday. Erie, Pa 24 hours later. The Susquehanna River Valley could get rains on the order of once every forty years. Anyone buying a generator? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5speed6 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Anyone buying a generator? Maybe an Ark. Still have my fingers crossed that we verify closer to GFS than Euro, otherwise I may not have a house come Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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