Damage In Tolland Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Get your candles flashlights and gennys now. This weekend all hell breaks loose at the stores Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Get your candles flashlights and gennys now. This weekend all hell breaks loose at the stores Anyone who hasn't gotten a generator in CT after the last couple years of CL&P fail probably isn't getting one this weekend either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 GFS still trying to get Sandy to produce a "baby low" via the vorticity exchange between Sandy and the NATL low... despite the further distance between the two on this run. This isn't helping. Yeah that's weird looking...like this little appendage..lol. The real kick in the nads would be a late capture and we end up with diurnal cold air CU from the ULL lol. Lots of time left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Yeah that's weird looking...like this little appendage..lol. The real kick in the nads would be a late capture and we end up with diurnal cold air CU from the ULL lol. Lots of time left. At least powderfreak would get some upslope snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 At least powderfreak would get some upslope snow. Yeah I'll feel better knowing the picnic table at 4k is covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Last 3 12z euro runs valid Monday at 12z. The blocking is clearly stronger but the western ridge is much weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Just went back and checked the last 4 runs of the ECMWF ensembles. The trend from the ensemble mean has been west towards SNE with position of the center of low pressure. And stronger with minimal central pressure. I know that we are ~6 days away, but currently we have agreement between three ensembles (cmc, gfs, ecmwf) and the ecmwf operational. Someone has to blink first (us or the models) when it comes to this potential storm and I have to say, my eyes are getting dry and really starting to hurt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Get your candles flashlights and gennys now. This weekend all hell breaks loose at the stores My sister buying a generator tomorrow. She just needed a gentle push. My brother in law will not be pleased. I think the phrase "utter devastation and calamity" may have had something to do with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Get your candles flashlights and gennys now. This weekend all hell breaks loose at the stores After almost a year of procrastination, I bought one yesterday, and getting wired Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 I am going to bed after this post but UK at face value a trough over Eastern US sfc and aloft a lot of rain 120-144 hours @ 144 hours (from 00z tonight) Hybrid "Sandy" approx midway between BDA and Yarmouth,NS BUT Looking at 24 hr 500 millibar HEIGHT CHANGE CENTERS totally different : Sandy cannot be that far east due to HUGE 24 hour HEIGHT rises and I do mean HUGE.... from east of Newfyland southward to east opf Sandy Haha Just saw the page still open on my browser. Good DT impression if thats what you were going for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Last 3 12z euro runs valid Monday at 12z. The blocking is clearly stronger but the western ridge is much weaker. I wish ewall would fix those hgt tendency shadings and put the warm colors with the + tendencies and vice versa. It plays with my trained eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Yeah I'll feel better knowing the picnic at 4k is covered. lol... every time I see those picnic tables this winter I'm going to take a picture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Anyone that knows Lanza knows he doesn't hype Matt Lanza Game on New England. Think people in New England and Long Island should begin prepping for hurricane type impacts Sunday night to Tuesday morning. I have questions as to HOW strong the impact will be, but it's looking significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Anyone that knows Lanza knows he doesn't hype Matt Lanza Game on New England. Think people in New England and Long Island should begin prepping for hurricane type impacts Sunday night to Tuesday morning. I have questions as to HOW strong the impact will be, but it's looking significant. Has Gibbs fed you any thoughts yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Has Gibbs fed you any thoughts yet? Enough to help calm him, although he won't listen to those thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Has Gibbs fed you any thoughts yet? he thinks the 12z GFS was right basically Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 A lot of these hyped up Mets were kids in March 01, the carnage of busted forecasts was impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 he thinks the 12z GFS was right basically Would you be pissed if that happened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 he thinks the 12z GFS was right basically The op or gefs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Matt Noyes talking about how similar the 12z Euro and GFS Ensemble Means are... (GFS) http://ow.ly/i/13khk (Euro) http://ow.ly/i/13khv "When we average multiple solutions in an ensemble, vastly different ECM and GFS suddenly are breathtakingly similar" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 The op or gefs? as usual i will be paying closer attention to gefs this far out. they have been trending a bit better for storm potential. I have heard some mets say the GFS was the clear winner in the tropics this year so , hoping at least the gefs stay somewhat phase happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 A lot of these hyped up Mets were kids in March 01, the carnage of busted forecasts was impressive. WWBB was epic that first week of March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Would you be pissed if that happened? yes as would 99% of us on this board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Would you be pissed if that happened? Is that a rhetorical question? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 He also said he could see it hitting the Cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Also, should we not have a new thread for this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 as usual i will be paying closer attention to gefs this far out. they have been trending a bit better for storm potential. I have heard some mets say the GFS was the clear winner in the tropics this year so , hoping at least the gefs stay somewhat phase happy GFS has done well, but when he best model in the world latches onto something and has run to run continuity its time to take it seriously by Thursday morning if it still has the same or similiar solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 yes as would 99% of us on this board If the GFS comes around 00z and into tomorrow and the euro hangs tight, then it's definitely time to take it seriously. Most Of us know the variables at play here, but I will say the ensemble support is somewhat alarming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 WWBB was epic that first week of March. I wish some of these guys making incredible statements could go back and read. I am very surprised at some of the absolutes I read today. A gradual ramp up seems prudent. Sure today has an incredible amount of agreement but as we know this is a storm that needs perfect timing and 6-7 days out is not the time for absolutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 After almost a year of procrastination, I bought one yesterday, and getting wired Friday. I broke down and got one after last year snowstorm when we lost power for 6 days, NG doesnt care about us 5 people on a dead end street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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