Typhoon Tip Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 This may be the most terrifying Euro run yet - holy crap! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 The blocking is so strong, that there might actually be some room for error in this setup. Incredible considering how volatile the setup is. It ends up not being all that different then the 0z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 euro has cane gusts into NH according to what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Less interaction with the trough ... stays more tropical further north. That is a strong hurricane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 huge hit...somewhere near BID-mvy 162...can't count the contours. This is a marine district ender - period. Dude, they're going to be piled on top of roof tops down there in this solution. wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 The blocking is so strong, that there might actually be some room for error in this setup. Incredible considering how volatile the setup is. i have been thinking that is why the euro has been so damn consistent with the phase. the off the charts blocking must give more room for error than some are seeing. i mean how else does the euro phase/bomb this in some way shape or form for the last upteen runs this far out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Wish We saw this 48 hrs out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Instantwxmaps says 937 mb right along the South Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Wish We saw this 48 hrs out. I don't know about that dude...sounds like it would be pretty destructive. Hurricane gusts, surge, heavy rain...might want to be careful what we wish for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Scooter please tell Fork how far inland cane winds go on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Yes please @BigJoeBastardi: Euro very close to weatherbell track with landfall at Mouth of Narragansett bay, track northwest to Albany http://t.co/Eho03aUE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 huge hit...somewhere near BID-mvy 162...can't count the contours. This is a marine district ender - period. Dude, they're going to be piled on top of roof tops down there in this solution. wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 I don't know about that dude...sounds like it would be pretty destructive. Hurricane gusts, surge, heavy rain...might want to be careful what we wish for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 huge hit...somewhere near BID-mvy 162...can't count the contours. This is a marine district ender - period. Dude, they're going to be piled on top of roof tops down there in this solution. wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 my maps are showing 960 mb at landfall over eastern LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mad River Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 I'm a sucker for pictures. Anyone have some maps of the latest run? I haven't been here in ages. Help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Scooter please tell Fork how far inland cane winds go on this run It would probably be very windy everywhere. Obviously a little less inland. WOuld also depend on how windfield expands. This guy almost holds onto tropical characteristics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 I don't know about that dude...sounds like it would be pretty destructive. Hurricane gusts, surge, heavy rain...might want to be careful what we wish for. You would love it and you know it. I hope this happens... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Well it's nice to see this at 156hrs out, but lots of time left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 What does the Euro show for rainfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Two concerns being in the seafood industry for me: 1) I know a ton of small boats planning to make a tuna fishing trip to George's Bank for Thurs-Sat. Anything goes wrong and you're toast. 2) I have a meeting on our oyster farm on Tuesday morning in Osterville with a big restaurant group. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Scooter please tell Fork how far inland cane winds go on this run 3 miles short of Mt Tolland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 my maps are showing 960 mb at landfall over eastern LI Southeastern CT marinas are already paying attention, as the warm stretch has resulted in A LOT of boats still being in the water. These marias could have a very busy weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Scooter please tell Fork how far inland cane winds go on this run ur asking the man with a model nicknamed scooter caution flags this question Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 3 miles short of Mt Tolland lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 3 miles short of Mt Tolland keeps me in the game by 4 miles lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Well it's nice to see this at 156hrs out, but lots of time left. I take great risk in saying this, but somehow I don't think that standard accuracy curve applies in this case. To many forebodes coming from bigger statistical packages than normal extends a somewhat higher confidence interval. That's the way I see this right now - in other words, perhaps a D6 outlook for this beast beats a D3 for more pedestrian systems. I really do still believe that the GFS is not getting a proficient sampling over the Pacific into its grids, because the flow is flat enough off the west coast of N/A that the s/w dynamics are having to be sat derived - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 I take great risk in saying this, but somehow I don't think that standard accuracy curve applies in this case. To many forebodes coming from bigger statistical packages than normal extends a somewhat higher confidence interval. That's the way I see this right now - in other words, perhaps a D6 outlook for this beast beats a D3 for more pedestrian systems. I really do still believe that the GFS is not getting a proficient sampling over the Pacific into its grids, because the flow is flat enough off the west coast of N/A that the s/w dynamics are having to be sat derived - Well it's definitely the risk for sure. We'll see what the ensembles do, but the consistency of the euro has been rather significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 the weenies love john's cajones as distrubing as that sounds is there snow in this run over the elevations of Central PA and adjacent areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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