NECT Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 I'm calm. But I will be checking my generator and getting a little extra gas this weekend...maybe sooner. I'm not buying the hype, but if you wait until the forecast confidence gets high, getting a few extra supplies can be stupidly frustrating. It's amazing (not really, but still it is) how many people were totally unprepared for any sort of extended power outage last year. And if Ryan's wrong, he could be facing 6 years in the slammer lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 23, 2012 Author Share Posted October 23, 2012 Threw the "ECMWF is NOT gonna happen" flag huh? hopefully you're right mr. hanrahan! Well we could still get a hurricane lol. The Euro is not going to happen however. A 927mb low south of MVY moving to the NW???? No effin way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Well we could still get a hurricane lol. The Euro is not going to happen however. A 927mb low south of MVY moving to the NW???? No effin way. Did you think I'd get two feet of snow before Halloween last year? I'm just bein a d**** woah, did not realize it wouldn't censor that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 23, 2012 Author Share Posted October 23, 2012 Did you think I'd get two feet of snow before Halloween last year? I'm just bein a dick Well... I'd say an October snowstorm is more likely than a 927mb hurricane near SNE in late October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Well... I'd say an October snowstorm is more likely than a 927mb hurricane near SNE in late October. Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 I wonder if we are done seeing bizarre overdone solutions for a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 I updated my blog with the latest on Sandy. great post Ryan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Well... I'd say an October snowstorm is more likely than a 927mb hurricane near SNE in late October. Agree. Like I said in the last part there that I thought it would star out lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 I wonder if we are done seeing bizarre overdone solutions for a bit I doubt it could be any better then some of the 12z runs today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Next model runs in an hour? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 im just happy there is at least something interesting happening. it's been quite boring up till now weather wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 I'm calm. But I will be checking my generator and getting a little extra gas this weekend...maybe sooner. I'm not buying the hype, but if you wait until the forecast confidence gets high, getting a few extra supplies can be stupidly frustrating. It's amazing (not really, but still it is) how many people were totally unprepared for any sort of extended power outage last year. And if Ryan's wrong, he could be facing 6 years in the slammer lol. Yea don't mess with the Italians. I am waiting until Thurs, pretty much all set and prepared besides gas and beer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Yea don't mess with the Italians. I am waiting until Thurs, pretty much all set and prepared besides gas and beer. So if the Euro continues to show what it showed today...but continues through Thursday you will get excited? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Next model runs in an hour? 0z Nam is up 1st but this system is out of its range still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Yea don't mess with the Italians. I am waiting until Thurs, pretty much all set and prepared besides gas and beer. May even have to wait a little longer then that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Don't bother with the NAM. Save yourself the energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Next model runs in an hour? about 2 as 168hr+ wont start rolling out till bout 1130 or so on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 about 2 as 168hr+ wont start rolling out till bout 1130 or so on the GFS. Ugh...gonna be asleep by then. I know there is no reason to stay up given this could be 9 days out, but I am a weenie and love seeing the extreme solutions. The Euro's depiction probably won't happen...I just wish it would lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 23, 2012 Author Share Posted October 23, 2012 I know someone's posted this before but this really tells the story Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Can't wait to go back to EST just for the model runs to be an hr earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 I know someone's posted this before but this really tells the story Yeah, Slim chance we see some of today's scenarios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Well we could still get a hurricane lol. The Euro is not going to happen however. A 927mb low south of MVY moving to the NW???? No effin way. Probably not BUT just saying look at the track of the 1938 hurricane after LI/CT landfall. Also saying climo DOES NOT support a NW moving storm from MVY either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 So if the Euro continues to show what it showed today...but continues through Thursday you will get excited? Prepared but models change. I would get excited when real time shows it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Can't wait to go back to EST just for the model runs to be an hr earlier was just thinking that. Love when the NAM begins rolling out about 9 -9 30 and the GFS at about 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 23, 2012 Author Share Posted October 23, 2012 Probably not BUT just saying look at the track of the 1938 hurricane after LI/CT landfall. Also saying climo DOES NOT support a NW moving storm from MVY either. Yup... weather miracles can happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Yea don't mess with the Italians. I am waiting until Thurs, pretty much all set and prepared besides gas and beer. Absolutely. If the power is out, package stores can only take cash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 I know someone's posted this before but this really tells the story I do not think the story is anywhere close to being told. GFS ENS are so much different than EURO ENS, GGEM ENS that it creates doubt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Yeah, Slim chance we see some of today's scenarios hey 10 percent aint bad. Most exciting weather since last years snowtober. OT but figured Id post this http://imageshack.us/a/img547/7451/imagehz.jpg Wouldnt you love seeing a WSW and a Tornado warning in the same county. Pretty awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 I know someone's posted this before but this really tells the story I posted that a couple of times tonight, the agreement is actually pretty dam good this far out. I have seen much much worse agreement in past storms at this stage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 Prepared but models change. I would get excited when real time shows it. And that's what makes these storms so hard to talk about in public forecasts. It's waayyy to far to have confidence in any solution, but if a media outlet suggests making sure you're prepared, the hype begins. Then, if it goes out to sea, it's just time to bash the mets who mentioned a possible big storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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