dryslot Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 On 10/22/2012 at 6:40 PM, CoastalWx said: The s/w in question at the last second tries to dig, but it looks like a case of too little too late. Its trying to tug it NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 On 10/22/2012 at 6:42 PM, Cold Front said: Its trying to tug it NW Almost pulling a Noel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 On 10/22/2012 at 6:42 PM, CoastalWx said: Almost pulling a Noel. That is a similar track somewhat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 22, 2012 Author Share Posted October 22, 2012 The ridge of the N Atl is also a bit weaker and not as sprawling this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 On 10/22/2012 at 6:42 PM, CoastalWx said: Almost pulling a Noel. late capture...northward movement up 69W Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 On 10/22/2012 at 6:41 PM, bobbutts said: Irene did peak out at 942mb. Your first sentence seems to contradict your second. I meant the solutions which showed Irene slamming into the Delmarva as a 939mb bomb....not its peak intensity several days before landfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 On 10/22/2012 at 6:30 PM, CoastalWx said: The Euro is way more bullish with Aleutian ridging, which squashes the AK low further south, which flattens the ridge out west. PAC energy is a b**ch to model so I wouldn't be shocked at more wavering here. Yup. Long way to go. At least it's something to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 looks much slower compared to the GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 22, 2012 Author Share Posted October 22, 2012 lol at the Euro... may do a GFS from a few runs ago with the late capture and sling shot west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 951mb low at 168hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 lol, Tugged back NW towards the BM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 looks like its going to pull it off for sure lol On 10/22/2012 at 6:46 PM, CT Rain said: lol at the Euro... may do a GFS from a few runs ago with the late capture and sling shot west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 22, 2012 Author Share Posted October 22, 2012 omg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 What the hell, it still phases after all that? haha... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 On 10/22/2012 at 6:48 PM, CT Rain said: omg Bombs away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 22, 2012 Author Share Posted October 22, 2012 No joke... this Euro run may be the most extreme solution I've ever seen the Euro print out for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 On 10/22/2012 at 6:24 PM, CoastalWx said: Well the euro made a big step towards it I think. most definitely because of the trends out west, flatter trough....it still manages to go ape**** though at the end..that next shortwave barely grabs it in time, further northeast, the atlantic pattern blocking the hurricane is stronger too which helps, but its very close to escaping....new england is detroyed at day 10 i cant read the pressure its so deep...probably like the ggem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 On 10/22/2012 at 6:49 PM, CT Rain said: No joke... this Euro run may be the most extreme solution I've ever seen the Euro print out for SNE. I'm literally laughing my ass off reading this thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 That's too funny... Gonna have to wait until that Pac energy becomes clearer before the models have a clue on what they are doing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 epic!! On 10/22/2012 at 6:48 PM, CT Rain said: omg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 On 10/22/2012 at 6:49 PM, CT Rain said: No joke... this Euro run may be the most extreme solution I've ever seen the Euro print out for SNE. That is the Tsar Bomba... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 22, 2012 Author Share Posted October 22, 2012 On 10/22/2012 at 6:51 PM, sbos_wx said: I'm literally laughing my ass off reading this thread Yeah I was a bit worried at 180 hours when that thing was starting to dig. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 It gets pulled NW over Phil on the cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 The Euro gets down to near 930mb and no that is not a typo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 On 10/22/2012 at 6:51 PM, CT Rain said: Yeah I was a bit worried at 180 hours when that thing was starting to dig. Just pmed you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 I'm taking a trip to sne! Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 Does the Euro really push it back 3 days to next Wed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 22, 2012 Author Share Posted October 22, 2012 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 On 10/22/2012 at 6:53 PM, earthlight said: The Euro gets down to near 930mb and no that is not a typo. tripple phase? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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