Harbourton Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 One good thing is the HPC has been lowering their rainfall estimates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 One good thing is the HPC has been lowering their rainfall estimates. That's on top of what has already fallen as of 8 am. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 That's on top of what has already fallen as of 8 am. . Ok thanks I forgot to look at time stamp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Good morning all...pretty uneventful in Berks County...I am certainly not saying storm cancel or anything like that, but do we expect the high winds to read this far inland? More of an overnight thing? I see the coast is getting hammered. Are we expecting a lesser impact into PA at this point or are we still as planned? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Does this storm being stronger than forecast increase the already bad impacts or is it not that much of a difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WebBreaker63 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Have a friend in the back bays in Brick NJ - current N winds blow the water out of the Bays - but water keeps piling up at the ocean. He thinks that because the storm will be south that he storm that he will have a more north wind most of time and is not worried about the bays flooding. But that ocean water has to go somewhere... I told him to move to higher ground, but he won't because of "lessons learned from Irene" - he lives on a lagoon right off of the bay. He is currently reporting no flooding in his area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 It's been raining non-stop here since Saturday afternoon, and we haven't even gotten close to the heavy storm rains yet. I'm curious just how far this creek by my place will rise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fsu_wxgirl Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 We should start seeing an increase in winds throughout the day today. The strongest being later this evening and overnight. NBC10s graphics have been indicating 50 mph + winds as we get closer to noon. I'm in Pottstown, and I fully anticipate we could see gusts up to 60mph. Good morning all...pretty uneventful in Berks County...I am certainly not saying storm cancel or anything like that, but do we expect the high winds to read this far inland? More of an overnight thing? I see the coast is getting hammered. Are we expecting a lesser impact into PA at this point or are we still as planned? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Recon just found 940mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Good luck everyone and be safe. You too and thanks to you and all the staff for everything you guys do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Have a friend in the back bays in Brick NJ - current N winds blow the water out of the Bays - but water keeps piling up at the ocean. He thinks that because the storm will be south that he storm that he will have a more north wind most of time and is not worried about the bays flooding. But that ocean water has to go somewhere... I told him to move to higher ground, but he won't because of "lessons learned from Irene" - he lives on a lagoon right off of the bay. He is currently reporting no flooding in his area... Assuming a south Jersey landfall, when Sandy's winds turn to the south, that water is only going to be driven in one place and its not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Good morning all...pretty uneventful in Berks County...I am certainly not saying storm cancel or anything like that, but do we expect the high winds to read this far inland? More of an overnight thing? I see the coast is getting hammered. Are we expecting a lesser impact into PA at this point or are we still as planned? Thanks Strongest winds in SEPA will be between 5pm and 5am. We haven't seen anything yet here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Our lights just flickered, so this might be it for me for a while, the 12hr GFS forecast vs the 500mb obs had more ridging northeast of us than forecast. Sandy still looks right of track (or 71W), but I would assume all things being equal, that the turn to the left will come harder. The HWRF pressure forecasts (if one goes back to previous runs) is verifying too low valid this morning. Sandy crossing Gulf Stream now, so last ounce of tropical energy coming. I can't say I am personally highly confident as to how strong the winds will get. The 06z GFS winds got even more frightening. Some super high res model posting that I saw elsewhere suggesting 60-70mph in our local area. Regardless of the wind damage here, the NJ tidal impact with this next high tide cycle is going to be record breaking. Per winds, does this include Monmouth? Good luck everyone and be safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Recon just found 940mb. Passing over the Gulf Stream didn't hurt it. Its where we go from here with the pressure field. (Its all relative because its bad). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Humidity, The hi-res model has Monmouth County 10-20 mph higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 90mph and 943 pressure......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike2010 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 90mph and 943 pressure......... And STILL no hurricane warnings... Somebody seriously needs to talk to them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 90mph and 943 pressure......... Is that the lates advisory?! Holy smokes if it is! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Is that the lates advisory?! Holy smokes if it is! Yes thats the 11 AM update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Is that the lates advisory?! Holy smokes if it is! Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Unbelievable on the pressure. The turn happening. Hopefully, everyone has finalized all preparation has been made to protect life and property. The winds will be unreal, but that track and the size is what we've all worried about for years. Now we have Sandy that will be very historic. Like everyone hear on this board, I'll try to keep posting until my power goes out. Wow, my pressure down to 29.07" !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Humidity, The hi-res model has Monmouth County 10-20 mph higher. Ouch! i Appreciate the update. Winds are really kicking up here now. Just recorded 1" RN in the bucket. Power is holding on strong. Generators are ready. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 I am afraid we are going to see a large loss of life Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WebBreaker63 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Assuming a south Jersey landfall, when Sandy's winds turn to the south, that water is only going to be driven in one place and its not good. Thank you - contacted my friend via his FB post - he is coordinating with his neighborhood for a plan to evacuate if necessary - still think he needs to get out now, but feeling better... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 JB has been posting since yesterday - why no Hurricane Warning/Watch?? When was it last not a hurricane? Am i missing something here?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 WC, Phl tallest bldgs may see 100-110mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 weatherbell models are now free http://models.weatherbell.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 JB has been posting since yesterday - why no Hurricane Warning/Watch?? When was it last not a hurricane? Am i missing something here?? The NWS said that they didn't want to confuse people because they thought that Sandy would become extratropical... which it hasn't. They opted for non-tropical wind warnings. It's still a hurricane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Let's leave the warning discussion for post storm reflection. Pretty sure everyone knows sandy is an extremely dangerous situation and the people that don't wouldn't be reached by a hurricane warning anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobbTC Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Saw a post that they found 939.1mb... true? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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