johnc Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 We have one too, not sure why the map has not updated. Ahh yes, I was just a bit off with my timing. It's appearing now. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gibson16 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I've got a question I want to leave today to go back home to philly to watch the storm, I'm coming from pittsburgh so I have a 5 hour drive home when do you think that absolue latest time I can leave today so I have a relatively easy ride home? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I've got a question I want to leave today to go back home to philly to watch the storm, I'm coming from pittsburgh so I have a 5 hour drive home when do you think that absolue latest time I can leave today so I have a relatively easy ride home? I'd leave now. No fun driving in the rainy dark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gibson16 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I'd leave now. No fun driving in the rainy dark. Yea completely agree also because I drive a cobalt so it's not the best car in the rain. Do you think by like 6 or 7 it will be bad in philly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Define "bad". Windy? Its breezy already, but the real wind won't start til tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 noon briefing from Mount Holly. Take note of the surge flooding expected and the personal plea from the MIC that follows: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/briefing/packages/current_briefing.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 My own personal plea, on FB: "OK, serious post: Coastal flooding is ALREADY beginning at the Jersey Shore. Wind gusts are ALREADY approaching tropical storm force. Everyone must prepare NOW. If you are ordered to evacuate, GO! Don't hesitate. If you are not ordered to evacuate but are in an area that floods either due to heavy rain or coastal flooding, be prepared to get out at a moments notice, and consider voluntarily evacuating. Everyone else... make sure you have enough supplies to last through extended power outages of a week or two: Gasoline, non-perishables, water, cash. I hope that covered everything. THIS IS THE REAL DEAL." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gibson16 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Define "bad". Windy? Its breezy already, but the real wind won't start til tomorrow. Really just rain I was going to leave here at like 2 I just don't want to get on the turnpike and hit torrential rain for the last few hours of my trip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Really just rain I was going to leave here at like 2 I just don't want to get on the turnpike and hit torrential rain for the last few hours of my trip. Its only gonna get worse from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gibson16 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Its only gonna get worse from here. ok thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 This might belong more in the obs thread, but... For everyone who is interested, the Office of the NJ State Climatologist just unveiled their new webpage for 5-minute updates from all NJ mesonet stations. This is going to be a GREAT resource during the storm. http://climate.rutge.../njwxnet/sandy/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 winds bumped up again in nws forecasts. here is my pt and click forecast Rain. The rain could be heavy at times. Low around 46. Strong and damaging winds, with a north wind 50 to 60 mph, with gusts as high as 75 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between 2 and 3 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 this off the 12z gfs potential surface wind gusts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 this off the 12z gfs potential surface wind gusts They don't like you much do they Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 They don't like you much do they lol i k now...but 60 mph gusts are gonna do big time tree damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 lol i k now...but 60 mph gusts are gonna do big time tree damage. Especially the duration of them. 18-24hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 recon just found 78kt flight level wind. Granted that isnt probably making it to the surface. But above she is strengthening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 recon just found 78kt flight level wind. Granted that isnt probably making it to the surface. But above she is strengthening. looks like a large eye feature is appearing as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Question (and I hope someone actually answers it). Why is it, when I look on every model map, there is a southward dip in both qpf and wind speeds over northeastern PA that lowers the "totals"? In the 950mb winds for example, the wind field is pretty symmetrical, except for NEPA where the speeds are lower. Same with qpf. There is a lower value in NEPA down toward perhaps ABE with the numbers. Does the higher terrain of the Catskills and Poconos cause this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Check this out: Another I've never seen this before moment, 500mb temp in PHL goes to +1C. Time sensitive: http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kphl&submit.x=8&submit.y=8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Check this out: Another I've never seen this before moment, 500mb temp in PHL goes to +1C. Time sensitive: http://wxweb.meteost....x=8&submit.y=8 that would indicate its still warm core? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Question (and I hope someone actually answers it). Why is it, when I look on every model map, there is a southward dip in both qpf and wind speeds over northeastern PA that lowers the "totals"? In the 950mb winds for example, the wind field is pretty symmetrical, except for NEPA where the speeds are lower. Same with qpf. There is a lower value in NEPA down toward perhaps ABE with the numbers. Does the higher terrain of the Catskills and Poconos cause this? Some of the higher terrain of the Poconos are going to be pretty close in altitude to those winds. I'm assuming the pcpn configuration has more to do with the f-gen forcing southwest of the storm (everything is skewed in the opposite direction because of the west motion). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 that would indicate its still warm core? Some talk about it being a secluded system, not sure how that can be maintained or if its totally accurate. (Doesn't change the outcome). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Thanks Tony! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Check this out: Another I've never seen this before moment, 500mb temp in PHL goes to +1C. Time sensitive: http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kphl&submit.x=8&submit.y=8 Wow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Sorry to divert to a subject that is more the NYC thread...just read latest briefing the potential for storm surge in Raritan Bay is quite scary....any comments from the pros is appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Especially the duration of them. 18-24hrs this is my concern, duration of winds, could be devastating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 Weren't TS winds experienced some 500 miles from the center? I thought I read that somewhere. Extremely ridiculous even if it is anywhere near that figure. I'm still hoping the surface temps cool enough out here for us to see snow, but I'm not holding my breath. This thing would have to deepen considerably once it becomes a cold-core system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted October 28, 2012 Share Posted October 28, 2012 I hate to keep coming back to the inversion issue re: high wind potential....do the mets here see this as mitigating the high wind threat or would the inversion be so strong as to completely prevent high winds til the center of sandy passes to our west? I see it coming up a bit in the NYC subforum as well...just shaking my head at the idea of massive pressure changes over a short period of time without some correspondingly high winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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