jerseystorm Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 NHC puts a PT hurricane in the Delaware Bay on Tuesday A.M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catoctin wx Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Apparently, there are two Reedy Points... https://maps.google....Reedy Point&z=9 Ugh, leave it to Delaware to make this confusing. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 12z GFS gets even farther to the east before it begins to swing back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Echo Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Ugh, leave it to Delaware to make this confusing. Thanks There is only one Reedy Point that I'm familiar with and it's near the C&D Canal in New Castle County. There is a bridge that crosses the canal in that area called the Reedy Point Bridge. The point itself is about where the canal meets the Delaware. It's nowhere near Lewes. On Edit, I googled Reedy Point Sussex County and there looks like there is some little spot in the Assawoman Bay west of the Coastal Highway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Everything coming in north and east. MYbe NYC landfall..maybe.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 From NJ 101.5 FM, voluntary evacuations have been orderd for the barrier islands of Cape May County. This evacuation order will become mandatory on Sunday. I would suspect that that the evacuation orders will probably end up extending all the way up the NJ coast at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike2010 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Euro caved to GFS. We have solid agreement now. Like I said yesterday, they should of already sounded EAS. People still think this is just 'media hype'... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/briefing/packages/current_briefing.pdf Didn't see it posted but here is todays breifing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 CM gets CRUSHED this run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 EURO coming north towards the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 euro takes it into acy then due west to balt...phl south gets 5-10 of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Euro is caving to the GooFuS.....I cannot believe it. Cant say the GFS was right just yet though, but wow, looks like it is leading the trends. NOGAPS followed the GFS as well from what I am hearing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 don't know what to think right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted October 26, 2012 Author Share Posted October 26, 2012 don't know what to think right now. doesn't matter as much for us. Bigger issue for the Shore where the center comes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jerseystorm Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I know one thing,this makes tonight's model runs very important for everyone down here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Most of the GFS ensembles are a little further S of the Op run. A track between Baltimore and NY seems most likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 CM gets CRUSHED this run! CM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 CM? Cape May Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bugalou Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 CM? Cape May, NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted October 26, 2012 Author Share Posted October 26, 2012 I know one thing,this makes tonight's model runs very important for everyone down here! Considering it's either "bad" or "azz kick" there isn't much difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 doesn't matter as much for us. Bigger issue for the Shore where the center comes in. Oh, I know......for Jersey Shore folks and the people on Long Island. My hunch (no science to my thinking) is that Sandy tries to head inland a little further north......obviously that would benefit those further south along the Eastern Seaboard. I really have no clue. Up til yesterday I was thinking Montauk/Block Island.....then things shifted southward and now potentially are creeping back north. Just huge ramifications for the Jersey shore folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Considering it's either "bad" or "azz kick" there isn't much difference. True, but if somehow the flow can be offshore vs. onshore for alot of NJ, that would help. Needless to say a track up into southern New England would be needed for that. Still could happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 True, but if somehow the flow can be offshore vs. onshore for alot of NJ, that would help. Needless to say a track up into southern New England would be needed for that. Still could happen. That a track from SNE to NJ/PA "could happen" speaks volumes about this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan88 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Wild time at the Jersey shore (winds in kt) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 That a track from SNE to NJ/PA "could happen" speaks volumes about this setup. Yup, hence the head scratching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 The wind field @850mb is just downright illegal....newton is turning in his grave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Well this is interesting. I like the term "Frankenstorm" the NOAA coined, but we'll have to see how it pans out. All the talk of historical impact concerns me, only because the probabilities of such an impact are so low, yet they get hyped to no end by news outlets. Still, looking at the latest track with a Hurricane over Delaware sure is intriguing. It's almost like 21 years ago only shifted south considerably--then again it could still move more north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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