famartin Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 poop, i forgot the site is protected...it takes a track up the del bay. Yes, stop posting in-line links and attach the images. or I'll 5ppd you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Amazing to see this directly targeting Trenton.... of course, with them in the bullseye several days out, it'll probably end up going somewhere else... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Gfdl,fwiw, still showing a 930,s bomb, but furth south than 12z euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Well before the next model suite frenzy. 6-8 inches on the latest qpf map with 8-10 closer to the beaches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike2010 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I guess we could start taking the NAM runs serious soon...since she's startin to phase and go hybrid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Looks like all of NJ and Eastern PA get the shaft : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bugalou Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Looks like all of NJ and Eastern PA get the shaft : Yep, we are getting screwed for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 One PO'd Storm coming. My fishing buddy in Miama is clocking at 58mph on a handheld. That is an expansive windfield! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WebBreaker63 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 I guess one bright side is that I won't have to shovel... Will I ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
unknown Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redmorninglight Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Just an observation or two during this quieter period. Our beaches are not in the best of shape. There are plans to do more replenishment operations next month. Two weeks ago during the new moon, the tides made it almost to our sea wall with some SE wind helping. Many people I have talked to in this area firmly stated they would not leave if ordered since Irene was not as bad as expected. I feel as if there is a boy crying wolf feeling among locals. This is potentially a very dangerous combination of most people not appreciating the complex nature of this system and the vulnerability of our shoreline, coupled with their reluctance to evacuate if so ordered. Also, thanks to the seriously dedicated posters and pros, like Tombo and Ray for their expertise and efforts. I have learned so much and look forward to dealing with this storm in this forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 My wife's uncle is closing on his first floor beachfront $2 million condo in OCNJ on Monday! Perhaps he should hold off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fishmn Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Just an observation or two during this quieter period. Our beaches are not in the best of shape. There are plans to do more replenishment operations next month. Two weeks ago during the new moon, the tides made it almost to our sea wall with some SE wind helping. Many people I have talked to in this area firmly stated they would not leave if ordered since Irene was not as bad as expected. I feel as if there is a boy crying wolf feeling among locals. This is potentially a very dangerous combination of most people not appreciating the complex nature of this system and the vulnerability of our shoreline, coupled with their reluctance to evacuate if so ordered. Also, thanks to the seriously dedicated posters and pros, like Tombo and Ray for their expertise and efforts. I have learned so much and look forward to dealing with this storm in this forum. Most people dont know but there has never been a landfalling Hurricane in NJ. At least in recorded history. A few TS but not hurricanes. People here really have no expierence with what a storm like this can do. This tends to end badly for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rickrd Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 If the temp outside was only in the teens...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fishmn Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 If the temp outside was only in the teens...... It wouldnt be in the teens for long. This storm would blowtorch all of NJ and eastern PA. Plus you wouldnt see this track with the polar vortex over southern Quebec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 If the temp outside was only in the teens...... Try and keep this in banter. Wonder how much further south this thing can possibly go? Adam or anyone else care to chime in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rickrd Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 It wouldnt be in the teens for long. This storm would blowtorch all of NJ and eastern PA. I know. just a thought. Live here in Eastern PA. Not going to be pretty here at all. I'm here at 864 ft. with big trees. To top it off, i get water in the basement when there are storms over 3" of liquid! Been following this one for days now. Kind of excited but getting a bit worried as to what is going to happen in the NE Corridor. Good luck to all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Try and keep this in banter. Wonder how much further south this thing can possibly go? Adam or anyone else care to chime in? the stronger that block gets modeled the further south it can go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike2010 Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Why this storm is already amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 the stronger that block gets modeled the further south it can go. Also the further west Sandy tracks initially (ie now through Saturday) the further south the landfall could be as the Euro has been showing. It seems Delmarve to LI is the most probable zone at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 0z nam keeps the party going fwiw... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 0z nam keeps the party going fwiw... Didn't think we would have to worry about flooding like we had in Irene just 14 months later. Not good at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fishmn Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Didn't think we would have to worry about flooding like we had in Irene just 14 months later. Not good at all. \I keep thinking Floyd. Sept 1999. 13" of rain in 14 hours. Complete disaster in this area flood wise. Wind not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Errmmmmgawd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 \ I keep thinking Floyd. Sept 1999. 13" of rain in 14 hours. Complete disaster in this area flood wise. Wind not so much. Yeah. 2 worst events in the past 20+ years at the creek nearby me. Irene just missed the peak crest last year in Graterford. Historical Crests (1) 18.26 ft on 07/09/1935 (2) 18.20 ft on 08/28/2011 (3) 17.08 ft on 06/22/1972 (4) 16.65 ft on 08/23/1933 (5) 16.59 ft on 09/16/1999 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Errmmmmgawd Nudged a tad southwest from earlier. Really no difference in terms of the beating we'd all take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 That track literally runs right over my house in northern DE. NO THANK YOU. Please move north....mmmmK? Errmmmmgawd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Even if its just a forecast...don't see that as an official track every day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayson Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Anyone think that the intensity of this storm is a bit overdone? Based on its current state, I don't see it being a hurricane past 35n. I think that models have done a good job at getting the track down, but intensity is always a big question mark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bugalou Posted October 26, 2012 Share Posted October 26, 2012 Anyone think that the intensity of this storm is a bit overdone? Based on its current state, I don't see it being a hurricane past 35n. I think that models have done a good job at getting the track down, but intensity is always a big question mark. I am certainly not an expert, but there is a lot more going on than just your run of the mill tropical system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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