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12/16/10 0Z THREAD


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0z RAOB ingest on the american guidance, and NCEP NAM initialization has begun

NCEP Operational Status Message

Thu Dec 16 01:37:51 2010 GMT

NOUS42 KWNO 160137

ADMNFD

SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE

NWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS CAMP SPRINGS MD

0134Z THU DEC 16 2010

THE 00Z NCEP MODEL PRODUCTION HAS STARTED AND IS RUNNING ON TIME.

OBSERVATIONS AVAILABLE FOR NAM INGEST INCLUDED 12 ALASKAN...31

CANADIAN...69 CONUS...6 MEXICAN...AND 3 CARIBBEAN STATIONS.

00Z NAM RAOB RECAP...

ANN/70398 - GROUND EQUIPMENT FAILURE...10142.

KPP/78970 - CODE 10159.

ASY/70414 - MISSED THE NAM.

LZK/72340 - PURGED TEMPS/DWPTS 796-722 MB...WET BULB EFFECT.

BMX/72230 - PURGED TEMPS/DWPTS 762-615 MB...WET BULB EFFECT.

MCG/70231 - PURGED T/TD/HGTS 818-804 AND 587-328 MB...BAD DATA.

$$

HANDEL/SDM/NCO/NCEP

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GFS and NAM have been extremely consistent for MBY at around .11....this looks like a bit more. I feel a bit better about at least an inch tomorrow now.

.11 would probably get you 1.75" or so, so if it bumps you've got 2".. this is, as phineas would say, a cold snow.

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